Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Lightweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Chris Duncan
The Problem
15-3-0
RESULT

Chris Duncan def. Omar Morales (Split Decision)

Split Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
Omar Morales
Venezuelan Fighter
11-4-0
Saturday, March 18, 2023
The O2, London, United Kingdom

Chris Duncan defeated Omar Morales by Split Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Lightweight bout of UFC 286: Edwards vs Usman 3, held Saturday, March 18, 2023 at The O2, London. The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 27-30, Chris Duncan won the decision.

Fight stats

Chris Duncan
Omar Morales
0
Knockdowns
0
53 of 83
Significant strikes
47 of 80
64%
Sig. strike accuracy
59%
62 of 92
Total strikes
53 of 86
5 of 14
Takedowns
0 of 0
36%
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
1
6:31
Control time
0:02
Significant strikes by target
12 of 25
Head
32 of 64
17 of 21
Body
5 of 6
24 of 37
Leg
10 of 10
43 of 73
Distance
41 of 73
3 of 3
Clinch
5 of 6
7 of 7
Ground
1 of 1

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
24 of 40
Sig. str.
26 of 42
24 of 40
Total str.
27 of 43
0 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:12
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
14 of 24
Sig. str.
7 of 17
20 of 30
Total str.
10 of 20
1 of 5
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
2:42
Ctrl
0:02
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
15 of 19
Sig. str.
14 of 21
18 of 22
Total str.
16 of 23
4 of 7
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
3:37
Ctrl
0:00

Judges' Scorecards

#DuncanMorales
1910
2109
3109
Total2928
#DuncanMorales
1910
2109
3109
Total2928
#DuncanMorales
1910
2910
3910
Total2730

Media Scores

15
Duncan
-
4
Morales
29-28 Duncan×1329-28 Morales×430-27 Duncan×2
All 19 media scorecards

Fan Scorecards

55%
Duncan
1%
Draw
44%
Morales
89 fan scorecards submitted
29-28 Duncan47.2%29-28 Morales36%30-27 Morales7.9%30-27 Duncan6.7%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
87%
Morales
R2
58%
Duncan
R3
82%
Duncan

Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com

Betting Odds

Chris Duncan
-117
54% implied win probability
Open: -107Best: -103
Omar Morales
-109
52% implied win probability
Open: -115Best: +105

Average moneyline across 13 sportsbooks.

SportsbookChris DuncanOmar Morales
BetAnything-115-115
BetOnline-106-114
BetUS-110-120
Betway-125-111
Bovada-110-110
Cloudbet-110-110
DraftKings-115-115
FanDuel-128+102
MyBookie-109-116
Pinnacle-103-109
sportsbetio-172+102
sports-interaction-140+105
unibet-112-110

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Chris Duncan vs Omar Morales?

Chris Duncan defeated Omar Morales by Split Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Lightweight bout of UFC 286: Edwards vs Usman 3, held Saturday, March 18, 2023 at The O2, London. The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 27-30, Chris Duncan won the decision.

What were the judges' scorecards for Chris Duncan vs Omar Morales?

The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 27-30, Chris Duncan won the decision.

Was Chris Duncan vs Omar Morales a robbery?

Public scoring backed the judges: 55% of 89 fan cards scored it for Chris Duncan; 79% of 19 media scores picked Chris Duncan.

Full robbery index
Referee
Lukasz Bosacki
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Chris Duncan 65%35% Omar Morales

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Lightweight roster (302 fighters)

Chris Duncan
Submission Ace
7 edges
Omar Morales
Complete Fighter
4 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

88Power67
84Speed95
72Precision94
81Durability88
90Engine93
95Wrestling70
93Ground58

Biggest edge Chris Duncan, Submissions +42

Attribute by attribute

Chris Duncan is on the left of every row, Omar Morales on the right.
94Punch power62
82Kick power72
74Punch speed97
93Kick speed92
72Accuracy94
95Takedowns70
90Ground striking61
96Submissions54
90Chin81
72Body strength94
90Cardio93

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

15-3-0
Record
11-4-0
1754
Power Index rating
1644
0
Win Streak
0
33
Age
40
5'10"
178 cm
Height
5'11"
180 cm
71"
180 cm
Reach
73"
185 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lightweight
Weight Class
Lightweight
Scotland
Nationality
Venezuela

Striking Profile

4.83
SLpM
3.42
45%
Str. Acc.
40%
4.57
SApM
3.18
50%
Str. Def.
58%

Grappling Profile

2.92
TD Avg.
0.46
40%
TD Acc.
100%
55%
TD Def.
63%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Chris Duncan · 4-1
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Duncan · Apr 4, 2026
    Submission · R2 · 3:14 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs Yan 2 · Dec 6, 2025
    Submission · R1 · 2:30 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Taira vs Park · Aug 2, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs Brady · Mar 22, 2025
    Submission · R2 · 3:42 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Paris: Moicano vs Saint Denis · Sep 28, 2024
    Submission · R1 · 3:34 · Lightweight
Omar Morales · 4-1
  • W
    Pradabsri vs. Canizales II · Aug 1, 2025
    TKO
  • W
    Karate Combat 50 · Oct 11, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · Welterweight
  • W
    Karate Combat · Mar 23, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · Welterweight
  • W
    Karate Combat 43 · Dec 15, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC 286: Edwards vs Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight

Career Averages

Based on 8 fights · 7 fights
40.1
Avg sig. strikes
41.4
1.63
Avg takedowns
0.43
1:54
Avg control time
1:17
92
Career high strikes
69
5
Career high TDs
2

Strike Distribution

Chris Duncan
Strike target
Omar Morales
60%
Head
65%
23%
Body
19%
17%
Leg
16%
Chris Duncan
Strike position
Omar Morales
82%
Distance
88%
7%
Clinch
7%
11%
Ground
5%