Ultimate Fighting Calendar
LightweightFight of the Night3 rounds scheduled
RESULT

Chris Duncan def. Mateusz Rębecki (Unanimous Decision)

Unanimous Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
WIN
Chris Duncan
The Problem
15-3-0
Saturday, August 2, 2025
Meta Apex, Las Vegas, United States

Chris Duncan defeated Mateusz Rębecki by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Taira vs Park, held Saturday, August 2, 2025 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas. The judges scored it 29-28, 30-27, 29-28, Chris Duncan won the decision.

Fight stats

Mateusz Rębecki
Chris Duncan
0
Knockdowns
0
114 of 267
Significant strikes
92 of 222
43%
Sig. strike accuracy
41%
123 of 278
Total strikes
95 of 225
2 of 6
Takedowns
0 of 1
33%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
1:23
Control time
0:27
Significant strikes by target
88 of 235
Head
67 of 181
7 of 13
Body
20 of 35
19 of 19
Leg
5 of 6
104 of 256
Distance
85 of 214
10 of 11
Clinch
7 of 8
0 of 0
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
32 of 74
Sig. str.
19 of 62
38 of 81
Total str.
19 of 62
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
1:00
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
38 of 88
Sig. str.
25 of 62
38 of 88
Total str.
26 of 63
1 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:19
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
44 of 105
Sig. str.
48 of 98
47 of 109
Total str.
50 of 100
1 of 4
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:04
Ctrl
0:27

Judges' Scorecards

#RębeckiDuncan
1109
2910
3910
Total2829
#RębeckiDuncan
1910
2910
3910
Total2730
#RębeckiDuncan
1109
2910
3910
Total2829

Media Scores

2
Rębecki
-
9
Duncan
29-28 Duncan×829-28 Rębecki×230-27 Duncan
All 11 media scorecards

Fan Scorecards

47%
Rębecki
1%
Draw
51%
Duncan
140 fan scorecards submitted
29-28 Rębecki42.1%29-28 Duncan35.7%30-27 Duncan15.7%30-27 Rębecki4.3%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
82%
Rębecki
R2
81%
Duncan
R3
64%
Duncan

Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com

Betting Odds

Mateusz Rębecki
-236
70% implied win probability
Open: -215Best: -220
Chris Duncan
+198
34% implied win probability
Open: +178Best: +211

Average moneyline across 20 sportsbooks.

SportsbookMateusz RębeckiChris Duncan
4casters-220+204
4Cx-225+204
Bet105-221+193
BetAnything-245+205
BetMGM-250+200
BetOnline-227+192
BetRivers-265+200
BetUS-235+194
Betway-225+175
Bookmaker-250+207
Bovada-245+205
Caesars-250+205
Circa-225+195
Cloudbet-234+211
DraftKings-245+200
FanDuel-240+198
MyBookie-240+190
Pinnacle-222+194
Stake-238+205
SXBet-228+186

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Mateusz Rębecki vs Chris Duncan?

Chris Duncan defeated Mateusz Rębecki by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Taira vs Park, held Saturday, August 2, 2025 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas. The judges scored it 29-28, 30-27, 29-28, Chris Duncan won the decision.

What were the judges' scorecards for Mateusz Rębecki vs Chris Duncan?

The judges scored it 29-28, 30-27, 29-28, Chris Duncan won the decision.

Was Mateusz Rębecki vs Chris Duncan a robbery?

Public scoring backed the judges: 51% of 140 fan cards scored it for Chris Duncan; 82% of 11 media scores picked Chris Duncan.

Full robbery index
Referee
Kerry Hatley
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Mateusz Rębecki 59%41% Chris Duncan

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Lightweight roster (302 fighters)

Mateusz Rębecki
Grappling Specialist
7 edges
Chris Duncan
Submission Ace
4 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

83Power88
87Speed84
73Precision72
85Durability81
83Engine90
96Wrestling95
91Ground93

Biggest edge Mateusz Rębecki, Punch speed +21

Attribute by attribute

Mateusz Rębecki is on the left of every row, Chris Duncan on the right.
97Punch power94
68Kick power82
95Punch speed74
78Kick speed93
73Accuracy72
96Takedowns95
95Ground striking90
87Submissions96
91Chin90
79Body strength72
83Cardio90

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

21-5-0
Record
15-3-0
1871
Power Index rating
1808
1
Win Streak
0
33
Age
33
5'7"
170 cm
Height
5'10"
178 cm
66"
168 cm
Reach
71"
180 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lightweight
Weight Class
Lightweight
Poland
Nationality
Scotland

Striking Profile

5.28
SLpM
4.83
49%
Str. Acc.
45%
4.19
SApM
4.57
54%
Str. Def.
50%

Grappling Profile

3.05
TD Avg.
2.92
50%
TD Acc.
40%
53%
TD Def.
55%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.60

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Mateusz Rębecki · 2-3
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Medić vs Rodriguez · Aug 1, 2026
    TKO · R1 · 4:41 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC 328: Chimaev vs Strickland · May 9, 2026
    Submission · R3 · 4:42 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC 321: Aspinall vs Gane · Oct 25, 2025
    Majority Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Taira vs Park · Aug 2, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 308: Topuria vs Holloway · Oct 26, 2024
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Catchweight
Chris Duncan · 4-1
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Duncan · Apr 4, 2026
    Submission · R2 · 3:14 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs Yan 2 · Dec 6, 2025
    Submission · R1 · 2:30 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Taira vs Park · Aug 2, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs Brady · Mar 22, 2025
    Submission · R2 · 3:42 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Paris: Moicano vs Saint Denis · Sep 28, 2024
    Submission · R1 · 3:34 · Lightweight

Career Averages

Based on 9 fights · 8 fights
63.3
Avg sig. strikes
40.1
2.22
Avg takedowns
1.63
3:22
Avg control time
1:54
114
Career high strikes
92
4
Career high TDs
5

Strike Distribution

Mateusz Rębecki
Strike target
Chris Duncan
72%
Head
60%
15%
Body
23%
13%
Leg
17%
Mateusz Rębecki
Strike position
Chris Duncan
71%
Distance
82%
5%
Clinch
7%
25%
Ground
11%