Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Lightweight3 rounds scheduled
RESULT

Mateusz Rębecki def. Roosevelt Roberts (Submission)

Submission · Round 1 · 3:08
Roosevelt Roberts
The Predator
12-6-0 (1 NC)
Saturday, November 11, 2023
Madison Square Garden, New York, United States

Mateusz Rębecki defeated Roosevelt Roberts by Submission in round 1 (3:08) in the Lightweight bout of UFC 295: Procházka vs Pereira, held Saturday, November 11, 2023 at Madison Square Garden, New York.

Fight stats

Mateusz Rębecki
Roosevelt Roberts
0
Knockdowns
0
10 of 16
Significant strikes
2 of 7
63%
Sig. strike accuracy
29%
28 of 38
Total strikes
6 of 12
2 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 0
100%
Takedown accuracy
-
1
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
1
2:14
Control time
0:13
Significant strikes by target
7 of 11
Head
1 of 5
0 of 1
Body
0 of 1
3 of 4
Leg
1 of 1
3 of 9
Distance
2 of 7
0 of 0
Clinch
0 of 0
7 of 7
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
10 of 16
Sig. str.
2 of 7
28 of 38
Total str.
6 of 12
2 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 0
1
Sub. att
0
2:14
Ctrl
0:13

Betting Odds

Mateusz Rębecki
-879
90% implied win probability
Open: -662Best: -625
Roosevelt Roberts
+574
15% implied win probability
Open: +452Best: +920

Average moneyline across 11 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Mateusz RębeckiRoosevelt Roberts
10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%Nov 7Nov 9Nov 10Nov 12Nov 7, 10:24 PM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -400 (80%)Nov 7, 10:42 PM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -550 (85%)Nov 8, 6:12 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -650 (87%)Nov 8, 2:02 PM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -679 (87%)Nov 8, 9:11 PM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -669 (87%)Nov 8, 11:01 PM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -676 (87%)Nov 8, 11:11 PM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -681 (87%)Nov 9, 12:16 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -684 (87%)Nov 9, 12:42 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -674 (87%)Nov 9, 3:27 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -683 (87%)Nov 9, 1:52 PM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -709 (88%)Nov 10, 1:30 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -705 (88%)Nov 10, 4:27 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -701 (88%)Nov 10, 5:00 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -703 (88%)Nov 10, 5:40 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -701 (88%)Nov 10, 7:10 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -682 (87%)Nov 10, 8:25 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -679 (87%)Nov 10, 8:30 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -659 (87%)Nov 10, 8:35 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -657 (87%)Nov 10, 8:45 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -652 (87%)Nov 10, 9:30 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -645 (87%)Nov 10, 11:35 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -637 (86%)Nov 10, 1:25 PM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -636 (86%)Nov 10, 3:05 PM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -636 (86%)Nov 10, 3:48 PM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -619 (86%)Nov 10, 4:00 PM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -628 (86%)Nov 10, 5:45 PM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -635 (86%)Nov 10, 6:00 PM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -637 (86%)Nov 10, 6:05 PM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -641 (87%)Nov 10, 6:10 PM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -643 (87%)Nov 10, 7:00 PM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -637 (86%)Nov 10, 7:40 PM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -635 (86%)Nov 10, 9:00 PM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -636 (86%)Nov 10, 11:50 PM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -637 (86%)Nov 11, 12:15 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -646 (87%)Nov 11, 12:20 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -657 (87%)Nov 11, 12:45 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -674 (87%)Nov 11, 12:50 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -683 (87%)Nov 11, 1:35 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -686 (87%)Nov 11, 1:40 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -686 (87%)Nov 11, 6:05 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -689 (87%)Nov 11, 7:27 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -694 (87%)Nov 11, 10:39 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -700 (88%)Nov 11, 12:06 PM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -705 (88%)Nov 11, 1:15 PM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -720 (88%)Nov 11, 2:10 PM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -726 (88%)Nov 11, 3:01 PM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -730 (88%)Nov 11, 5:05 PM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -735 (88%)Nov 11, 5:20 PM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -741 (88%)Nov 11, 6:55 PM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -736 (88%)Nov 11, 7:11 PM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -740 (88%)Nov 11, 9:56 PM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -763 (88%)Nov 12, 12:27 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -784 (89%)Nov 12, 12:30 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -790 (89%)Nov 12, 12:55 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -789 (89%)Nov 12, 1:01 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -794 (89%)Nov 12, 1:11 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -816 (89%)Nov 12, 1:24 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -817 (89%)Nov 12, 1:25 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -807 (89%)Nov 12, 1:31 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -833 (89%)Nov 12, 1:35 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -804 (89%)Nov 12, 1:35 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -797 (89%)Nov 12, 1:40 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -797 (89%)Nov 12, 1:41 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -770 (89%)Nov 12, 1:45 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -842 (89%)Nov 12, 1:46 AM UTC · Mateusz Rębecki -879 (90%)Nov 7, 10:24 PM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +300 (25%)Nov 7, 10:42 PM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +400 (20%)Nov 8, 6:12 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +475 (17%)Nov 8, 2:02 PM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +449 (18%)Nov 8, 9:11 PM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +457 (18%)Nov 8, 11:01 PM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +461 (18%)Nov 8, 11:11 PM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +464 (18%)Nov 9, 12:16 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +465 (18%)Nov 9, 12:42 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +474 (17%)Nov 9, 3:27 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +478 (17%)Nov 9, 1:52 PM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +491 (17%)Nov 10, 1:30 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +489 (17%)Nov 10, 4:27 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +491 (17%)Nov 10, 5:00 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +493 (17%)Nov 10, 5:40 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +491 (17%)Nov 10, 7:10 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +481 (17%)Nov 10, 8:25 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +476 (17%)Nov 10, 8:30 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +472 (17%)Nov 10, 8:35 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +465 (18%)Nov 10, 8:45 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +462 (18%)Nov 10, 9:30 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +460 (18%)Nov 10, 11:35 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +456 (18%)Nov 10, 1:25 PM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +454 (18%)Nov 10, 3:05 PM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +454 (18%)Nov 10, 3:48 PM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +447 (18%)Nov 10, 4:00 PM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +449 (18%)Nov 10, 5:45 PM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +451 (18%)Nov 10, 6:00 PM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +455 (18%)Nov 10, 6:05 PM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +456 (18%)Nov 10, 6:10 PM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +457 (18%)Nov 10, 7:00 PM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +453 (18%)Nov 10, 7:40 PM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +452 (18%)Nov 10, 9:00 PM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +452 (18%)Nov 10, 11:50 PM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +453 (18%)Nov 11, 12:15 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +461 (18%)Nov 11, 12:20 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +468 (18%)Nov 11, 12:45 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +480 (17%)Nov 11, 12:50 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +484 (17%)Nov 11, 1:35 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +478 (17%)Nov 11, 1:40 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +488 (17%)Nov 11, 6:05 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +490 (17%)Nov 11, 7:27 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +492 (17%)Nov 11, 10:39 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +498 (17%)Nov 11, 12:06 PM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +501 (17%)Nov 11, 1:15 PM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +507 (16%)Nov 11, 2:10 PM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +509 (16%)Nov 11, 3:01 PM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +510 (16%)Nov 11, 5:05 PM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +513 (16%)Nov 11, 5:20 PM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +516 (16%)Nov 11, 6:55 PM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +512 (16%)Nov 11, 7:11 PM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +514 (16%)Nov 11, 9:56 PM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +522 (16%)Nov 12, 12:27 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +533 (16%)Nov 12, 12:30 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +537 (16%)Nov 12, 12:55 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +537 (16%)Nov 12, 1:01 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +539 (16%)Nov 12, 1:11 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +537 (16%)Nov 12, 1:24 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +539 (16%)Nov 12, 1:25 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +537 (16%)Nov 12, 1:31 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +516 (16%)Nov 12, 1:35 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +518 (16%)Nov 12, 1:35 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +512 (16%)Nov 12, 1:40 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +512 (16%)Nov 12, 1:41 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +515 (16%)Nov 12, 1:45 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +565 (15%)Nov 12, 1:46 AM UTC · Roosevelt Roberts +574 (15%)-879+574
SportsbookMateusz RębeckiRoosevelt Roberts
BetAnything-800+450
BetOnline-800+550
BetUS-800+500
Betway-1429+600
Bovada-800+525
Cloudbet-625+476
DraftKings-1450+750
FanDuel-1800+920
MyBookie-850+550
Pinnacle-670+470
unibet-770+525

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Mateusz Rębecki vs Roosevelt Roberts?

Mateusz Rębecki defeated Roosevelt Roberts by Submission in round 1 (3:08) in the Lightweight bout of UFC 295: Procházka vs Pereira, held Saturday, November 11, 2023 at Madison Square Garden, New York.

Referee
Mike Beltran
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Mateusz Rębecki 68%32% Roosevelt Roberts

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Lightweight roster (302 fighters)

Mateusz Rębecki
Grappling Specialist
10 edges
Roosevelt Roberts
Complete Fighter
1 edge
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

83Power58
87Speed69
73Precision61
85Durability68
83Engine73
96Wrestling78
91Ground80

Biggest edge Mateusz Rębecki, Punch power +47

Attribute by attribute

Mateusz Rębecki is on the left of every row, Roosevelt Roberts on the right.
97Punch power50
68Kick power66
95Punch speed70
78Kick speed67
73Accuracy61
96Takedowns78
95Ground striking65
87Submissions95
91Chin69
79Body strength66
83Cardio73

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

21-5-0
Record
12-6-0 (1 NC)
1877
Power Index rating
1746
1
Win Streak
0
33
Age
32
5'7"
170 cm
Height
6'2"
188 cm
66"
168 cm
Reach
73"
185 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lightweight
Weight Class
Lightweight
Poland
Nationality
United States

Striking Profile

5.28
SLpM
2.84
49%
Str. Acc.
43%
4.19
SApM
3.10
54%
Str. Def.
52%

Grappling Profile

3.05
TD Avg.
1.18
50%
TD Acc.
26%
53%
TD Def.
50%
0.40
Sub. Avg.
0.70

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Mateusz Rębecki · 2-3
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Medić vs Rodriguez · Aug 1, 2026
    TKO · R1 · 4:41 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC 328: Chimaev vs Strickland · May 9, 2026
    Submission · R3 · 4:42 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC 321: Aspinall vs Gane · Oct 25, 2025
    Majority Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Taira vs Park · Aug 2, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 308: Topuria vs Holloway · Oct 26, 2024
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Catchweight
Roosevelt Roberts · 2-3
  • L
    UFC Paris: Moicano vs Saint Denis · Sep 28, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC 295: Procházka vs Pereira · Nov 11, 2023
    Submission · R1 · 3:08 · Lightweight
  • L
    The Ultimate Fighter 31 · Mar 13, 2023
    Split Decision · Lightweight
  • W
    The Ultimate Fighter 31 · Feb 23, 2023
    TKO · R1 · 0:08 · Lightweight
  • W
    Eagle FC 47 · May 20, 2022
    Unanimous Decision · Lightweight

Career Averages

Based on 9 fights · 9 fights
63.3
Avg sig. strikes
27.8
2.22
Avg takedowns
0.56
3:22
Avg control time
2:13
114
Career high strikes
55
4
Career high TDs
2

Strike Distribution

Mateusz Rębecki
Strike target
Roosevelt Roberts
72%
Head
72%
15%
Body
15%
13%
Leg
12%
Mateusz Rębecki
Strike position
Roosevelt Roberts
71%
Distance
80%
5%
Clinch
7%
25%
Ground
14%