UFCalendar
UFC & MMA Blog
Analysis, explainers, and stories written on top of UFCalendar's live MMA database.
Editorials
Patricio Pitbull is 1-2 in the UFC and the line is moving
Patricio Pitbull vs Dooho Choi at UFC 331: Pitbull has drifted from +177 to +219 in three weeks while Choi rides three straight knockouts into Los Angeles.
Sep 16, 2026 · 4 min read
The UFC paid Jose Delgado $6,000 to save its main event
Jose Delgado stepped in on short notice to keep Noche UFC's main event intact and lost to Jean Silva. His verified minimum payout was $6,000, exposing a pay tier that prices tenure, never risk.
Sep 13, 2026 · 4 min read
David Martinez vs. Dan Ige: an 82 Percent Mismatch at Noche UFC
Vegas prices David Martinez as an 81 percent favorite over Dan Ige at Noche UFC, and our model agrees at 82, yet it is the least previewed fight on the card.
Sep 11, 2026 · 4 min read
Super Rizin 5 and the myth of the moving line
Super Rizin 5 odds review: the line moved on all eight fights and went 3-1 either way, while six of the eight were decided on the mat.
Sep 10, 2026 · 5 min read
DWCS 91: where our model and the betting market split
DWCS 91 odds vs our model: the books have Kwon Won Il at a coin flip and Martin Kozak at -474. We disagree on three of Tuesday's five Contender Series fights.
Sep 7, 2026 · 5 min read
UFC Paris scored: the favorites held, our numbers did not
We scored every UFC Paris prediction against the closing odds: our model went 8 of 14, the market 9 of 14, and three upsets beat both of us in Paris.
Sep 5, 2026 · 5 min read
Rafael Lovato Jr. deserved a better fight than this one
Rafael Lovato Jr. was 11-0 with a world title win over Gegard Mousasi. ONE booked him against a submission grappling specialist and it took 112 seconds.
Sep 5, 2026 · 4 min read
Kai Asakura, Xiong Jing Nan and the UFC's import problem
Kai Asakura knocked out Aoriqileng in 34 seconds. Xiong Jing Nan lost in a round and is 0-2. The UFC keeps signing champions and spending them immediately.
Aug 31, 2026 · 5 min read