Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Lightweight3 rounds scheduled
Clay Guida
The Carpenter
38-22-0
RESULT

Mark Madsen def. Clay Guida (Split Decision)

Split Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
WIN
Mark Madsen
The Olympian
12-2-0
Saturday, August 21, 2021
Meta Apex, Las Vegas, United States

Mark Madsen defeated Clay Guida by Split Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Gastelum, held Saturday, August 21, 2021 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas.

Fight stats

Clay Guida
Mark Madsen
0
Knockdowns
0
72 of 212
Significant strikes
98 of 192
34%
Sig. strike accuracy
51%
72 of 212
Total strikes
101 of 198
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 1
-
Takedown accuracy
0%
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:00
Control time
0:54
Significant strikes by target
30 of 161
Head
70 of 159
5 of 13
Body
17 of 21
37 of 38
Leg
11 of 12
64 of 203
Distance
80 of 172
8 of 9
Clinch
18 of 20
0 of 0
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
15 of 50
Sig. str.
32 of 52
15 of 50
Total str.
35 of 56
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:40
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
26 of 72
Sig. str.
31 of 58
26 of 72
Total str.
31 of 60
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:07
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
31 of 90
Sig. str.
35 of 82
31 of 90
Total str.
35 of 82
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:07

Betting Odds

Clay Guida
+126
44% implied win probability
Open: +129Best: +160
Mark Madsen
-137
58% implied win probability
Open: -151Best: +142

Average moneyline across 13 sportsbooks.

SportsbookClay GuidaMark Madsen
BetAnything+150-185
BetOnline+152-177
BetUS+145-175
Betway-182+130
Bovada+150-185
Cloudbet+137-171
DraftKings-175+130
FanDuel-182+142
MyBookie+155-185
Pinnacle+151-177
sportsbetio+135-200
sports-interaction+160-210
unibet+135-175

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Clay Guida vs Mark Madsen?

Mark Madsen defeated Clay Guida by Split Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Gastelum, held Saturday, August 21, 2021 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas.

Referee
Keith Peterson
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Clay Guida 52%48% Mark Madsen

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Lightweight roster (24 fighters)

Clay Guida
Pressure Wrestler
7 edges
Mark Madsen
Grappling Specialist
2 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

89Power77
92Speed78
89Precision87
96Durability90
100Engine92
96Wrestling96
93Ground74

Biggest edge Clay Guida, Submissions +40

Attribute by attribute

Clay Guida is on the left of every row, Mark Madsen on the right.
90Punch power94
88Kick power59
93Punch speed93
90Kick speed62
89Accuracy87
96Takedowns96
93Ground striking96
92Submissions52
95Chin90
96Body strength90
100Cardio92

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

38-22-0
Record
12-2-0
1737
Power Index rating
1723
0
Win Streak
0
44
Age
41
5'7"
170 cm
Height
5'8"
173 cm
70"
178 cm
Reach
72"
183 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lightweight
Weight Class
Lightweight
United States
Nationality
Denmark

Striking Profile

2.63
SLpM
3.56
33%
Str. Acc.
49%
3.00
SApM
3.97
61%
Str. Def.
52%

Grappling Profile

3.10
TD Avg.
2.86
35%
TD Acc.
66%
66%
TD Def.
62%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Clay Guida · 0-5
  • L
    RAF 6: Cejudo vs. Faber · Feb 28, 2026
  • L
    RAF 3: Mendes vs. Chandler · Nov 29, 2025
  • L
    UFC 310: Pantoja vs Asakura · Dec 7, 2024
    Submission · R1 · 3:41 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs Tsarukyan · Dec 2, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Allen · Apr 15, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
Mark Madsen · 3-2
  • L
    UFC 295: Procházka vs Pereira · Nov 11, 2023
    TKO · R1 · 4:42 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs Lemos · Nov 5, 2022
    Submission · R3 · 2:05 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 273: Volkanovski vs The Korean Zombie · Apr 9, 2022
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Gastelum · Aug 21, 2021
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 248: Adesanya vs Romero · Mar 8, 2020
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight

Career Averages

Based on 37 fights · 6 fights
31.2
Avg sig. strikes
37.3
2.11
Avg takedowns
2.00
4:14
Avg control time
2:44
80
Career high strikes
98
10
Career high TDs
8

Strike Distribution

Clay Guida
Strike target
Mark Madsen
60%
Head
75%
16%
Body
15%
24%
Leg
11%
Clay Guida
Strike position
Mark Madsen
65%
Distance
64%
14%
Clinch
20%
21%
Ground
16%