Saturday, May 10, 2014US Bank Arena, Cincinnati, United States
Ed Herman defeated Rafael Natal by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Middleweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva, held Saturday, May 10, 2014 at US Bank Arena, Cincinnati. The judges scored it 30-27, 29-28, 29-28, Ed Herman won the decision.
Ed Herman vs Rafael Natal
Fight stats: totals
Same scale left and right on every row; the pale tail behind a bar is attempts
Ed HermanRafael Natal
0
Knockdowns0
51 / 87
Significant strikes35 / 73
59%
Sig. strike accuracy48%
78 / 117
Total strikes71 / 114
1 / 4
Takedowns1 / 6
25%
Takedown accuracy17%
2:57
Control time4:46
Where it landed
Significant strikes landed by target in this fight
Ed HermanRafael Natal
2243%1543%
Head
918%823%
Body
2039%1234%
Leg
Where it happened
Where the landed significant strikes came from
Ed Herman
47%41%12%
Rafael Natal
54%23%23%
■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground
Range × target
Significant strikes landed by range and target in this fight · landed / attempted in each cell
Ed Herman51 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
99/32
11/1
1414/18
Clinch
77/15
88/8
66/6
Ground
66/7
0
0
Rafael Natal35 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
77/25
22/9
1010/12
Clinch
11/1
55/7
22/3
Ground
77/15
11/1
0
Round by round
Significant strikes landed per round · the judges' scores under each
Ed HermanRafael Natal
R1
10
14
10-910-910-9
R2
17
10
10-910-910-9
R3
24
11
10-910-910-9
Bars share one scale across rounds. Each chip is one judge's score for the round, coloured by who they gave it to.
Round 1Judges: Rafael Natal
0
Knockdowns0
10 / 20
Significant strikes14 / 26
50%
Sig. strike accuracy54%
19 / 31
Total strikes34 / 49
1 / 1
Takedowns0 / 0
1:11
Control time2:19
Round 2Judges: Ed Herman
0
Knockdowns0
17 / 30
Significant strikes10 / 20
57%
Sig. strike accuracy50%
31 / 45
Total strikes23 / 35
0 / 0
Takedowns1 / 1
1:09
Control time1:27
Round 3Judges: Ed Herman
0
Knockdowns0
24 / 37
Significant strikes11 / 27
65%
Sig. strike accuracy41%
28 / 41
Total strikes14 / 30
0 / 3
Takedowns0 / 5
0%
Takedown accuracy0%
0:37
Control time1:00
Judges' Scorecards
Media Scores
5
Ed Herman
2
Draw
5
Rafael Natal
●29-28 Herman×5●29-28 Natal×5●29-29 Draw×2
All 12 media scorecards
- Craig Amos · BleacherReport.com29-28Herman
- MMAJunkie.com29-28Herman
- TJ DeSantis · Sherdog.com29-28Herman
- Chris Nelson · Sherdog.com29-28Herman
- Thomas Myers · MMAMania.com29-28Herman
- SevereMMA.com29-29Draw
- Javier Vasquez · Sherdog.com29-29Draw
- Tim Burke · BloodyElbow.com29-28Natal
- Adam Martin · MMAOddsbreaker.com29-28Natal
- Sean Smith · BleacherReport.com29-28Natal
- MMAWeekly.com29-28Natal
- MMABrasil.com.br29-28Natal
Fan Scorecards
16 fan scorecards submitted
38%
Ed Herman
13%
Draw
50%
Rafael Natal
●29-28 Natal43.8%●29-28 Herman37.5%●29-29 Draw12.5%●30-27 Natal6.2%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
88%
Natal
R2
56%
Natal
R3
88%
Herman
Betting Odds
Ed Herman
+130
43% implied win probability
Open: +117Best: +148
Rafael Natal
-168
63% implied win probability
Open: -127Best: -155
Average moneyline across 4 sportsbooks.
| Sportsbook | Ed Herman | Rafael Natal | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bookmaker | +148 | -171 | |
| Bovada | -105 | -175 | |
| Pinnacle | +140 | -155 | |
| sports-interaction | +135 | -172 |
Odds are for information only.
Build with this line: the same consensus odds, with opening and closing lines, are in the UFCalendar Fight API. Odds in the MMA Fight Data API
Insights
- Rafael Natal lands 2.55 takedowns per 15 minutes, more than 81% of UFC fighters.
- Ed Herman spends 75% of fight time at distance.
- Rafael Natal's last two losses were both stopped early.
Style & credentials
Ed Herman
Folkstyle WrestlingBJJ
- 2018Black belt · BJJFabiano Scherner
- 2005SportFight Light Heavyweight ChampionshipSportFight
- 2006Runner-up · The Ultimate FighterMiddleweight
- —Competitor · State HSjunior
Rafael Natal
BJJ
- —Black belt · BJJVinicius "Draculino" Magalhaes and Renzo Gracie
- —Ring of Combat Middleweight ChampionshipRing of Combat
- 2005Champion · IBJJF Worldsblue belt
- —Gracie Barra Belo HorizonteBrazilian jiu Jitsu · 2003-2008
Sig. strikes by zone
Where each fighter lands, as a share of significant strikes
64%58%
Head
25%14%
Body
12%28%
Leg
Time in position
Where their significant strikes are thrown
Ed Hermanlast 25 fights
51%27%23%
Rafael Natallast 17 fights
66%12%22%
■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground
How good, really
Each stat against every UFC fighter, in plain words
Ed Herman Rafael Natal
Strikes landed / min
3.313.10
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Ed Herman · Average · better than 46% of UFC fightersRafael Natal · Below avg · better than 39% of UFC fighters
Strikes taken / minfewer is better
3.712.48
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Ed Herman · Average · better than 40% of UFC fightersRafael Natal · Good · better than 80% of UFC fighters
Takedowns landed / 15 min
1.962.55
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Ed Herman · Good · better than 70% of UFC fightersRafael Natal · Good · better than 81% of UFC fighters
Takedown accuracy
47%34%
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Ed Herman · Good · better than 72% of UFC fightersRafael Natal · Average · better than 41% of UFC fighters
Takedown defence
59%77%
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Ed Herman · Average · better than 41% of UFC fightersRafael Natal · Good · better than 80% of UFC fighters
Submission attempts / 15 min
1.000.50
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Ed Herman · Good · better than 80% of UFC fightersRafael Natal · Average · better than 54% of UFC fighters
Ranked against 1498 UFC fighters with five or more UFC fights.
Striking & grappling
Same scale left and right on every row
3.31
Strikes landed / min3.10
3.71
Strikes taken / minfewer is better2.48
1.96 / 4.2
Takedowns landed / 15 min2.55 / 7.5
47%
Takedown accuracy34%
59%
Takedown defence77%
2:39
Control time / fight3:09
1.00
Submission attempts / 15 min0.50
Bars in a row share one scale. The stronger side is solid; the pale tail behind takedowns is attempts.
Where the strikes land
Range × target
Ed Herman25 UFC fights · 806 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
35%283/937
5%40/67
11%86/104
Clinch
12%98/176
15%120/135
2%14/14
Ground
14%113/176
6%51/56
0%1/1
Rafael Natal17 UFC fights · 656 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
32%207/717
9%62/132
25%163/200
Clinch
5%36/58
4%25/33
3%18/20
Ground
21%136/201
1%6/6
0%3/3
Share of significant strikes landed by range and target · landed / attempted in each cell.
When it ends
Every early finish of their careers, placed at the minute it ended
Ed Herman29 of 40 ended early · 73%11 went the distance
R1R2R3R4R5
3 early stoppages have no logged time
Rafael Natal18 of 31 ended early · 58%13 went the distance
R1R2R3R4R5
7 early stoppages have no logged time
finished the opponent got finished· placed at the minute the fight ended
Recent form · last 5
Ed Herman3-2
- L
- LUFC 265: Lewis vs Gane · Aug 7, 2021Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
- WUFC Fight Night: Waterson vs Hill · Sep 12, 2020Submission · R3 · 2:41 · Light Heavyweight
- WUFC Fight Night: Magomedsharipov vs Kattar · Nov 9, 2019Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
- W
Full record · 41 fightsShow less
- LUFC Fight Night: Volkan vs Smith · Oct 27, 2018Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
- LUFC Fight Night: Johnson vs Gaethje · Jul 7, 2017Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
- L
- W
- L
- WUFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · May 10, 2014Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
- LUFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · Nov 16, 2013Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
- W
- LStrikeforce: Marquardt vs. Saffiedine · Jan 11, 2013Submission · R1 · 3:10 · Catchweight
- NC
- W
- W
- WThe Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale · Jun 4, 2011TKO · R1 · 0:48 · Middleweight
- L
- W
- L
- L
- W
- W
- WChris PriceUFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · Jan 25, 2007Submission · R1 · 2:58 · Middleweight
- LOrtiz vs Shamrock 3: The Final Chapter · Oct 10, 2006Submission · R1 · 2:43 · Middleweight
- LThe Ultimate Fighter: Team Ortiz vs. Team Shamrock Finale · Jun 24, 2006Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Ultimate Fighter 3 Middleweight
- W
- W
- WRhomez BrowerIFC 23: Mayhem In Montana · Apr 30, 2005Submission · R1 · 2:47 · Middleweight
- W
- L
- W
- L
- WShane DavisSportFight 4 · Jun 26, 2004Submission · R3 · 0:51 · Middleweight
- W
- WJacen FlynnSportFight 3 · Apr 17, 2004Submission · R2 · 3:48 · Light Heavyweight
- WJustin HawesDesert Brawl 10 · Apr 3, 2004Submission · R2 · 3:45 · Light Heavyweight
- WDerek DowneySportFight 1 · Feb 21, 2004TKO · R3 · 2:14 · Light Heavyweight
- WRich GuerinPPKA: Ultimate Fight Night 3 · Jan 3, 2004Submission · R4 · 2:17
- LShane DavisSportFight: Second Coming · Aug 23, 2003Submission · R1 · 2:18
Rafael Natal2-3
Full record · 31 fightsShow less
- W
- WUFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi · Sep 5, 2014Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
- LUFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · May 10, 2014Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
- L
- WUFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader · Sep 4, 2013Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
- WUFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold · May 18, 2013Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
- W
- L
- W
- W
- DJesse BongfeldtUFC 124: ST-PIERRE vs KOSCHECK · Dec 11, 2010MD · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
- LUFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares · Sep 15, 2010Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
- W
- WAllan WeickertRing of Combat 26 · Sep 11, 2009Submission · R1 · 2:53 · Middleweight
- LVictor O'DonnellRing of Combat 25 · Jun 12, 2009TKO · R1 · 5:00 · Middleweight
- WPlinio CruzRing of Combat 24 · Apr 17, 2009Submission · R2 · 3:13 · Middleweight
- WAlexandre MorenoRing of Combat 23 · Feb 20, 2009TKO · R1 · 3:59 · Middleweight
- WJon KirkSupreme Warrior Championship · Nov 28, 2008Submission
- LEduardo TellesRio de Janeiro Regional · Jul 12, 2008TKO
- WSilmar RodrigoBrazil Regional · Aug 11, 2007DEC
- WNailson BahiaBrazil Regional · Apr 29, 2007Submission
- WGerson ConceiçãoBrazil Regional · Apr 29, 2007DEC
- W
- WCarlos Eduardo SantosMinas Gerais Regional · Oct 1, 2005Submission
- WEmerson AvilaSao Paulo Regional · May 6, 2005Submission
- WWalter LuisSao Paulo Regional · May 6, 2005Submission
Frequently asked questions
Who won Ed Herman vs Rafael Natal?
Ed Herman defeated Rafael Natal by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Middleweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva, held Saturday, May 10, 2014 at US Bank Arena, Cincinnati. The judges scored it 30-27, 29-28, 29-28, Ed Herman won the decision.
What were the judges' scorecards for Ed Herman vs Rafael Natal?
The judges scored it 30-27, 29-28, 29-28, Ed Herman won the decision.
Was Ed Herman vs Rafael Natal a robbery?
Public scoring backed the judges: 50% of 10 media scores picked Ed Herman.