Ultimate Fighting Calendar
UFCUFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
Middleweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Ed Herman
United StatesEd Herman
“Short Fuse”
27-16-0 (1 NC)
RESULT

Ed Herman def. Rafael Natal (Unanimous Decision)

Unanimous Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
Rafael Natal
BrazilRafael Natal
“Sapo”
21-9-1
Saturday, May 10, 2014
US Bank Arena, Cincinnati, United States

Ed Herman defeated Rafael Natal by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Middleweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva, held Saturday, May 10, 2014 at US Bank Arena, Cincinnati. The judges scored it 30-27, 29-28, 29-28, Ed Herman won the decision.

Fight stats

Ed Herman
Rafael Natal
0
Knockdowns
0
51 of 87
Significant strikes
35 of 73
59%
Sig. strike accuracy
48%
78 of 117
Total strikes
71 of 114
1 of 4
Takedowns
1 of 6
25%
Takedown accuracy
17%
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
2:57
Control time
4:46
Significant strikes by target
22 of 54
Head
15 of 41
9 of 9
Body
8 of 17
20 of 24
Leg
12 of 15
24 of 51
Distance
19 of 46
21 of 29
Clinch
8 of 11
6 of 7
Ground
8 of 16

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
10 of 20
Sig. str.
14 of 26
19 of 31
Total str.
34 of 49
1 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
1:11
Ctrl
2:19
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
17 of 30
Sig. str.
10 of 20
31 of 45
Total str.
23 of 35
0 of 0
Takedowns
1 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
1:09
Ctrl
1:27
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
24 of 37
Sig. str.
11 of 27
28 of 41
Total str.
14 of 30
0 of 3
Takedowns
0 of 5
0
Sub. att
0
0:37
Ctrl
1:00

Judges' Scorecards

Cardo Urso
#HermanNatal
1109
2109
3109
Total3027
Rick Winter
#HermanNatal
1910
2109
3109
Total2928
Daryl Wise
#HermanNatal
1910
2109
3109
Total2928

Media Scores

5
Herman
2
Draw
5
Natal
●29-28 Herman×5●29-28 Natal×5●29-29 Draw×2
All 12 media scorecards▾

Fan Scorecards

38%
Herman
13%
Draw
50%
Natal
16 fan scorecards submitted
●29-28 Natal43.8%●29-28 Herman37.5%●29-29 Draw12.5%●30-27 Natal6.2%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
88%
Natal
R2
56%
Natal
R3
88%
Herman

Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com

Betting Odds

Ed Herman
+130
43% implied win probability
Open: +117Best: +148
Rafael Natal
-168
63% implied win probability
Open: -127Best: -155

Average moneyline across 4 sportsbooks.

SportsbookEd HermanRafael Natal
Bookmaker+148-171
Bovada-105-175
Pinnacle+140-155
sports-interaction+135-172

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Ed Herman vs Rafael Natal?

Ed Herman defeated Rafael Natal by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Middleweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva, held Saturday, May 10, 2014 at US Bank Arena, Cincinnati. The judges scored it 30-27, 29-28, 29-28, Ed Herman won the decision.

What were the judges' scorecards for Ed Herman vs Rafael Natal?

The judges scored it 30-27, 29-28, 29-28, Ed Herman won the decision.

Was Ed Herman vs Rafael Natal a robbery?

Public scoring backed the judges: 50% of 10 media scores picked Ed Herman.

Full robbery index →
Referee
Jerry Krysz
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison▾

Win probability

Ed Herman 44%56% Rafael Natal

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Middleweight roster (229 fighters)

Ed Herman
Submission Ace
4 edges
Rafael Natal
Grappling Specialist
7 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

76Power81
54Speed84
63Precision85
84Durability84
76Engine93
92Wrestling98
98Ground94

Biggest edge Rafael Natal, Kick speed +39

Attribute by attribute

Ed Herman is on the left of every row, Rafael Natal on the right.
93Punch power70
58Kick power91
53Punch speed75
54Kick speed93
63Accuracy85
92Takedowns98
99Ground striking95
96Submissions92
95Chin72
73Body strength95
76Cardio93

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

27-16-0 (1 NC)
Record
21-9-1
1695
Power Index rating
1734
0
Win Streak
0
45
Age
43
6'1"
185 cm
Height
6'0"
183 cm
77"
196 cm
Reach
77"
196 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Middleweight
Weight Class
Middleweight
United States
Nationality
Brazil

Striking Profile

3.31
SLpM
3.10
48%
Str. Acc.
47%
3.71
SApM
2.48
42%
Str. Def.
57%

Grappling Profile

1.96
TD Avg.
2.55
47%
TD Acc.
34%
59%
TD Def.
77%
1.00
Sub. Avg.
0.50

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Ed Herman · 3-2
  • L
    Zak Cummings
    UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Allen · Apr 15, 2023
    TKO · R3 · 4:13 · Light Heavyweight
  • L
    Alonzo Menifield
    UFC 265: Lewis vs Gane · Aug 7, 2021
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
  • W
    Mike Rodriguez
    UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs Hill · Sep 13, 2020
    Submission · R3 · 2:41 · Light Heavyweight
  • W
    Khadis Ibragimov
    UFC Fight Night: Magomedsharipov vs Kattar · Nov 9, 2019
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
  • W
    Patrick Cummins
    UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs Lee · May 19, 2019
    TKO · R1 · 3:39 · Light Heavyweight
Rafael Natal · 2-3
  • L
    Eryk Anders
    UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs Gastelum · Jul 23, 2017
    TKO · R1 · 2:54 · Middleweight
  • L
    Tim Boetsch
    UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · Nov 13, 2016
    TKO · R1 · 3:22 · Middleweight
  • L
    Robert Whittaker
    UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · Apr 23, 2016
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
  • W
    Kevin Casey
    UFC Fight Night: Johnson vs Bader · Jan 31, 2016
    TKO · R3 · 3:37 · Middleweight
  • W
    Uriah Hall
    UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · May 23, 2015
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight

Career Averages

Based on 25 fights · 17 fights
33.2
Avg sig. strikes
38.6
1.32
Avg takedowns
2.12
2:39
Avg control time
3:09
84
Career high strikes
73
5
Career high TDs
8

Strike Distribution

Ed Herman
Strike target
Rafael Natal
64%
Head
58%
25%
Body
14%
12%
Leg
28%
Ed Herman
Strike position
Rafael Natal
51%
Distance
66%
27%
Clinch
12%
23%
Ground
22%