Saturday, January 26, 2013United Center, Chicago, United States
Rafael Natal defeated Sean Spencer by Submission in round 3 (2:13) in the Middleweight bout of UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson, held Saturday, January 26, 2013 at United Center, Chicago.
Rafael Natal vs Sean Spencer
Fight stats: totals
Same scale left and right on every row; the pale tail behind a bar is attempts
Rafael NatalSean Spencer
0
Knockdowns0
64 / 111
Significant strikes12 / 84
58%
Sig. strike accuracy14%
122 / 170
Total strikes14 / 86
4 / 6
Takedowns0 / 0
4
Submission attempts0
5:42
Control time0:11
Where it landed
Significant strikes landed by target in this fight
Rafael NatalSean Spencer
4773%1192%
Head
69%18%
Body
1117%00%
Leg
Where it happened
Where the landed significant strikes came from
Rafael Natal
39%59%
Sean Spencer
92%
■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground
Range × target
Significant strikes landed by range and target in this fight · landed / attempted in each cell
Rafael Natal64 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
99/42
55/7
1111/11
Clinch
00/1
11/1
0
Ground
3838/49
0
0
Sean Spencer12 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
1010/76
11/5
00/1
Clinch
11/2
0
0
Ground
0
0
0
Round by round
Significant strikes landed per round
Rafael NatalSean Spencer
R1
22
7
R2
19
5
R3
23
0
Bars share one scale across rounds. The side that landed more is solid.
Round 1
0
Knockdowns0
22 / 51
Significant strikes7 / 59
43%
Sig. strike accuracy12%
24 / 54
Total strikes7 / 59
1 / 2
Takedowns0 / 0
0:30
Control time0:11
Round 2
0
Knockdowns0
19 / 32
Significant strikes5 / 20
59%
Sig. strike accuracy25%
63 / 76
Total strikes7 / 22
2 / 2
Takedowns0 / 0
1
Submission attempts0
3:25
Control time0:00
Round 3
0
Knockdowns0
23 / 28
Significant strikes0 / 5
82%
Sig. strike accuracy0%
35 / 40
Total strikes0 / 5
1 / 2
Takedowns0 / 0
3
Submission attempts0
1:47
Control time0:00
Betting Odds
Rafael Natal
-244
71% implied win probability
Open: -260Best: -231
Sean Spencer
+198
34% implied win probability
Open: +203Best: +206
Average moneyline across 4 sportsbooks.
| Sportsbook | Rafael Natal | Sean Spencer | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bookmaker | -240 | +190 | |
| Bovada | -240 | +200 | |
| Pinnacle | -231 | +206 | |
| sports-interaction | -270 | +195 |
Odds are for information only.
Build with this line: the same consensus odds, with opening and closing lines, are in the UFCalendar Fight API. Odds in the MMA Fight Data API
Insights
- Sean Spencer's last two losses were both stopped early.
- Rafael Natal lands 2.55 takedowns per 15 minutes, more than 81% of UFC fighters.
- Rafael Natal's last two losses were both stopped early.
Style & credentials
Rafael Natal
BJJ
- —Black belt · BJJVinicius "Draculino" Magalhaes and Renzo Gracie
- —Ring of Combat Middleweight ChampionshipRing of Combat
- 2005Champion · IBJJF Worldsblue belt
- —Gracie Barra Belo HorizonteBrazilian jiu Jitsu · 2003-2008
Sean Spencer
No background on record
Sig. strikes by zone
Where each fighter lands, as a share of significant strikes
58%76%
Head
14%17%
Body
28%7%
Leg
Time in position
Where their significant strikes are thrown
Rafael Natallast 17 fights
66%12%22%
Sean Spencerlast 8 fights
86%11%
■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground
How good, really
Each stat against every UFC fighter, in plain words
Rafael Natal Sean Spencer
Strikes landed / min
3.104.24
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Rafael Natal · Below avg · better than 39% of UFC fightersSean Spencer · Good · better than 72% of UFC fighters
Strikes taken / minfewer is better
2.484.02
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Rafael Natal · Good · better than 80% of UFC fightersSean Spencer · Below avg · better than 31% of UFC fighters
Takedowns landed / 15 min
2.550.14
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Rafael Natal · Good · better than 81% of UFC fightersSean Spencer · Poor · better than 9% of UFC fighters
Takedown accuracy
34%33%
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Rafael Natal · Average · better than 41% of UFC fightersSean Spencer · Below avg · better than 36% of UFC fighters
Takedown defence
77%68%
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Rafael Natal · Good · better than 80% of UFC fightersSean Spencer · Good · better than 62% of UFC fighters
Submission attempts / 15 min
0.500.00
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Rafael Natal · Average · better than 54% of UFC fightersSean Spencer · Poor · better than 0% of UFC fighters
Ranked against 1499 UFC fighters with five or more UFC fights.
Striking & grappling
Same scale left and right on every row
3.10
Strikes landed / min4.24
2.48
Strikes taken / minfewer is better4.02
2.55 / 7.5
Takedowns landed / 15 min0.14 / 0.4
34%
Takedown accuracy33%
77%
Takedown defence68%
3:09
Control time / fight0:53
0.50
Submission attempts / 15 min0.00
Bars in a row share one scale. The stronger side is solid; the pale tail behind takedowns is attempts.
Where the strikes land
Range × target
Rafael Natal17 UFC fights · 656 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
32%207/717
9%62/132
25%163/200
Clinch
5%36/58
4%25/33
3%18/20
Ground
21%136/201
1%6/6
0%3/3
Sean Spencer8 UFC fights · 456 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
65%296/1140
14%65/121
7%30/41
Clinch
8%35/68
2%11/13
1%3/3
Ground
3%14/17
0%1/2
0%1/1
Share of significant strikes landed by range and target · landed / attempted in each cell.
When it ends
Every early finish of their careers, placed at the minute it ended
Rafael Natal18 of 31 ended early · 58%13 went the distance
R1R2R3R4R5
7 early stoppages have no logged time
Sean Spencer9 of 19 ended early · 47%10 went the distance
R1R2R3R4R5
3 early stoppages have no logged time
finished the opponent got finished· placed at the minute the fight ended
Recent form · last 5
Rafael Natal2-3
Full record · 31 fightsShow less
- W
- WUFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi · Sep 5, 2014Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
- LUFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · May 10, 2014Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
- L
- WUFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader · Sep 4, 2013Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
- WUFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold · May 18, 2013Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
- W
- L
- W
- W
- DJesse BongfeldtUFC 124: ST-PIERRE vs KOSCHECK · Dec 11, 2010MD · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
- LUFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares · Sep 15, 2010Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
- W
- WAllan WeickertRing of Combat 26 · Sep 11, 2009Submission · R1 · 2:53 · Middleweight
- LVictor O'DonnellRing of Combat 25 · Jun 12, 2009TKO · R1 · 5:00 · Middleweight
- WPlinio CruzRing of Combat 24 · Apr 17, 2009Submission · R2 · 3:13 · Middleweight
- WAlexandre MorenoRing of Combat 23 · Feb 20, 2009TKO · R1 · 3:59 · Middleweight
- WJon KirkSupreme Warrior Championship · Nov 28, 2008Submission
- LEduardo TellesRio de Janeiro Regional · Jul 12, 2008TKO
- WSilmar RodrigoBrazil Regional · Aug 11, 2007DEC
- WNailson BahiaBrazil Regional · Apr 29, 2007Submission
- WGerson ConceiçãoBrazil Regional · Apr 29, 2007DEC
- W
- WCarlos Eduardo SantosMinas Gerais Regional · Oct 1, 2005Submission
- WEmerson AvilaSao Paulo Regional · May 6, 2005Submission
- WWalter LuisSao Paulo Regional · May 6, 2005Submission
Sean Spencer1-4
- LBilal WilliamsLFA 47: Jackson vs. Jennerman · Aug 10, 2018TKO · R2 · 0:58 · Welterweight
- L
- L
- LUFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · Jan 18, 2015Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
- WUFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · Sep 13, 2014Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
Full record · 19 fightsShow less
- L
- WThe Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale · Nov 30, 2013Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
- WUFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader · Sep 4, 2013Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
- L
- WEvan CuttsLegacy FC 13 · Aug 17, 2012Unanimous Decision · Welterweight
- WJoseph DailyBFC: Bellator Fighting Championships 62 · Mar 22, 2012Submission · R2 · 1:24
- W
- LAli HanjaniMMA Fight Pit · Aug 13, 2011Submission · R1 · 1:41 · Welterweight
- WKreg HartleTexas Regional · Jun 18, 2011Submission
- WEric ScallanGlobal Fighting Alliance · Feb 26, 2011DEC
- WJoshua SmithKing of Kombat · Aug 20, 2010DEC
- WKobe OrtizSupreme Warrior Championship · Jun 19, 2010DEC
- WChris SpicerKing of Kombat · Feb 27, 2010TKO
- WRyan DelorenzoGameness Fighting Championship · May 2, 2009TKO
Frequently asked questions
Who won Rafael Natal vs Sean Spencer?
Rafael Natal defeated Sean Spencer by Submission in round 3 (2:13) in the Middleweight bout of UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson, held Saturday, January 26, 2013 at United Center, Chicago.