Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Middleweight3 rounds scheduled
Rafael Natal
Sapo
21-9-1
RESULT

Tim Boetsch def. Rafael Natal (TKO)

TKO · Round 1 · 3:22
WIN
Tim Boetsch
The Barbarian
21-13-0
Sunday, November 13, 2016
Madison Square Garden, New York, United States

Tim Boetsch defeated Rafael Natal by TKO in round 1 (3:22) in the Middleweight bout of UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor, held Sunday, November 13, 2016 at Madison Square Garden, New York.

Fight stats

Rafael Natal
Tim Boetsch
0
Knockdowns
1
5 of 18
Significant strikes
14 of 25
28%
Sig. strike accuracy
56%
5 of 18
Total strikes
14 of 25
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0%
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:00
Control time
0:04
Significant strikes by target
2 of 13
Head
9 of 17
1 of 2
Body
1 of 4
2 of 3
Leg
4 of 4
5 of 18
Distance
11 of 22
0 of 0
Clinch
0 of 0
0 of 0
Ground
3 of 3

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
1
5 of 18
Sig. str.
14 of 25
5 of 18
Total str.
14 of 25
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:04

Betting Odds

Rafael Natal
-149
60% implied win probability
Open: -165Best: -140
Tim Boetsch
+124
45% implied win probability
Open: +136Best: +135

Average moneyline across 6 sportsbooks.

SportsbookRafael NatalTim Boetsch
BetOnline-145+125
Bookmaker-140+120
Bovada-155+125
Pinnacle-152+135
sports-interaction-150+120
unibet-150+120

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Rafael Natal vs Tim Boetsch?

Tim Boetsch defeated Rafael Natal by TKO in round 1 (3:22) in the Middleweight bout of UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor, held Sunday, November 13, 2016 at Madison Square Garden, New York.

Referee
Dan Miragliotta
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Rafael Natal 51%49% Tim Boetsch

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Middleweight roster (229 fighters)

Rafael Natal
Grappling Specialist
4 edges
Tim Boetsch
Knockout Artist
5 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

81Power95
84Speed95
85Precision94
84Durability87
93Engine60
98Wrestling91
94Ground87

Biggest edge Rafael Natal, Cardio +33

Attribute by attribute

Rafael Natal is on the left of every row, Tim Boetsch on the right.
70Punch power97
91Kick power93
75Punch speed96
93Kick speed93
85Accuracy94
98Takedowns91
95Ground striking95
92Submissions79
72Chin82
95Body strength92
93Cardio60

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

21-9-1
Record
21-13-0
1750
Power Index rating
1745
0
Win Streak
0
43
Age
45
6'0"
183 cm
Height
6'0"
183 cm
77"
196 cm
Reach
74"
188 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Middleweight
Weight Class
Middleweight
Brazil
Nationality
United States

Style Matchup

BJJ
vs
Folkstyle Wrestling
Rafael Natal
  • Black belt · BJJ · Vinicius "Draculino" Magalhaes and Renzo Gracie
  • Ring of Combat Middleweight Championship · Ring of Combat
  • 2005Champion · IBJJF Worlds · blue belt
  • Gracie Barra Belo Horizonte · Brazilian jiu Jitsu · 2003-2008

Camp Renzo Gracie Academy · New York City, US

Tim Boetsch
  • Champion · State HS · Maine high school
  • Camden Hills Regional High School · Wrestling Folkstyle · 1997-2001
  • Lock Haven University of Pennsylvania · Wrestling Folkstyle · 2001-2005

Camp Barbarian Combat Sports · Sunbury, Pennsylvania, US

Striking Profile

3.10
SLpM
2.93
47%
Str. Acc.
50%
2.48
SApM
2.90
57%
Str. Def.
57%

Grappling Profile

2.55
TD Avg.
1.45
34%
TD Acc.
34%
77%
TD Def.
59%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
0.80

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Rafael Natal · 2-3
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs Gastelum · Jul 23, 2017
    TKO · R1 · 2:54 · Middleweight
  • L
    UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · Nov 13, 2016
    TKO · R1 · 3:22 · Middleweight
  • L
    UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · Apr 23, 2016
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Johnson vs Bader · Jan 31, 2016
    TKO · R3 · 3:37 · Middleweight
  • W
    UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · May 23, 2015
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
Tim Boetsch · 2-3
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Dos Santos · Mar 10, 2019
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs Gaethje · Apr 15, 2018
    Submission · R1 · 4:28 · Middleweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs Lee · Jun 26, 2017
    TKO · R2 · 0:46 · Middleweight
  • L
    UFC 208: Holm vs de Randamie · Feb 12, 2017
    Submission · R1 · 3:41 · Middleweight
  • W
    UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · Nov 13, 2016
    TKO · R1 · 3:22 · Middleweight

Career Averages

Based on 17 fights · 24 fights
38.6
Avg sig. strikes
26.5
2.12
Avg takedowns
0.88
3:09
Avg control time
1:19
73
Career high strikes
60
8
Career high TDs
7

Strike Distribution

Rafael Natal
Strike target
Tim Boetsch
58%
Head
57%
14%
Body
25%
28%
Leg
17%
Rafael Natal
Strike position
Tim Boetsch
66%
Distance
63%
12%
Clinch
25%
22%
Ground
12%