Ultimate Fighting Calendar
UFCUFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson
Featherweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Clay Guida
United StatesClay Guida
“The Carpenter”
38-22-0
RESULT

Clay Guida def. Hatsu Hioki (Split Decision)

Split Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
Hatsu Hioki
JapanHatsu Hioki
29-10-2
Saturday, January 26, 2013

Clay Guida defeated Hatsu Hioki by Split Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Featherweight bout of UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson, held Saturday, January 26, 2013. The judges scored it 29-28, 30-27, 28-29, Clay Guida won the decision.

Fight stats

Clay Guida
Hatsu Hioki
0
Knockdowns
0
26 of 112
Significant strikes
41 of 99
23%
Sig. strike accuracy
41%
40 of 136
Total strikes
74 of 138
3 of 6
Takedowns
0 of 0
50%
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
1
0
Reversals
0
8:34
Control time
0:10
Significant strikes by target
14 of 85
Head
29 of 74
2 of 9
Body
9 of 20
10 of 18
Leg
3 of 5
22 of 100
Distance
36 of 91
1 of 2
Clinch
2 of 5
3 of 10
Ground
3 of 3

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
16 of 63
Sig. str.
26 of 56
16 of 63
Total str.
31 of 61
1 of 3
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
1:09
Ctrl
0:10
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
6 of 28
Sig. str.
10 of 19
12 of 42
Total str.
23 of 34
1 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
1
3:58
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
4 of 21
Sig. str.
5 of 24
12 of 31
Total str.
20 of 43
1 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
3:27
Ctrl
0:00

Judges' Scorecards

Sal D'Amato
#GuidaHioki
1910
2109
3109
Total2928
Gabriel Sabaitis
#GuidaHioki
1109
2109
3109
Total3027
Rick Winter
#GuidaHioki
1910
2910
3109
Total2829

Media Scores

5
Guida
-
5
Hioki
●29-28 Guida×5●29-28 Hioki×4●30-28 Hioki
All 10 media scorecards▾

Fan Scorecards

18%
Guida
3%
Draw
79%
Hioki
127 fan scorecards submitted
●29-28 Hioki50.4%●30-28 Hioki13.4%●30-27 Hioki13.4%●29-28 Guida11%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
90%
Hioki
R2
72%
Hioki
R3
65%
Guida

Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com

Betting Odds

Clay Guida
-204
67% implied win probability
Open: -242Best: -150
Hatsu Hioki
+190
34% implied win probability
Open: +174Best: +200

Average moneyline across 4 sportsbooks.

SportsbookClay GuidaHatsu Hioki
Bookmaker-240+190
Bovada-150+195
Pinnacle-196+176
sports-interaction-275+200

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Clay Guida vs Hatsu Hioki?

Clay Guida defeated Hatsu Hioki by Split Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Featherweight bout of UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson, held Saturday, January 26, 2013. The judges scored it 29-28, 30-27, 28-29, Clay Guida won the decision.

What were the judges' scorecards for Clay Guida vs Hatsu Hioki?

The judges scored it 29-28, 30-27, 28-29, Clay Guida won the decision.

Was Clay Guida vs Hatsu Hioki a robbery?

Many scored it for Hatsu Hioki: 79% of 127 fan cards scored it for Hatsu Hioki; 50% of 10 media scores picked Clay Guida. The judges gave it to Clay Guida.

Full robbery index →
Referee
Robert Madrigal
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison▾

Win probability

Clay Guida 45%55% Hatsu Hioki

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model. Each fighter is rated against their own division, so read the gaps as directional.

Clay Guida
Pressure Wrestler
10 edges
Hatsu Hioki
Pressure Wrestler
1 edge
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

89Power61
92Speed78
89Precision66
96Durability78
100Engine93
96Wrestling95
93Ground91

Biggest edge Clay Guida, Punch power +41

Attribute by attribute

Clay Guida is on the left of every row, Hatsu Hioki on the right.
90Punch power49
88Kick power73
93Punch speed78
90Kick speed78
89Accuracy66
96Takedowns95
93Ground striking94
92Submissions87
95Chin68
96Body strength88
100Cardio93

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

38-22-0
Record
29-10-2
1766
Power Index rating
1804
0
Win Streak
0
44
Age
43
5'7"
170 cm
Height
5'11"
180 cm
70"
178 cm
Reach
73"
185 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Featherweight
Weight Class
Featherweight
United States
Nationality
Japan

Striking Profile

2.63
SLpM
2.42
33%
Str. Acc.
42%
3.00
SApM
2.12
61%
Str. Def.
65%

Grappling Profile

3.10
TD Avg.
2.55
35%
TD Acc.
56%
66%
TD Def.
54%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.60

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Clay Guida · 0-5
  • L
    Keelon Jimison
    RAF 6: Cejudo vs. Faber · Feb 28, 2026
  • L
    Cayden Henschel
    RAF 3: Mendes vs. Chandler · Nov 29, 2025
  • L
    Chase Hooper
    UFC 310: Pantoja vs Asakura · Dec 7, 2024
    Submission · R1 · 3:41 · Lightweight
  • L
    Joaquim Silva
    UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs Tsarukyan · Dec 2, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    Rafa Garcia
    UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Allen · Apr 15, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
Hatsu Hioki · 1-3-1

Career Averages

Based on 37 fights · 8 fights
31.2
Avg sig. strikes
31.5
2.11
Avg takedowns
2.25
4:14
Avg control time
4:44
80
Career high strikes
67
10
Career high TDs
4

Strike Distribution

Clay Guida
Strike target
Hatsu Hioki
60%
Head
60%
16%
Body
33%
24%
Leg
7%
Clay Guida
Strike position
Hatsu Hioki
65%
Distance
71%
14%
Clinch
9%
21%
Ground
21%