UFCal
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Analysis, explainers, and stories written on top of UFCalendar's live MMA database.
Archive
Amanda Lemos is No. 8, and a 2-to-1 underdog to No. 12
Since 2013 the betting market has favored the lower-ranked fighter in 603 ranked UFC matchups and won 63 percent of them. Lemos vs Thainara is next.
Aug 5, 2026 · 8 min read
Usman Nurmagomedov to the UFC: the case for and against 22-0
Usman Nurmagomedov's 22 opponents were a combined 239-88, and 18 had winning records. What the UFC is really signing, and the honest case against it.
Aug 4, 2026 · 6 min read
141 UFC fights: the veterans on the next two cards
Elkins, Ferreira, Magny, Barboza and Luque bring 141 UFC appearances and 52 bonuses to two August cards. Magny is one walkout from sole third all-time.
Aug 4, 2026 · 4 min read
Salkilld's 24 minutes: why the market likes him over Gamrot
Quillan Salkilld has 24:20 of Octagon time and four bonuses in five fights. The market favors him over No. 8 Mateusz Gamrot. Our Elo rating does not.
Aug 4, 2026 · 5 min read
Makhachev vs Machado Garry: 61 percent, or 77?
The market prices Islam Makhachev at 77 percent to beat Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330. Our Power Index says 61. The takedown numbers explain the gap.
Aug 4, 2026 · 4 min read
UFC 330 loses Blanchfield vs Jasudavicius, with no replacement
The No. 4 vs No. 7 women's flyweight bout came off UFC 330 on July 27 with no replacement, and our change log dates every other UFC card move this week.
Aug 4, 2026 · 3 min read
UFC Belgrade payouts: how much did Uros Medic, Jan Blachowicz and every fighter make?
Every UFC Belgrade fighter's verified payout in one table: Uros Medic's $111,000 night, four $100,000 bonuses, eight $25,000 finish incentives, $792,000 total.
Aug 3, 2026 · 6 min read
Half the roster under $25,000: what a decade of disclosed UFC pay actually showed
We re-digitized 92 archived commission payroll reports, over 1,000 paychecks from 2008-2026. The median barely moved for a decade, then the numbers went dark.
Aug 3, 2026 · 5 min read
How MMA Scoring Works: The 10-Point Must System, Explained
What 10-9 and 10-8 actually mean, what judges are told to look for, and why scorecards still surprise people. Explained with UFCalendar's scorecard database.
Aug 2, 2026 · 4 min read