UFCalendar
UFC & MMA Blog
Analysis, explainers, and stories written on top of UFCalendar's live MMA database.
Investigations
Gable Steveson is a 19-to-1 favorite over an 0-2 heavyweight
Gable Steveson vs Sean Sharaf at UFC 331: one UFC fight against two knockout losses, priced at -1900, on a pay-per-view main card. The precedent is not kind.
Sep 17, 2026 · 6 min read
UFC 331 prelims: Tuivasa, Vera and Chikadze fight to stay
UFC 331 prelims put Tai Tuivasa on a seven-fight skid, Marlon Vera on four and Giga Chikadze on three, and the betting market has moved against all three.
Sep 16, 2026 · 5 min read
UFC 331: Tsarukyan vs. Ruffy Decides Who Waits at 155
Arman Tsarukyan meets Mauricio Ruffy at UFC 331 with the No. 2 lightweight spot on the line, deciding who stays in the picture behind Topuria and Gaethje.
Sep 15, 2026 · 4 min read
UFC 331: Van Defends the Belt He Took From Pantoja in 26 Seconds
Joshua Van defends the UFC flyweight title against Alexandre Pantoja at UFC 331, the champion he knocked out in 26 seconds to take the belt in December.
Sep 15, 2026 · 7 min read
ONE Friday Fights 170 Went to Split Decision Four Times
Four of the twelve decisions at ONE Friday Fights 170 went split, nearly double the show's own historical rate. Here is the fight by fight breakdown.
Sep 12, 2026 · 5 min read
Noche UFC odds: not one underdog on the card has been backed
Noche UFC betting odds moved to the favorite in eleven of thirteen fights. Rafa Garcia drifted the furthest, and nobody will put a price on Brandon Moreno.
Sep 9, 2026 · 6 min read
What a Contender Series contract is actually worth
Contender Series data: 104 winners across 27 shows, 69 percent reached the UFC, 30 percent got three wins, seven are ranked today and none has fought for a title.
Sep 8, 2026 · 4 min read
UFC rankings: Song Yadong to No. 3, Denise Gomes jumps seven spots
The UFC's September 1 rankings update moved Song Yadong to bantamweight No. 3 and Denise Gomes from No. 14 to No. 7 at strawweight off two Shanghai finishes.
Sep 2, 2026 · 4 min read
Salahdine Parnasse vs Dan Hooker: the shortest debut price yet
Hooker vs Parnasse: Salahdine Parnasse is a -595 favorite on his UFC debut. The five fighters imported straight into a UFC main event since 2013 all lost.
Sep 1, 2026 · 9 min read
Nine French fighters at UFC Paris, and a 23-5 home record
UFC Paris has nine French fighters, tying the record. Across four Accor Arena cards French fighters are 23-5, and 18-1 when the books favored them.
Sep 1, 2026 · 6 min read
UFC Shanghai predictions scored: our model went 8 for 13
We said our model faded the UFC Shanghai favorites. Scored against the results it went 8-for-13, level with the market, and badly wrong on Umar Nurmagomedov.
Aug 31, 2026 · 5 min read
BKFC 92: the punch numbers behind Ferea and Stewart
BKFC 92 at Fenway Park by the numbers: Christine Ferea's 11 knockdowns lead every woman in BKFC history, and champion Kai Stewart hits 66.4 percent.
Aug 28, 2026 · 8 min read
UFC Shanghai predictions: our model fades the favorites
Our AI model disagrees with the betting market on Yan Xiaonan vs Denise Gomes and fades the favorite in eight of the thirteen UFC Shanghai fights.
Aug 27, 2026 · 5 min read
Rei Tsuruya vs Kevin Borjas: two men Joshua Van already beat
Rei Tsuruya vs Kevin Borjas at UFC Shanghai pairs two fighters who went the distance with champion Joshua Van and lost. What that tape is worth now.
Aug 26, 2026 · 5 min read
UFC Shanghai has four flyweight fights. That has happened once.
The UFC Shanghai card stacks four flyweight bouts, something only UFC Mexico City 2024 has topped. Inside the division pipeline the booking reveals.
Aug 26, 2026 · 6 min read
Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong: the Figueiredo receipts
Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong: both men beat Deiveson Figueiredo this year. One needed 4:50 of control and 15 minutes. The other needed a second-round choke.
Aug 25, 2026 · 6 min read