Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Lightweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Grant Dawson
KGD
24-3-1
RESULT

Grant Dawson def. Rafa Garcia (TKO)

TKO · Round 2 · 1:42
Rafa Garcia
Gifted
19-4-0
Saturday, October 12, 2024
Meta Apex, Las Vegas, United States

Grant Dawson defeated Rafa Garcia by TKO in round 2 (1:42) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Royval vs Taira, held Saturday, October 12, 2024 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas.

Fight stats

Grant Dawson
Rafa Garcia
0
Knockdowns
0
44 of 90
Significant strikes
5 of 12
49%
Sig. strike accuracy
42%
80 of 144
Total strikes
29 of 38
2 of 4
Takedowns
0 of 0
50%
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
5:09
Control time
0:00
Significant strikes by target
38 of 76
Head
4 of 8
4 of 12
Body
1 of 4
2 of 2
Leg
0 of 0
5 of 24
Distance
4 of 11
0 of 0
Clinch
1 of 1
39 of 66
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
20 of 52
Sig. str.
4 of 10
41 of 87
Total str.
27 of 34
1 of 3
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
3:50
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
24 of 38
Sig. str.
1 of 2
39 of 57
Total str.
2 of 4
1 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
1:19
Ctrl
0:00

Betting Odds

Grant Dawson
-500
83% implied win probability
Open: -411Best: -335
Rafa Garcia
+414
19% implied win probability
Open: +309Best: +1000

Average moneyline across 14 sportsbooks.

SportsbookGrant DawsonRafa Garcia
BetAnything-375+250
BetMGM-3000+1000
BetOnline-405+305
BetRivers-335+255
BetUS-370+270
Betway-1205+550
Bovada-380+290
Caesars-340+265
Cloudbet-1316+502
DraftKings-1300+700
FanDuel-900+530
MyBookie-391+295
Pinnacle-372+302
SXBet-388+285

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Grant Dawson vs Rafa Garcia?

Grant Dawson defeated Rafa Garcia by TKO in round 2 (1:42) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Royval vs Taira, held Saturday, October 12, 2024 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas.

Referee
Chris Tognoni
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Grant Dawson 64%36% Rafa Garcia

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Lightweight roster (24 fighters)

Grant Dawson
Grappling Specialist
7 edges
Rafa Garcia
Grappling Specialist
4 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

89Power52
88Speed77
92Precision82
90Durability87
94Engine95
92Wrestling97
94Ground76

Biggest edge Grant Dawson, Punch power +43

Attribute by attribute

Grant Dawson is on the left of every row, Rafa Garcia on the right.
90Punch power47
88Kick power57
87Punch speed89
89Kick speed64
92Accuracy82
92Takedowns97
93Ground striking59
94Submissions92
92Chin93
88Body strength81
94Cardio95

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

24-3-1
Record
19-4-0
1850
Power Index rating
1748
1
Win Streak
3
32
Age
32
5'10"
178 cm
Height
5'7"
170 cm
72"
183 cm
Reach
70"
178 cm
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Lightweight
Weight Class
Lightweight
United States
Nationality
Mexico

Striking Profile

3.14
SLpM
4.28
51%
Str. Acc.
44%
2.14
SApM
4.42
44%
Str. Def.
61%

Grappling Profile

3.58
TD Avg.
3.22
39%
TD Acc.
45%
66%
TD Def.
77%
1.40
Sub. Avg.
0.40

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Grant Dawson · 4-1
  • W
    UFC 328: Chimaev vs Strickland · May 9, 2026
    Submission · R3 · 4:42 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs Yan 2 · Dec 6, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 2:25 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 311: Makhachev vs Moicano · Jan 18, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Royval vs Taira · Oct 12, 2024
    TKO · R2 · 1:42 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 302: Makhachev vs Poirier · Jun 1, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
Rafa Garcia · 4-1
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal · Apr 25, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    Noche UFC: Lopes vs Silva · Sep 13, 2025
    TKO · R3 · 2:27 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Erceg · Mar 29, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Royval vs Taira · Oct 12, 2024
    TKO · R2 · 1:42 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Allen · Apr 15, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight

Career Averages

Based on 15 fights · 11 fights
35.2
Avg sig. strikes
57.9
2.73
Avg takedowns
2.91
7:22
Avg control time
2:57
57
Career high strikes
141
7
Career high TDs
7

Strike Distribution

Grant Dawson
Strike target
Rafa Garcia
69%
Head
79%
19%
Body
13%
13%
Leg
8%
Grant Dawson
Strike position
Rafa Garcia
50%
Distance
85%
10%
Clinch
10%
40%
Ground
5%