Ultimate Fighting Calendar
MiddleweightKO of the Night5 rounds scheduled
WIN
Tim Kennedy
RESULT

Tim Kennedy def. Rafael Natal (TKO)

TKO · Round 1 · 4:40
Rafael Natal
Sapo
21-9-1
Wednesday, November 6, 2013
Fort Campbell, Fort Campbell, United States

Tim Kennedy defeated Rafael Natal by TKO in round 1 (4:40) in the Middleweight main event of UFC Fight Night: Kennedy vs Natal, held Wednesday, November 6, 2013 at Fort Campbell, Fort Campbell.

Fight stats

Tim Kennedy
Rafael Natal
1
Knockdowns
0
13 of 31
Significant strikes
13 of 35
42%
Sig. strike accuracy
37%
13 of 31
Total strikes
13 of 35
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 1
-
Takedown accuracy
0%
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:02
Control time
0:00
Significant strikes by target
7 of 24
Head
5 of 21
1 of 2
Body
2 of 6
5 of 5
Leg
6 of 8
9 of 27
Distance
13 of 35
0 of 0
Clinch
0 of 0
4 of 4
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
1
KD
0
13 of 31
Sig. str.
13 of 35
13 of 31
Total str.
13 of 35
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
0:02
Ctrl
0:00

Betting Odds

Tim Kennedy
-407
80% implied win probability
Open: -344Best: -382
Rafael Natal
+311
24% implied win probability
Open: +279Best: +332

Average moneyline across 4 sportsbooks.

SportsbookTim KennedyRafael Natal
Bookmaker-416+332
Bovada-400+270
Pinnacle-382+331
sports-interaction-435+310

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Tim Kennedy vs Rafael Natal?

Tim Kennedy defeated Rafael Natal by TKO in round 1 (4:40) in the Middleweight main event of UFC Fight Night: Kennedy vs Natal, held Wednesday, November 6, 2013 at Fort Campbell, Fort Campbell.

Referee
Herb Dean
Time format
5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Tim Kennedy 54%46% Rafael Natal

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Middleweight roster (229 fighters)

Tim Kennedy
Grappling Specialist
3 edges
Rafael Natal
Grappling Specialist
8 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

84Power81
80Speed84
68Precision85
80Durability84
87Engine93
97Wrestling98
87Ground94

Biggest edge Rafael Natal, Accuracy +17

Attribute by attribute

Tim Kennedy is on the left of every row, Rafael Natal on the right.
75Punch power70
93Kick power91
72Punch speed75
88Kick speed93
68Accuracy85
97Takedowns98
96Ground striking95
77Submissions92
68Chin72
91Body strength95
87Cardio93

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

18-6-0
Record
21-9-1
1777
Power Index rating
1749
0
Win Streak
0
46
Age
43
5'11"
180 cm
Height
6'0"
183 cm
74"
188 cm
Reach
77"
196 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Middleweight
Weight Class
Middleweight
United States
Nationality
Brazil

Striking Profile

2.78
SLpM
3.10
47%
Str. Acc.
47%
1.84
SApM
2.48
62%
Str. Def.
57%

Grappling Profile

2.58
TD Avg.
2.55
35%
TD Acc.
34%
70%
TD Def.
77%
0.70
Sub. Avg.
0.50

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Tim Kennedy · 3-2
  • L
    UFC 206: Holloway vs Pettis · Dec 11, 2016
    TKO · R3 · 2:45 · Middleweight
  • L
    UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · Sep 27, 2014
    TKO · R3 · 0:58 · Middleweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · Apr 16, 2014
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Middleweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Kennedy vs Natal · Nov 6, 2013
    TKO · R1 · 4:40 · Middleweight
  • W
    UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · Jul 6, 2013
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
Rafael Natal · 2-3
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs Gastelum · Jul 23, 2017
    TKO · R1 · 2:54 · Middleweight
  • L
    UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · Nov 13, 2016
    TKO · R1 · 3:22 · Middleweight
  • L
    UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · Apr 23, 2016
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Johnson vs Bader · Jan 31, 2016
    TKO · R3 · 3:37 · Middleweight
  • W
    UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · May 23, 2015
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight

Career Averages

Based on 5 fights · 17 fights
38.6
Avg sig. strikes
38.6
2.00
Avg takedowns
2.12
4:25
Avg control time
3:09
54
Career high strikes
73
5
Career high TDs
8

Strike Distribution

Tim Kennedy
Strike target
Rafael Natal
48%
Head
58%
25%
Body
14%
27%
Leg
28%
Tim Kennedy
Strike position
Rafael Natal
62%
Distance
66%
25%
Clinch
12%
13%
Ground
22%