Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Lightweight3 rounds scheduled
Clay Guida
The Carpenter
38-22-0
RESULT

Rafa Garcia def. Clay Guida (Unanimous Decision)

Unanimous Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
WIN
Rafa Garcia
Gifted
19-4-0
Saturday, April 15, 2023
T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, United States

Rafa Garcia defeated Clay Guida by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Allen, held Saturday, April 15, 2023 at T-Mobile Center, Kansas City. The judges scored it 30-27, 30-27, 30-27, Rafa Garcia won the decision.

Fight stats

Clay Guida
Rafa Garcia
0
Knockdowns
0
63 of 252
Significant strikes
141 of 287
25%
Sig. strike accuracy
49%
63 of 252
Total strikes
143 of 289
0 of 3
Takedowns
0 of 1
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:00
Control time
0:20
Significant strikes by target
49 of 227
Head
130 of 269
4 of 12
Body
5 of 12
10 of 13
Leg
6 of 6
63 of 252
Distance
138 of 284
0 of 0
Clinch
3 of 3
0 of 0
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
23 of 92
Sig. str.
34 of 89
23 of 92
Total str.
34 of 89
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
21 of 88
Sig. str.
65 of 110
21 of 88
Total str.
65 of 110
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
19 of 72
Sig. str.
42 of 88
19 of 72
Total str.
44 of 90
0 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:20

Judges' Scorecards

#GuidaGarcia
1910
2910
3910
Total2730
#GuidaGarcia
1910
2910
3910
Total2730
#GuidaGarcia
1910
2910
3910
Total2730

Media Scores

0
Guida
-
17
Garcia
30-27 Garcia×17
All 17 media scorecards

Fan Scorecards

3%
Guida
97%
Garcia
39 fan scorecards submitted
30-27 Garcia76.9%29-28 Garcia10.3%30-26 Garcia10.3%30-25 Guida2.6%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
87%
Garcia
R2
87%
Garcia
R3
97%
Garcia

Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com

Betting Odds

Clay Guida
+487
17% implied win probability
Open: +188Best: +1800
Rafa Garcia
-374
79% implied win probability
Open: -240Best: -263

Average moneyline across 13 sportsbooks.

SportsbookClay GuidaRafa Garcia
BetAnything+210-280
BetOnline+268-318
BetUS+210-280
Betway+900-5000
Bovada+230-280
Cloudbet+264-302
DraftKings+1400-5000
FanDuel+1800-4500
MyBookie+200-263
Pinnacle+255-350
sportsbetio+174-303
sports-interaction+215-300
unibet+210-275

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Clay Guida vs Rafa Garcia?

Rafa Garcia defeated Clay Guida by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Allen, held Saturday, April 15, 2023 at T-Mobile Center, Kansas City. The judges scored it 30-27, 30-27, 30-27, Rafa Garcia won the decision.

What were the judges' scorecards for Clay Guida vs Rafa Garcia?

The judges scored it 30-27, 30-27, 30-27, Rafa Garcia won the decision.

Was Clay Guida vs Rafa Garcia a robbery?

Public scoring backed the judges: 97% of 39 fan cards scored it for Rafa Garcia; 100% of 17 media scores picked Rafa Garcia.

Full robbery index
Referee
Dwayne Bess
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Clay Guida 45%55% Rafa Garcia

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Lightweight roster (24 fighters)

Clay Guida
Pressure Wrestler
9 edges
Rafa Garcia
Grappling Specialist
1 edge
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

89Power52
92Speed77
89Precision82
96Durability87
100Engine95
96Wrestling97
93Ground76

Biggest edge Clay Guida, Punch power +43

Attribute by attribute

Clay Guida is on the left of every row, Rafa Garcia on the right.
90Punch power47
88Kick power57
93Punch speed89
90Kick speed64
89Accuracy82
96Takedowns97
93Ground striking59
92Submissions92
95Chin93
96Body strength81
100Cardio95

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

38-22-0
Record
19-4-0
1733
Power Index rating
1769
0
Win Streak
3
44
Age
32
5'7"
170 cm
Height
5'7"
170 cm
70"
178 cm
Reach
70"
178 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lightweight
Weight Class
Lightweight
United States
Nationality
Mexico

Striking Profile

2.63
SLpM
4.28
33%
Str. Acc.
44%
3.00
SApM
4.42
61%
Str. Def.
61%

Grappling Profile

3.10
TD Avg.
3.22
35%
TD Acc.
45%
66%
TD Def.
77%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.40

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Clay Guida · 0-5
  • L
    RAF 6: Cejudo vs. Faber · Feb 28, 2026
  • L
    RAF 3: Mendes vs. Chandler · Nov 29, 2025
  • L
    UFC 310: Pantoja vs Asakura · Dec 7, 2024
    Submission · R1 · 3:41 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs Tsarukyan · Dec 2, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Allen · Apr 15, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
Rafa Garcia · 4-1
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal · Apr 25, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    Noche UFC: Lopes vs Silva · Sep 13, 2025
    TKO · R3 · 2:27 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Erceg · Mar 29, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Royval vs Taira · Oct 12, 2024
    TKO · R2 · 1:42 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Allen · Apr 15, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight

Career Averages

Based on 37 fights · 11 fights
31.2
Avg sig. strikes
57.9
2.11
Avg takedowns
2.91
4:14
Avg control time
2:57
80
Career high strikes
141
10
Career high TDs
7

Strike Distribution

Clay Guida
Strike target
Rafa Garcia
60%
Head
79%
16%
Body
13%
24%
Leg
8%
Clay Guida
Strike position
Rafa Garcia
65%
Distance
85%
14%
Clinch
10%
21%
Ground
5%