Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Lightweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Scott Holtzman
Hot Sauce
14-6-0
RESULT

Scott Holtzman def. Alan Patrick (TKO)

TKO · Round 3 · 3:42
Alan Patrick
Nuguette
15-4-0 (1 NC)
Sunday, October 7, 2018
T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States

Scott Holtzman defeated Alan Patrick by TKO in round 3 (3:42) in the Lightweight bout of UFC 229: Khabib vs McGregor, held Sunday, October 7, 2018 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas.

Fight stats

Scott Holtzman
Alan Patrick
1
Knockdowns
0
73 of 111
Significant strikes
25 of 62
66%
Sig. strike accuracy
40%
96 of 138
Total strikes
27 of 65
1 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 4
50%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
5:33
Control time
0:13
Significant strikes by target
55 of 91
Head
16 of 45
8 of 10
Body
8 of 14
10 of 10
Leg
1 of 3
27 of 56
Distance
22 of 58
6 of 6
Clinch
3 of 3
40 of 49
Ground
0 of 1

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
19 of 34
Sig. str.
11 of 25
20 of 35
Total str.
12 of 26
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
1:13
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
23 of 35
Sig. str.
11 of 25
34 of 48
Total str.
12 of 26
1 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 3
0
Sub. att
0
2:13
Ctrl
0:13
ROUND 3
1
KD
0
31 of 42
Sig. str.
3 of 12
42 of 55
Total str.
3 of 13
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
2:07
Ctrl
0:00

Betting Odds

Scott Holtzman
+226
31% implied win probability
Open: +161Best: +260
Alan Patrick
-285
74% implied win probability
Open: -139Best: -230

Average moneyline across 5 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Scott HoltzmanAlan Patrick
30%40%50%60%70%80%Aug 27Sep 9Sep 23Oct 7Aug 27, 3:45 AM UTC · Scott Holtzman +190 (34%)Aug 27, 3:51 AM UTC · Scott Holtzman +185 (35%)Aug 27, 7:09 PM UTC · Scott Holtzman +114 (47%)Aug 27, 8:27 PM UTC · Scott Holtzman +190 (34%)Aug 28, 5:18 PM UTC · Scott Holtzman +185 (35%)Aug 30, 9:51 PM UTC · Scott Holtzman +187 (35%)Sep 10, 9:06 PM UTC · Scott Holtzman +189 (35%)Sep 12, 11:45 PM UTC · Scott Holtzman +191 (34%)Sep 18, 8:09 AM UTC · Scott Holtzman +193 (34%)Sep 20, 9:48 PM UTC · Scott Holtzman +192 (34%)Sep 24, 9:45 PM UTC · Scott Holtzman +195 (34%)Sep 28, 1:15 PM UTC · Scott Holtzman +195 (34%)Sep 28, 1:18 PM UTC · Scott Holtzman +195 (34%)Sep 28, 1:24 PM UTC · Scott Holtzman +195 (34%)Sep 28, 8:30 PM UTC · Scott Holtzman +196 (34%)Oct 4, 7:09 AM UTC · Scott Holtzman +198 (34%)Oct 5, 2:12 AM UTC · Scott Holtzman +199 (33%)Oct 5, 2:15 AM UTC · Scott Holtzman +198 (34%)Oct 5, 2:18 AM UTC · Scott Holtzman +199 (33%)Oct 5, 8:27 PM UTC · Scott Holtzman +202 (33%)Oct 6, 6:24 PM UTC · Scott Holtzman +206 (33%)Oct 6, 7:12 PM UTC · Scott Holtzman +209 (32%)Oct 7, 12:51 AM UTC · Scott Holtzman +210 (32%)Oct 7, 1:15 AM UTC · Scott Holtzman +213 (32%)Oct 7, 1:30 AM UTC · Scott Holtzman +217 (32%)Oct 7, 1:33 AM UTC · Scott Holtzman +213 (32%)Oct 7, 1:36 AM UTC · Scott Holtzman +215 (32%)Oct 7, 1:36 AM UTC · Scott Holtzman +219 (31%)Oct 7, 1:45 AM UTC · Scott Holtzman +218 (31%)Oct 7, 4:48 AM UTC · Scott Holtzman +219 (31%)Oct 7, 4:54 AM UTC · Scott Holtzman +219 (31%)Oct 7, 4:57 AM UTC · Scott Holtzman +219 (31%)Oct 7, 5:00 AM UTC · Scott Holtzman +219 (31%)Oct 7, 6:33 AM UTC · Scott Holtzman +224 (31%)Oct 7, 6:39 AM UTC · Scott Holtzman +225 (31%)Oct 7, 6:42 AM UTC · Scott Holtzman +226 (31%)Oct 7, 7:06 AM UTC · Scott Holtzman +229 (30%)Oct 7, 7:18 AM UTC · Scott Holtzman +226 (31%)Aug 27, 3:45 AM UTC · Alan Patrick -240 (71%)Aug 27, 3:51 AM UTC · Alan Patrick -235 (70%)Aug 27, 7:09 PM UTC · Alan Patrick +121 (45%)Aug 27, 8:27 PM UTC · Alan Patrick -232 (70%)Aug 28, 5:18 PM UTC · Alan Patrick -235 (70%)Aug 30, 9:51 PM UTC · Alan Patrick -237 (70%)Sep 10, 9:06 PM UTC · Alan Patrick -239 (71%)Sep 12, 11:45 PM UTC · Alan Patrick -243 (71%)Sep 18, 8:09 AM UTC · Alan Patrick -249 (71%)Sep 20, 9:48 PM UTC · Alan Patrick -247 (71%)Sep 24, 9:45 PM UTC · Alan Patrick -249 (71%)Sep 28, 1:15 PM UTC · Alan Patrick -250 (71%)Sep 28, 1:18 PM UTC · Alan Patrick -249 (71%)Sep 28, 1:24 PM UTC · Alan Patrick -250 (71%)Sep 28, 8:30 PM UTC · Alan Patrick -252 (72%)Oct 4, 7:09 AM UTC · Alan Patrick -253 (72%)Oct 5, 2:12 AM UTC · Alan Patrick -254 (72%)Oct 5, 2:15 AM UTC · Alan Patrick -253 (72%)Oct 5, 2:18 AM UTC · Alan Patrick -254 (72%)Oct 5, 8:27 PM UTC · Alan Patrick -257 (72%)Oct 6, 6:24 PM UTC · Alan Patrick -262 (72%)Oct 6, 7:12 PM UTC · Alan Patrick -263 (72%)Oct 7, 12:51 AM UTC · Alan Patrick -264 (73%)Oct 7, 1:15 AM UTC · Alan Patrick -268 (73%)Oct 7, 1:30 AM UTC · Alan Patrick -272 (73%)Oct 7, 1:33 AM UTC · Alan Patrick -268 (73%)Oct 7, 1:36 AM UTC · Alan Patrick -270 (73%)Oct 7, 1:36 AM UTC · Alan Patrick -274 (73%)Oct 7, 1:45 AM UTC · Alan Patrick -273 (73%)Oct 7, 4:48 AM UTC · Alan Patrick -274 (73%)Oct 7, 4:54 AM UTC · Alan Patrick -275 (73%)Oct 7, 4:57 AM UTC · Alan Patrick -274 (73%)Oct 7, 5:00 AM UTC · Alan Patrick -275 (73%)Oct 7, 6:33 AM UTC · Alan Patrick -283 (74%)Oct 7, 6:39 AM UTC · Alan Patrick -284 (74%)Oct 7, 6:42 AM UTC · Alan Patrick -285 (74%)Oct 7, 7:06 AM UTC · Alan Patrick -287 (74%)Oct 7, 7:18 AM UTC · Alan Patrick -285 (74%)+226-285
SportsbookScott HoltzmanAlan Patrick
BetOnline+195-230
Bookmaker+260-320
Bovada+260-340
sports-interaction+215-300
unibet+215-286

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Scott Holtzman vs Alan Patrick?

Scott Holtzman defeated Alan Patrick by TKO in round 3 (3:42) in the Lightweight bout of UFC 229: Khabib vs McGregor, held Sunday, October 7, 2018 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas.

Referee
Jason Herzog
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Scott Holtzman 54%46% Alan Patrick

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Lightweight roster (302 fighters)

Scott Holtzman
Complete Fighter
7 edges
Alan Patrick
Grappling Specialist
4 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

81Power77
87Speed70
93Precision53
93Durability75
94Engine81
94Wrestling97
90Ground90

Biggest edge Scott Holtzman, Accuracy +40

Attribute by attribute

Scott Holtzman is on the left of every row, Alan Patrick on the right.
95Punch power64
67Kick power90
95Punch speed60
79Kick speed80
93Accuracy53
94Takedowns97
96Ground striking95
84Submissions85
93Chin72
93Body strength78
94Cardio81

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

14-6-0
Record
15-4-0 (1 NC)
1761
Power Index rating
1730
0
Win Streak
0
42
Age
43
5'9"
175 cm
Height
5'11"
180 cm
69"
175 cm
Reach
74"
188 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lightweight
Weight Class
Lightweight
United States
Nationality
Brazil

Striking Profile

4.32
SLpM
1.82
47%
Str. Acc.
40%
3.66
SApM
2.95
55%
Str. Def.
43%

Grappling Profile

1.88
TD Avg.
3.01
56%
TD Acc.
33%
67%
TD Def.
43%
0.20
Sub. Avg.
0.30

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Scott Holtzman · 2-3
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs Holland · Dec 4, 2022
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs Holland · Apr 10, 2021
    TKO · R2 · 1:22 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Oleinik · Aug 9, 2020
    TKO · R1 · 4:38 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs Blachowicz · Feb 16, 2020
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Covington vs Lawler · Aug 3, 2019
    TKO · R2 · 5:00 · Lightweight
Alan Patrick · 0-3-1
  • D
    NWPA: World Peace 2026 · May 6, 2026
    Decision · Welterweight
  • L
    Alash Pride 108 · May 27, 2025
    TKO · R2 · 4:33 · Middleweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs Rakić · May 14, 2022
    TKO · R2 · 3:22 · Lightweight
  • NC
    UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs Sakai · Jun 5, 2021
    · R2 · 2:14 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs Hill · Sep 13, 2020
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight

Career Averages

Based on 13 fights · 9 fights
55.6
Avg sig. strikes
22.1
1.62
Avg takedowns
2.56
3:54
Avg control time
4:41
104
Career high strikes
40
7
Career high TDs
9

Strike Distribution

Scott Holtzman
Strike target
Alan Patrick
73%
Head
61%
16%
Body
24%
11%
Leg
15%
Scott Holtzman
Strike position
Alan Patrick
64%
Distance
67%
16%
Clinch
11%
20%
Ground
23%