Ultimate Fighting Calendar
LightweightFight of the Night3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Clay Guida
The Carpenter
38-22-0
RESULT

Clay Guida def. Nate Diaz (Split Decision)

Split Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
Nate Diaz
22-13-0
Saturday, January 31, 2009
MGM Grand Garden Arena

Clay Guida defeated Nate Diaz by Split Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Lightweight bout of UFC 94: ST-PIERRE VS PENN 2, held Saturday, January 31, 2009 at MGM Grand Garden Arena. The judges scored it 29-28, 28-29, 29-28, Clay Guida won the decision.

Fight stats

Clay Guida
Nate Diaz
0
Knockdowns
0
49 of 99
Significant strikes
49 of 135
49%
Sig. strike accuracy
36%
75 of 127
Total strikes
70 of 158
4 of 11
Takedowns
0 of 8
36%
Takedown accuracy
0%
1
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
8:47
Control time
0:51
Significant strikes by target
15 of 59
Head
39 of 120
4 of 9
Body
7 of 11
30 of 31
Leg
3 of 4
21 of 57
Distance
36 of 117
19 of 29
Clinch
12 of 17
9 of 13
Ground
1 of 1

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
24 of 47
Sig. str.
19 of 57
39 of 62
Total str.
24 of 62
1 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 1
1
Sub. att
0
2:33
Ctrl
0:01
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
15 of 25
Sig. str.
7 of 13
20 of 31
Total str.
14 of 21
1 of 5
Takedowns
0 of 5
0
Sub. att
0
3:28
Ctrl
0:30
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
10 of 27
Sig. str.
23 of 65
16 of 34
Total str.
32 of 75
2 of 4
Takedowns
0 of 2
0
Sub. att
0
2:46
Ctrl
0:20

Judges' Scorecards

#GuidaDiaz
1--
2--
3--
Total2928
#GuidaDiaz
1--
2--
3--
Total2829
#GuidaDiaz
1--
2--
3--
Total2928

The commission did not release round-by-round scores for this fight.

Media Scores

4
Guida
1
Draw
0
Diaz
29-28 Guida×429-29 Draw
All 5 media scorecards

Fan Scorecards

43%
Guida
4%
Draw
53%
Diaz
51 fan scorecards submitted
29-28 Diaz43.1%29-28 Guida31.4%30-27 Guida9.8%29-29 Draw3.9%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
78%
Guida
R2
49%
Diaz
R3
75%
Diaz

Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com

Frequently asked questions

Who won Clay Guida vs Nate Diaz?

Clay Guida defeated Nate Diaz by Split Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Lightweight bout of UFC 94: ST-PIERRE VS PENN 2, held Saturday, January 31, 2009 at MGM Grand Garden Arena. The judges scored it 29-28, 28-29, 29-28, Clay Guida won the decision.

What were the judges' scorecards for Clay Guida vs Nate Diaz?

The judges scored it 29-28, 28-29, 29-28, Clay Guida won the decision.

Was Clay Guida vs Nate Diaz a robbery?

Many scored it for Nate Diaz: 53% of 51 fan cards scored it for Nate Diaz. The judges gave it to Clay Guida.

Full robbery index
Referee
Yves Lavigne
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Clay Guida 32%68% Nate Diaz

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Lightweight roster (24 fighters)

Clay Guida
Pressure Wrestler
9 edges
Nate Diaz
Submission Ace
2 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

89Power65
92Speed58
89Precision73
96Durability81
100Engine96
96Wrestling58
93Ground82

Biggest edge Clay Guida, Takedowns +38

Attribute by attribute

Clay Guida is on the left of every row, Nate Diaz on the right.
90Punch power76
88Kick power54
93Punch speed60
90Kick speed56
89Accuracy73
96Takedowns58
93Ground striking67
92Submissions97
95Chin96
96Body strength66
100Cardio96

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

38-22-0
Record
22-13-0
1725
Power Index rating
1856
0
Win Streak
1
44
Age
41
5'7"
170 cm
Height
6'0"
183 cm
70"
178 cm
Reach
76"
193 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lightweight
Weight Class
Lightweight
United States
Nationality
United States

Striking Profile

2.63
SLpM
4.57
33%
Str. Acc.
45%
3.00
SApM
3.77
61%
Str. Def.
52%

Grappling Profile

3.10
TD Avg.
1.05
35%
TD Acc.
30%
66%
TD Def.
41%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
1.30

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Clay Guida · 0-5
  • L
    RAF 6: Cejudo vs. Faber · Feb 28, 2026
  • L
    RAF 3: Mendes vs. Chandler · Nov 29, 2025
  • L
    UFC 310: Pantoja vs Asakura · Dec 7, 2024
    Submission · R1 · 3:41 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs Tsarukyan · Dec 2, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Allen · Apr 15, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
Nate Diaz · 2-3
  • L
    Rousey vs. Carano · May 16, 2026
    TKO · R2 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • W
    Diaz vs. Masvidal 2 · Jul 6, 2024
    Majority Decision
  • L
    Paul vs. Diaz · Aug 5, 2023
    Unanimous Decision
  • W
    UFC 279: Diaz vs Ferguson · Sep 10, 2022
    Submission · R4 · 2:52 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC 263: Adesanya vs Vettori 2 · Jun 12, 2021
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Welterweight

Career Averages

Based on 37 fights · 27 fights
31.2
Avg sig. strikes
57.2
2.11
Avg takedowns
0.67
4:14
Avg control time
1:45
80
Career high strikes
238
10
Career high TDs
5

Strike Distribution

Clay Guida
Strike target
Nate Diaz
60%
Head
74%
16%
Body
17%
24%
Leg
9%
Clay Guida
Strike position
Nate Diaz
65%
Distance
73%
14%
Clinch
22%
21%
Ground
5%