Ultimate Fighting Calendar
UFCUFC Fight Night: Thompson vs Holland
Lightweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Clay Guida
United StatesClay Guida
“The Carpenter”
38-22-0
RESULT

Clay Guida def. Scott Holtzman (Split Decision)

Split Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
Scott Holtzman
United StatesScott Holtzman
“Hot Sauce”
14-6-0
Sunday, December 4, 2022
Amway Center, Orlando, United States

Clay Guida defeated Scott Holtzman by Split Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs Holland, held Sunday, December 4, 2022 at Amway Center, Orlando. The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 28-29, Clay Guida won the decision.

Fight stats

Clay Guida
Scott Holtzman
0
Knockdowns
0
66 of 183
Significant strikes
65 of 166
36%
Sig. strike accuracy
39%
95 of 215
Total strikes
77 of 178
4 of 15
Takedowns
0 of 0
27%
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
5:35
Control time
0:18
Significant strikes by target
30 of 134
Head
55 of 146
23 of 36
Body
5 of 13
13 of 13
Leg
5 of 7
58 of 173
Distance
60 of 160
5 of 7
Clinch
5 of 6
3 of 3
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
23 of 79
Sig. str.
18 of 63
23 of 79
Total str.
19 of 64
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
17 of 40
Sig. str.
22 of 42
29 of 53
Total str.
32 of 52
2 of 8
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
2:55
Ctrl
0:01
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
26 of 64
Sig. str.
25 of 61
43 of 83
Total str.
26 of 62
2 of 6
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
2:40
Ctrl
0:17

Judges' Scorecards

Eric Colón
#GuidaHoltzman
1910
2109
3109
Total2928
Michael Tate
#GuidaHoltzman
1910
2109
3109
Total2928
Dave Tirelli
#GuidaHoltzman
1910
2910
3109
Total2829

Media Scores

17
Guida
-
0
Holtzman
●29-28 Guida×14●30-27 Guida×3
All 17 media scorecards▾

Fan Scorecards

79%
Guida
21%
Holtzman
66 fan scorecards submitted
●29-28 Guida54.5%●30-27 Guida24.2%●29-28 Holtzman15.2%●30-27 Holtzman6.1%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
70%
Holtzman
R2
85%
Guida
R3
82%
Guida

Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com

Betting Odds

Clay Guida
+192
34% implied win probability
Open: +160Best: +275
Scott Holtzman
-238
70% implied win probability
Open: -201Best: -158

Average moneyline across 13 sportsbooks.

SportsbookClay GuidaScott Holtzman
BetAnything+160-220
BetOnline+199-234
BetUS+165-210
Betway+163-200
Bovada+170-210
Cloudbet+219-337
DraftKings+275-355
FanDuel+270-380
MyBookie+124-158
Pinnacle+269-373
sportsbetio+155-233
sports-interaction+160-215
unibet+163-205

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Clay Guida vs Scott Holtzman?

Clay Guida defeated Scott Holtzman by Split Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs Holland, held Sunday, December 4, 2022 at Amway Center, Orlando. The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 28-29, Clay Guida won the decision.

What were the judges' scorecards for Clay Guida vs Scott Holtzman?

The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 28-29, Clay Guida won the decision.

Was Clay Guida vs Scott Holtzman a robbery?

Public scoring backed the judges: 79% of 66 fan cards scored it for Clay Guida; 100% of 17 media scores picked Clay Guida.

Full robbery index →
Referee
Larry Folsom
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison▾

Win probability

Clay Guida 52%48% Scott Holtzman

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Lightweight roster (24 fighters)

Clay Guida
Pressure Wrestler
7 edges
Scott Holtzman
Complete Fighter
4 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

89Power81
92Speed87
89Precision93
96Durability93
100Engine94
96Wrestling94
93Ground90

Biggest edge Clay Guida, Kick power +21

Attribute by attribute

Clay Guida is on the left of every row, Scott Holtzman on the right.
90Punch power95
88Kick power67
93Punch speed95
90Kick speed79
89Accuracy93
96Takedowns94
93Ground striking96
92Submissions84
95Chin93
96Body strength93
100Cardio94

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

38-22-0
Record
14-6-0
1727
Power Index rating
1714
0
Win Streak
0
44
Age
42
5'7"
170 cm
Height
5'9"
175 cm
70"
178 cm
Reach
69"
175 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lightweight
Weight Class
Lightweight
United States
Nationality
United States

Striking Profile

2.63
SLpM
4.32
33%
Str. Acc.
47%
3.00
SApM
3.66
61%
Str. Def.
55%

Grappling Profile

3.10
TD Avg.
1.88
35%
TD Acc.
56%
66%
TD Def.
67%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.20

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Clay Guida · 0-5
  • L
    Keelon Jimison
    RAF 6: Cejudo vs. Faber · Feb 28, 2026
  • L
    Cayden Henschel
    RAF 3: Mendes vs. Chandler · Nov 29, 2025
  • L
    Chase Hooper
    UFC 310: Pantoja vs Asakura · Dec 7, 2024
    Submission · R1 · 3:41 · Lightweight
  • L
    Joaquim Silva
    UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs Tsarukyan · Dec 2, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    Rafa Garcia
    UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Allen · Apr 15, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
Scott Holtzman · 2-3
  • L
    Clay Guida
    UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs Holland · Dec 4, 2022
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    Mateusz Gamrot
    UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs Holland · Apr 10, 2021
    TKO · R2 · 1:22 · Lightweight
  • L
    Beneil Dariush
    UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Oleinik · Aug 9, 2020
    TKO · R1 · 4:38 · Lightweight
  • W
    Jim Miller
    UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs Blachowicz · Feb 16, 2020
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    Dong Hyun Ma
    UFC Fight Night: Covington vs Lawler · Aug 3, 2019
    TKO · R2 · 5:00 · Lightweight

Career Averages

Based on 37 fights · 13 fights
31.2
Avg sig. strikes
55.6
2.11
Avg takedowns
1.62
4:14
Avg control time
3:54
80
Career high strikes
104
10
Career high TDs
7

Strike Distribution

Clay Guida
Strike target
Scott Holtzman
60%
Head
73%
16%
Body
16%
24%
Leg
11%
Clay Guida
Strike position
Scott Holtzman
65%
Distance
64%
14%
Clinch
16%
21%
Ground
20%