Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Middleweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Rafael Natal
Sapo
21-9-1
RESULT

Rafael Natal def. Sean Spencer (Submission)

Submission · Round 3 · 2:13
Sean Spencer
Black Magic
12-6-0
Saturday, January 26, 2013

Rafael Natal defeated Sean Spencer by Submission in round 3 (2:13) in the Middleweight bout of UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson, held Saturday, January 26, 2013.

Fight stats

Rafael Natal
Sean Spencer
0
Knockdowns
0
64 of 111
Significant strikes
12 of 84
58%
Sig. strike accuracy
14%
122 of 170
Total strikes
14 of 86
4 of 6
Takedowns
0 of 0
67%
Takedown accuracy
-
4
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
5:42
Control time
0:11
Significant strikes by target
47 of 92
Head
11 of 78
6 of 8
Body
1 of 5
11 of 11
Leg
0 of 1
25 of 60
Distance
11 of 82
1 of 2
Clinch
1 of 2
38 of 49
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
22 of 51
Sig. str.
7 of 59
24 of 54
Total str.
7 of 59
1 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:30
Ctrl
0:11
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
19 of 32
Sig. str.
5 of 20
63 of 76
Total str.
7 of 22
2 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 0
1
Sub. att
0
3:25
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
23 of 28
Sig. str.
0 of 5
35 of 40
Total str.
0 of 5
1 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 0
3
Sub. att
0
1:47
Ctrl
0:00

Betting Odds

Rafael Natal
-244
71% implied win probability
Open: -260Best: -231
Sean Spencer
+198
34% implied win probability
Open: +203Best: +206

Average moneyline across 4 sportsbooks.

SportsbookRafael NatalSean Spencer
Bookmaker-240+190
Bovada-240+200
Pinnacle-231+206
sports-interaction-270+195

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Rafael Natal vs Sean Spencer?

Rafael Natal defeated Sean Spencer by Submission in round 3 (2:13) in the Middleweight bout of UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson, held Saturday, January 26, 2013.

Referee
Robert Madrigal
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Rafael Natal 51%49% Sean Spencer

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model. Each fighter is rated against their own division, so read the gaps as directional.

Rafael Natal
Grappling Specialist
6 edges
Sean Spencer
Complete Fighter
4 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

81Power69
84Speed75
85Precision78
84Durability87
93Engine94
98Wrestling61
94Ground52

Biggest edge Rafael Natal, Submissions +45

Attribute by attribute

Rafael Natal is on the left of every row, Sean Spencer on the right.
70Punch power87
91Kick power51
75Punch speed95
93Kick speed55
85Accuracy78
98Takedowns61
95Ground striking57
92Submissions47
72Chin78
95Body strength95
93Cardio94

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

21-9-1
Record
12-6-0
1714
Power Index rating
1708
0
Win Streak
0
43
Age
39
6'0"
183 cm
Height
5'10"
178 cm
77"
196 cm
Reach
74"
188 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Middleweight
Weight Class
Middleweight
Brazil
Nationality
United States

Striking Profile

3.10
SLpM
4.24
47%
Str. Acc.
32%
2.48
SApM
4.02
57%
Str. Def.
60%

Grappling Profile

2.55
TD Avg.
0.14
34%
TD Acc.
33%
77%
TD Def.
68%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
0.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Rafael Natal · 2-3
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs Gastelum · Jul 23, 2017
    TKO · R1 · 2:54 · Middleweight
  • L
    UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · Nov 13, 2016
    TKO · R1 · 3:22 · Middleweight
  • L
    UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · Apr 23, 2016
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Johnson vs Bader · Jan 31, 2016
    TKO · R3 · 3:37 · Middleweight
  • W
    UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · May 23, 2015
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
Sean Spencer · 1-4
  • L
    LFA 47: Jackson vs. Jennerman · Aug 10, 2018
    TKO · R2 · 0:58 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC 203: Miocic vs Overeem · Sep 11, 2016
    Submission · R2 · 0:49 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · Feb 7, 2016
    TKO · R3 · 4:25 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · Jan 18, 2015
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · Sep 13, 2014
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight

Career Averages

Based on 17 fights · 8 fights
38.6
Avg sig. strikes
57.0
2.12
Avg takedowns
0.13
3:09
Avg control time
0:53
73
Career high strikes
105
8
Career high TDs
1

Strike Distribution

Rafael Natal
Strike target
Sean Spencer
58%
Head
76%
14%
Body
17%
28%
Leg
7%
Rafael Natal
Strike position
Sean Spencer
66%
Distance
86%
12%
Clinch
11%
22%
Ground
4%