Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Middleweight3 rounds scheduled
Rafael Natal
Sapo
21-9-1
RESULT

Andrew Craig def. Rafael Natal (TKO)

TKO · Round 2 · 4:52
WIN
Andrew Craig
Highlight
9-4-0
Wednesday, July 11, 2012

Andrew Craig defeated Rafael Natal by TKO in round 2 (4:52) in the Middleweight bout of UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman, held Wednesday, July 11, 2012.

Fight stats

Rafael Natal
Andrew Craig
2
Knockdowns
1
73 of 109
Significant strikes
23 of 72
67%
Sig. strike accuracy
32%
79 of 115
Total strikes
30 of 80
2 of 5
Takedowns
0 of 1
40%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
1
1:30
Control time
0:49
Significant strikes by target
47 of 78
Head
10 of 58
10 of 14
Body
2 of 3
16 of 17
Leg
11 of 11
49 of 81
Distance
21 of 69
11 of 12
Clinch
0 of 1
13 of 16
Ground
2 of 2

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
29 of 42
Sig. str.
10 of 41
29 of 42
Total str.
12 of 43
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 2
2
KD
1
44 of 67
Sig. str.
13 of 31
50 of 73
Total str.
18 of 37
2 of 4
Takedowns
0 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
1:30
Ctrl
0:49

Betting Odds

Rafael Natal
+128
44% implied win probability
Open: +136Best: +131
Andrew Craig
-153
60% implied win probability
Open: -169Best: -145

Average moneyline across 4 sportsbooks.

SportsbookRafael NatalAndrew Craig
Bookmaker+130-160
Bovada+125-150
Pinnacle+131-145
sports-interaction+125-160

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Rafael Natal vs Andrew Craig?

Andrew Craig defeated Rafael Natal by TKO in round 2 (4:52) in the Middleweight bout of UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman, held Wednesday, July 11, 2012.

Referee
Marcos Rosales
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Rafael Natal 52%48% Andrew Craig

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Middleweight roster (229 fighters)

Rafael Natal
Grappling Specialist
8 edges
Andrew Craig
Complete Fighter
1 edge
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

81Power76
84Speed60
85Precision66
84Durability84
93Engine88
98Wrestling71
94Ground62

Biggest edge Rafael Natal, Kick speed +39

Attribute by attribute

Rafael Natal is on the left of every row, Andrew Craig on the right.
70Punch power94
91Kick power57
75Punch speed66
93Kick speed54
85Accuracy66
98Takedowns71
95Ground striking70
92Submissions54
72Chin72
95Body strength95
93Cardio88

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

21-9-1
Record
9-4-0
1751
Power Index rating
1734
0
Win Streak
0
43
Age
40
6'0"
183 cm
Height
6'1"
185 cm
77"
196 cm
Reach
76"
193 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Middleweight
Weight Class
Middleweight
Brazil
Nationality
United States

Striking Profile

3.10
SLpM
2.39
47%
Str. Acc.
40%
2.48
SApM
3.01
57%
Str. Def.
50%

Grappling Profile

2.55
TD Avg.
0.53
34%
TD Acc.
37%
77%
TD Def.
72%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
0.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Rafael Natal · 2-3
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs Gastelum · Jul 23, 2017
    TKO · R1 · 2:54 · Middleweight
  • L
    UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor · Nov 13, 2016
    TKO · R1 · 3:22 · Middleweight
  • L
    UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · Apr 23, 2016
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Johnson vs Bader · Jan 31, 2016
    TKO · R3 · 3:37 · Middleweight
  • W
    UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · May 23, 2015
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
Andrew Craig · 1-4
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · Jul 15, 2015
    TKO · R2 · 3:37 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt · Jun 28, 2014
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · Oct 27, 2013
    Submission · R2 · 2:12 · Middleweight
  • W
    UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · Jul 6, 2013
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
  • L
    UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping · Jan 19, 2013
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight

Career Averages

Based on 17 fights · 7 fights
38.6
Avg sig. strikes
29.3
2.12
Avg takedowns
0.43
3:09
Avg control time
1:44
73
Career high strikes
64
8
Career high TDs
2

Strike Distribution

Rafael Natal
Strike target
Andrew Craig
58%
Head
69%
14%
Body
14%
28%
Leg
17%
Rafael Natal
Strike position
Andrew Craig
66%
Distance
73%
12%
Clinch
13%
22%
Ground
14%