Ultimate Fighting Calendar
UFCUFC 183: Silva vs Diaz
Middleweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Rafael Natal
BrazilRafael Natal
“Sapo”
21-9-1
RESULT

Rafael Natal def. Tom Watson (Unanimous Decision)

Unanimous Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
Tom Watson
United KingdomTom Watson
“Kong”
17-9-0
Saturday, January 31, 2015
MGM Grand Arena, Las Vegas, United States

Rafael Natal defeated Tom Watson by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Middleweight bout of UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz, held Saturday, January 31, 2015 at MGM Grand Arena, Las Vegas. The judges scored it 30-27, 30-27, 30-26, Rafael Natal won the decision.

Fight stats

Rafael Natal
Tom Watson
0
Knockdowns
0
67 of 152
Significant strikes
29 of 150
44%
Sig. strike accuracy
19%
74 of 159
Total strikes
33 of 156
8 of 13
Takedowns
0 of 0
62%
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
3:30
Control time
0:00
Significant strikes by target
43 of 125
Head
13 of 106
6 of 8
Body
1 of 20
18 of 19
Leg
15 of 24
65 of 144
Distance
28 of 148
1 of 2
Clinch
1 of 2
1 of 6
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
23 of 51
Sig. str.
9 of 44
27 of 55
Total str.
11 of 46
3 of 4
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
1:20
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
19 of 44
Sig. str.
9 of 48
20 of 45
Total str.
10 of 50
2 of 5
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
1:24
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
25 of 57
Sig. str.
11 of 58
27 of 59
Total str.
12 of 60
3 of 4
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:46
Ctrl
0:00

Judges' Scorecards

Adalaide Byrd
#NatalWatson
1109
2109
3109
Total3027
Sal D'Amato
#NatalWatson
1109
2109
3109
Total3027
Lester Griffin
#NatalWatson
1108
2109
3109
Total3026

Media Scores

16
Natal
-
0
Watson
●30-27 Natal×15●29-28 Natal
All 16 media scorecards▾

Fan Scorecards

100%
Natal
0%
Watson
12 fan scorecards submitted
●30-27 Natal91.7%●30-26 Natal8.3%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
92%
Natal
R2
100%
Natal
R3
100%
Natal

Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com

Betting Odds

Rafael Natal
-143
59% implied win probability
Open: -173Best: -132
Tom Watson
+122
45% implied win probability
Open: +139Best: +140

Average moneyline across 4 sportsbooks.

SportsbookRafael NatalTom Watson
Bookmaker-132+112
Bovada-150+140
Pinnacle-140+127
sports-interaction-152+110

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Rafael Natal vs Tom Watson?

Rafael Natal defeated Tom Watson by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Middleweight bout of UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz, held Saturday, January 31, 2015 at MGM Grand Arena, Las Vegas. The judges scored it 30-27, 30-27, 30-26, Rafael Natal won the decision.

What were the judges' scorecards for Rafael Natal vs Tom Watson?

The judges scored it 30-27, 30-27, 30-26, Rafael Natal won the decision.

Was Rafael Natal vs Tom Watson a robbery?

Public scoring backed the judges: 100% of 16 media scores picked Rafael Natal.

Full robbery index →
Referee
Mark Smith
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison▾

Win probability

Rafael Natal 47%53% Tom Watson

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Middleweight roster (229 fighters)

Rafael Natal
Grappling Specialist
8 edges
Tom Watson
Knockout Artist
3 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

81Power77
84Speed86
85Precision72
84Durability93
93Engine90
98Wrestling58
94Ground54

Biggest edge Rafael Natal, Ground striking +46

Attribute by attribute

Rafael Natal is on the left of every row, Tom Watson on the right.
70Punch power58
91Kick power96
75Punch speed74
93Kick speed97
85Accuracy72
98Takedowns58
95Ground striking49
92Submissions58
72Chin94
95Body strength92
93Cardio90

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

21-9-1
Record
17-9-0
1728
Power Index rating
1751
0
Win Streak
0
43
Age
44
6'0"
183 cm
Height
6'1"
185 cm
77"
196 cm
Reach
73"
185 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Middleweight
Weight Class
Middleweight
Brazil
Nationality
United Kingdom

Striking Profile

3.10
SLpM
4.01
47%
Str. Acc.
44%
2.48
SApM
4.41
57%
Str. Def.
50%

Grappling Profile

2.55
TD Avg.
0.15
34%
TD Acc.
7%
77%
TD Def.
43%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
0.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Rafael Natal · 2-3
  • L
    Eryk Anders
    UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs Gastelum · Jul 23, 2017
    TKO · R1 · 2:54 · Middleweight
  • L
    Tim Boetsch
    UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · Nov 13, 2016
    TKO · R1 · 3:22 · Middleweight
  • L
    Robert Whittaker
    UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · Apr 23, 2016
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
  • W
    Kevin Casey
    UFC Fight Night: Johnson vs Bader · Jan 31, 2016
    TKO · R3 · 3:37 · Middleweight
  • W
    Uriah Hall
    UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · May 23, 2015
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
Tom Watson · 2-3
  • L
    Chris Camozzi
    UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux · Aug 8, 2015
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
  • L
    Rafael Natal
    UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · Jan 31, 2015
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
  • W
    Sam Alvey
    UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · Aug 18, 2014
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
  • W
    Sam Alvey
    UFC Fight Night 47 · Aug 16, 2014
    Unanimous Decision · Middleweight
  • L
    Nick Catone
    UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · Feb 1, 2014
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight

Career Averages

Based on 17 fights · 7 fights
38.6
Avg sig. strikes
57.1
2.12
Avg takedowns
0.14
3:09
Avg control time
1:26
73
Career high strikes
85
8
Career high TDs
1

Strike Distribution

Rafael Natal
Strike target
Tom Watson
58%
Head
45%
14%
Body
22%
28%
Leg
33%
Rafael Natal
Strike position
Tom Watson
66%
Distance
72%
12%
Clinch
26%
22%
Ground
2%