UFCalendar
UFC & MMA Blog
Analysis, explainers, and stories written on top of UFCalendar's live MMA database.
Archive· Page 14
Investigations
Makhachev vs Machado Garry: the UFC 330 main event by the numbers
Makhachev vs Machado Garry by the numbers: age, reach, one welterweight fight of sample, and why UFC 330's main event is closer than the odds say.
Aug 14, 2026 · 5 min read
News
UFC 330 odds: where our AI model splits from the books
UFC 330 odds vs our AI model: the books favor Dern, Turner and Fernando, the model disagrees, led by a 28 point gap on Tobias vs Fernando.
Aug 14, 2026 · 4 min read
News
UFC 330 card, start times and how to watch Makhachev vs Garry
UFC 330 full fight card, start times and how to watch Makhachev vs Machado Garry and Dern vs Robertson on Saturday, August 15 in Philadelphia.
Aug 13, 2026 · 2 min read
Technique
UFC 330: How Ian Machado Garry survives Islam Makhachev
UFC 330 technique breakdown: the takedown chain Ian Machado Garry must break to survive Islam Makhachev, with numbers from the Della Maddalena and Belal fights.
Aug 13, 2026 · 5 min read
Previews
Vakhaev vs Aliakbari, Hemetsberger vs Diachkova: weekend preview
Weekend preview and predictions for ACA 206 Vakhaev vs Aliakbari, ONE Fight Night 46 Hemetsberger vs Diachkova, and ONE Friday Fights 166 in Bangkok.
Aug 13, 2026 · 4 min read
Previews
UFC 330: Barboza vs Ribovics is the bonus fight in plain sight
UFC 330 preview: Edson Barboza brings 12 career bonuses, Esteban Ribovics Fight of the Night in three of his last four. The math says violence.
Aug 12, 2026 · 4 min read
Editorials
The winningest welterweight in UFC history opens UFC 330
Neil Magny owns the UFC welterweight wins record with 24, six clear of Georges St-Pierre. At UFC 330 he fights second on the card, at age 39.
Aug 12, 2026 · 4 min read
Investigations
Can Ian Machado Garry decision his way to Makhachev's belt?
Ian Machado Garry enters UFC 330 on six straight decisions. Our sweep of every UFC title fight shows challengers like him almost never win the belt.
Aug 12, 2026 · 6 min read
Investigations
What 14 years of line movement says about the UFC betting market
We analyzed line movement across 6,210 UFC fights since 2012. The side the money moves toward wins more often than the odds imply, and the gap is growing.
Aug 11, 2026 · 6 min read
News
UFC 330 odds: Makhachev's price on Machado Garry keeps sliding
UFC 330 odds tracker: Islam Makhachev opened near -390 on Ian Machado Garry in March. Five months of line movement have the champion at -340 on fight week.
Aug 11, 2026 · 2 min read
Investigations
Dern vs Robertson: the numbers under UFC 330's other title fight
Mackenzie Dern defends the strawweight title against Gillian Robertson at UFC 330. The streaks, submission stats, and odds behind Saturday's co-main event.
Aug 11, 2026 · 5 min read
Recaps
RIZIN 54 results: Sato upsets Patchy Mix, Akimoto beats Koike
RIZIN 54 results from Tokyo: Shoko Sato hands Patchy Mix a fourth straight loss and 20-year-old Kyoma Akimoto outpoints Kleber Koike Erbst in the main event.
Aug 11, 2026 · 5 min read
News
UFC 330 card changes: four bouts gone in eleven days
UFC 330 card changes tracked hour by hour: Blanchfield off, Geoff Neal out, a main-card flyweight bout that lasted 104 minutes, and the card as it stands today.
Aug 10, 2026 · 3 min read
Investigations
Ten fighters won a second UFC belt. Seven defended it
Islam Makhachev defends the welterweight title at UFC 330. Across 482 UFC title fights, two-division champions have a strange record with the second belt.
Aug 10, 2026 · 6 min read
Previews
RIZIN 54 preview: Kleber Koike Erbst vs Kyoma Akimoto
RIZIN 54 predictions from Tokyo: Kleber Koike Erbst is an underdog against Kyoma Akimoto, plus odds, recent form and picks for all eleven bouts on the card.
Aug 10, 2026 · 5 min read
Recaps
Salkilld submits Gamrot in 4:25: UFC Fight Night results
UFC Fight Night results and analysis: Quillan Salkilld submitted Mateusz Gamrot in round one, and 11 of 12 bouts went the way the betting board called it.
Aug 9, 2026 · 4 min read
Editorials
UFC rankings lag the market, and Saturday proved it twice
No. 12 beat No. 8 twice on one UFC card, and both times the lower-ranked fighter was the betting favorite. The panel is four places behind the board.
Aug 9, 2026 · 4 min read
News
UFC Fight Night payouts: how much did Salkilld and Gamrot make?
UFC Fight Night payouts and bonuses: $525,000 paid out, four $100,000 awards and five $25,000 finish incentives. Who earned what, and what the UFC never discloses.
Aug 9, 2026 · 4 min read
Previews
Gamrot vs Salkilld parlay: the legs our model refused to add
Our model built two Gamrot vs Salkilld tickets, at 9.03x and 15.00x. The math offered a bigger number. Here is every leg we left off, and the rule that removed it.
Aug 8, 2026 · 6 min read
Previews
Gamrot vs Salkilld: where our model splits from the board
Gamrot vs Salkilld predictions: our model disagrees with 25 sportsbooks on four fights tonight, and marks down every favorite priced above 70 percent.
Aug 8, 2026 · 7 min read
Investigations
When do UFC fighters get washed? 16,429 fights name two culprits
We tracked 16,429 UFC appearances to find when fighters get washed. Age and knockdowns absorbed predict the fall; cage time and strikes eaten do not.
Aug 7, 2026 · 8 min read
Technique
Gamrot vs Salkilld: how you out-wrestle a 26-fight wrestler
Gamrot vs Salkilld breakdown: Salkilld lands more takedowns per 15 minutes than Gamrot, and 19 attempts bought Gamrot two minutes on Dariush.
Aug 7, 2026 · 6 min read
Previews
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Salkilld preview and predictions
Gamrot is the No. 8 lightweight and the underdog against unbeaten-in-the-UFC Quillan Salkilld. Full card picks, odds and start times for Saturday at the Apex.
Aug 6, 2026 · 6 min read
Investigations
Octagon experience is an anti-predictor: 1,379 fights say so
Across three years of UFC results, the more experienced fighter wins 43.9 percent of the time. Saturday's Apex card is built entirely on that gap.
Aug 6, 2026 · 6 min read