Ultimate Fighting Calendar
FeatherweightPerformance of the Night3 rounds scheduled
Clay Guida
The Carpenter
38-22-0
RESULT

Thiago Tavares def. Clay Guida (Submission)

Submission · Round 1 · 0:39
Saturday, November 7, 2015
Ibirapuera Gymnasium, Sao Paulo, Brazil

Thiago Tavares defeated Clay Guida by Submission in round 1 (0:39) in the Featherweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson, held Saturday, November 7, 2015 at Ibirapuera Gymnasium, Sao Paulo.

Fight stats

Clay Guida
Thiago Tavares
0
Knockdowns
0
3 of 11
Significant strikes
2 of 7
27%
Sig. strike accuracy
29%
3 of 11
Total strikes
2 of 7
1 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
100%
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
1
0
Reversals
0
0:18
Control time
0:01
Significant strikes by target
2 of 10
Head
2 of 7
0 of 0
Body
0 of 0
1 of 1
Leg
0 of 0
3 of 11
Distance
2 of 7
0 of 0
Clinch
0 of 0
0 of 0
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
3 of 11
Sig. str.
2 of 7
3 of 11
Total str.
2 of 7
1 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
1
0:18
Ctrl
0:01

Betting Odds

Clay Guida
-180
64% implied win probability
Open: -172Best: -175
Thiago Tavares
+147
40% implied win probability
Open: +138Best: +155

Average moneyline across 3 sportsbooks.

SportsbookClay GuidaThiago Tavares
Bookmaker-175+150
Bovada-190+155
sports-interaction-175+135

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Clay Guida vs Thiago Tavares?

Thiago Tavares defeated Clay Guida by Submission in round 1 (0:39) in the Featherweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson, held Saturday, November 7, 2015 at Ibirapuera Gymnasium, Sao Paulo.

Referee
Mario Yamasaki
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Clay Guida 56%44% Thiago Tavares

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Lightweight roster (24 fighters)

Clay Guida
Pressure Wrestler
8 edges
Thiago Tavares
Grappling Specialist
3 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

89Power50
92Speed52
89Precision51
96Durability68
100Engine94
96Wrestling97
93Ground96

Biggest edge Clay Guida, Punch power +45

Attribute by attribute

Clay Guida is on the left of every row, Thiago Tavares on the right.
90Punch power45
88Kick power54
93Punch speed50
90Kick speed54
89Accuracy51
96Takedowns97
93Ground striking95
92Submissions97
95Chin63
96Body strength72
100Cardio94

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

38-22-0
Record
21-7-1
1769
Power Index rating
1728
0
Win Streak
0
44
Age
41
5'7"
170 cm
Height
5'7"
170 cm
70"
178 cm
Reach
70"
178 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Featherweight
Weight Class
Featherweight
United States
Nationality
Brazil

Striking Profile

2.63
SLpM
2.00
33%
Str. Acc.
40%
3.00
SApM
2.31
61%
Str. Def.
62%

Grappling Profile

3.10
TD Avg.
3.83
35%
TD Acc.
42%
66%
TD Def.
62%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
1.50

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Clay Guida · 0-5
  • L
    RAF 6: Cejudo vs. Faber · Feb 28, 2026
  • L
    RAF 3: Mendes vs. Chandler · Nov 29, 2025
  • L
    UFC 310: Pantoja vs Asakura · Dec 7, 2024
    Submission · R1 · 3:41 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs Tsarukyan · Dec 2, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Allen · Apr 15, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
Thiago Tavares · 3-2
  • L
    RCC MMA 9: Vasilevskiy vs. Andrade · May 3, 2021
    TKO · R3 · 0:51 · Lightweight
  • W
    Gladiator CF 54 · Feb 6, 2021
    Submission · R1 · 1:27 · Featherweight
  • W
    Gladiator CF 53 · Oct 24, 2020
    TKO · R1 · 3:38 · Lightweight
  • L
    Professional Fighters League - PFL 9: 2018 Season PFL Playoffs 2 · Oct 12, 2018
    Decision · R2 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    Professional Fighters League - PFL 9: 2018 Season PFL Playoffs 2 · Oct 12, 2018
    TKO · R2 · 3:36 · Lightweight

Career Averages

Based on 37 fights · 22 fights
31.2
Avg sig. strikes
18.3
2.11
Avg takedowns
2.09
4:14
Avg control time
3:32
80
Career high strikes
55
10
Career high TDs
7

Strike Distribution

Clay Guida
Strike target
Thiago Tavares
60%
Head
70%
16%
Body
23%
24%
Leg
7%
Clay Guida
Strike position
Thiago Tavares
65%
Distance
54%
14%
Clinch
8%
21%
Ground
39%