Mateusz Rębecki def. Kyle Prepolec (TKO)
Mateusz Rębecki defeated Kyle Prepolec by TKO in round 1 (4:41) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Medić vs Rodriguez, held Saturday, August 1, 2026 at Belgrade Arena, BG.
Fight stats
By round
Betting Odds
Average moneyline across 25 sportsbooks.
Line Movement
| Sportsbook | Mateusz Rębecki | Kyle Prepolec |
|---|---|---|
| 4casters | -795 | +670 |
| 4Cx | -808 | +653 |
| Bet105 | -790 | +607 |
| BetAnything | -970 | +525 |
| BetMGM | -900 | +600 |
| BetOnline | -1100 | +709 |
| BetRivers | -833 | +525 |
| BetUS | -945 | +600 |
| Betway | -649 | +450 |
| Bookmaker | -700 | +506 |
| Bovada | -850 | +575 |
| Caesars | -1000 | +650 |
| Circa | -1150 | +750 |
| Cloudbet | -909 | +600 |
| DraftKings | -800 | +550 |
| FanDuel | -720 | +520 |
| HardRockBet | -850 | +525 |
| Kalshi | -900 | +900 |
| MyBookie | -1122 | +658 |
| Pinnacle | -772 | +595 |
| Polymarket | -809 | +733 |
| ProphetX | -790 | +700 |
| Stake | -833 | +560 |
| SXBet | -789 | +556 |
| YouWager | -1000 | +650 |
Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io
Frequently asked questions
Who won Mateusz Rębecki vs Kyle Prepolec?
Mateusz Rębecki defeated Kyle Prepolec by TKO in round 1 (4:41) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Medić vs Rodriguez, held Saturday, August 1, 2026 at Belgrade Arena, BG.
Pre-fight comparison▾
UFCalendar model win probability
What drove this number
- Opposition level (Power Index)1547.0UFCalendar Power Index rating1416.068%Power Index win expectancy32%
- Striking47%Striking accuracy34%4.5Strikes absorbed/min5.755%Striking defense49%
- Pre-UFC pedigree1.0Pre-UFC losses6.094%Pre-UFC win rate70%16.0Pre-UFC wins14.0
- Age & prime33.8Age36.90.8y past prime3.9y past prime
- Full career80%Career win rate58%20.0Career wins14.04501.0Career length6496.0
Model opinion, not betting advice. 18+.
Win probability
What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index
Fight DNA
Head to headUFCalendar's style model · Lightweight roster (302 fighters)
Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap
Style shape
Biggest edge Mateusz Rębecki, Ground striking +43
Attribute by attribute
Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.