Saturday, April 15, 2023T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, United States
Rafa Garcia defeated Clay Guida by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Allen, held Saturday, April 15, 2023 at T-Mobile Center, Kansas City. The judges scored it 30-27, 30-27, 30-27, Rafa Garcia won the decision.
Clay Guida vs Rafa Garcia
Fight stats: totals
Same scale left and right on every row; the pale tail behind a bar is attempts
Clay GuidaRafa Garcia
0
Knockdowns0
63 / 252
Significant strikes141 / 287
25%
Sig. strike accuracy49%
63 / 252
Total strikes143 / 289
0 / 3
Takedowns0 / 1
0%
Takedown accuracy0%
0:00
Control time0:20
Where it landed
Significant strikes landed by target in this fight
Clay GuidaRafa Garcia
4978%13092%
Head
46%54%
Body
1016%64%
Leg
Where it happened
Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground
93%
■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground
Range × target
Significant strikes landed by range and target in this fight · landed / attempted in each cell
Clay Guida63 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
4949/227
44/12
1010/13
Clinch
0
0
0
Ground
0
0
0
Rafa Garcia141 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
127127/266
55/12
66/6
Clinch
33/3
0
0
Ground
0
0
0
Round by round
Significant strikes landed per round · the judges' scores under each
Clay GuidaRafa Garcia
R1
23
34
10-910-910-9
R2
21
65
10-910-910-9
R3
19
42
10-910-910-9
Bars share one scale across rounds. Each chip is one judge's score for the round, coloured by who they gave it to.
Round 1Judges: Rafa Garcia
0
Knockdowns0
23 / 92
Significant strikes34 / 89
25%
Sig. strike accuracy38%
23 / 92
Total strikes34 / 89
0 / 0
Takedowns0 / 0
0:00
Control time0:00
Round 2Judges: Rafa Garcia
0
Knockdowns0
21 / 88
Significant strikes65 / 110
24%
Sig. strike accuracy59%
21 / 88
Total strikes65 / 110
0 / 1
Takedowns0 / 0
0:00
Control time0:00
Round 3Judges: Rafa Garcia
0
Knockdowns0
19 / 72
Significant strikes42 / 88
26%
Sig. strike accuracy48%
19 / 72
Total strikes44 / 90
0 / 2
Takedowns0 / 1
0%
Takedown accuracy0%
0:00
Control time0:20
Judges' Scorecards
Media Scores
0
Clay Guida
17
Rafa Garcia
●30-27 Garcia×17
All 17 media scorecards
- Daniel Yanofsky · The Sporting News30-27Garcia
- MMAMania.com30-27Garcia
- MMAJunkie.com30-27Garcia
- Tyler Treese · Sherdog.com30-27Garcia
- Ben Duffy · Sherdog.com30-27Garcia
- Jay Pettry · Sherdog.com30-27Garcia
- Seán Sheehan · SevereMMA.com30-27Garcia
- Dayne Fox · BloodyElbow.com30-27Garcia
- Jake Noecker · The Scrap News30-27Garcia
- Jillian DeCoursey30-27Garcia
- Dan Urban · Couchside Judges30-27Garcia
- Ryan Frederick · WrestlingObserver.com30-27Garcia
- Keith Shillan · Sherdog.com30-27Garcia
- Matthew Wells · MMAJunkie.com30-27Garcia
- Alex Behunin · MMA Mania30-27Garcia
- Steve Duncan · mma.uno30-27Garcia
- CombatPress.com30-27Garcia
Fan Scorecards
39 fan scorecards submitted
3%
Clay Guida
97%
Rafa Garcia
●30-27 Garcia76.9%●29-28 Garcia10.3%●30-26 Garcia10.3%●30-25 Guida2.6%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
87%
Garcia
R2
87%
Garcia
R3
97%
Garcia
Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com
Betting Odds
Clay Guida
+487
17% implied win probability
Open: +188Best: +1800
Rafa Garcia
-374
79% implied win probability
Open: -240Best: -263
Average moneyline across 13 sportsbooks.
| Sportsbook | Clay Guida | Rafa Garcia | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything | +210 | -280 | |
| BetOnline | +268 | -318 | |
| BetUS | +210 | -280 | |
| Betway | +900 | -5000 | |
| Bovada | +230 | -280 | |
| Cloudbet | +264 | -302 | |
| DraftKings | +1400 | -5000 | |
| FanDuel | +1800 | -4500 | |
| mybookie | +200 | -263 | |
| Pinnacle | +255 | -350 | |
| sportsbetio | +174 | -303 | |
| sports-interaction | +215 | -300 | |
| unibet | +210 | -275 |
Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io
Insights
- Rafa Garcia absorbs 4.68 significant strikes a minute, more than 84% of UFC fighters.
- Clay Guida lands 3.10 takedowns per 15 minutes, more than 88% of UFC fighters.
- Rafa Garcia lands 3.02 takedowns per 15 minutes, more than 88% of UFC fighters.
- Rafa Garcia spends 80% of fight time at distance.
Style & credentials
Clay Guida
Folkstyle Wrestling
- 2006Strikeforce Lightweight Championship (inaugural)Strikeforce
- —XFO Lightweight Championship (2x)XFO (Xtreme Fighting Organization)
- —XKK Lightweight ChampionshipXtreme Kage Kombat
- —Combat-Do Lightweight ChampionshipCombat-Do
Rafa Garcia
BJJ
- —Brown belt · BJJPhilippe "Furao" Della Monica / Carlos Gracie Jr.
- 2020Combate Americas Lightweight Championship (successful defense)Combate Americas
- 2019Combate Americas Lightweight Championship (inaugural)Combate Americas
- —Imperial High SchoolWrestling Folkstyle · one season
Sig. strikes by zone
Where each fighter lands, as a share of significant strikes
60%80%
Head
16%12%
Body
24%8%
Leg
Time in position
Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground
Clay Guidalast 5 fights
65%25%10%
Rafa Garcialast 6 fights
80%13%
■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground
How good, really
Each stat against every UFC fighter, in plain words
Clay Guida Rafa Garcia
Strikes landed / min
2.634.33
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Clay Guida · Below avg · better than 25% of UFC fightersRafa Garcia · Good · better than 75% of UFC fighters
Strikes taken / minfewer is better
3.004.68
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Clay Guida · Good · better than 63% of UFC fightersRafa Garcia · Poor · better than 16% of UFC fighters
Takedowns landed / 15 min
3.103.02
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Clay Guida · Elite · better than 88% of UFC fightersRafa Garcia · Elite · better than 88% of UFC fighters
Takedown accuracy
35%41%
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Clay Guida · Average · better than 44% of UFC fightersRafa Garcia · Average · better than 58% of UFC fighters
Takedown defence
66%77%
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Clay Guida · Average · better than 55% of UFC fightersRafa Garcia · Good · better than 80% of UFC fighters
Submission attempts / 15 min
0.600.40
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Clay Guida · Good · better than 60% of UFC fightersRafa Garcia · Average · better than 47% of UFC fighters
Ranked against 1497 UFC fighters with five or more UFC fights.
Striking & grappling
Same scale left and right on every row
2.63
Strikes landed / min4.33
3.00
Strikes taken / minfewer is better4.68
3.10 / 8.9
Takedowns landed / 15 min3.02 / 7.4
35%
Takedown accuracy41%
66%
Takedown defence77%
4:14
Control time / fight2:49
0.60
Submission attempts / 15 min0.40
Bars in a row share one scale. The stronger side is solid; the pale tail behind takedowns is attempts.
Where the strikes land
Range × target
Clay Guida37 UFC fights · 1156 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
40%458/2440
8%88/183
18%207/239
Clinch
5%60/115
3%38/45
5%60/63
Ground
15%173/326
5%60/63
1%12/12
Rafa Garcia12 UFC fights · 710 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
68%485/1319
9%64/98
7%53/61
Clinch
7%48/67
3%19/19
1%6/7
Ground
5%34/56
0%1/1
0%0/0
Share of significant strikes landed by range and target · landed / attempted in each cell.
When it ends
Every early finish of their careers, placed at the minute it ended
Clay Guida37 of 63 ended early · 59%26 went the distance
R1R2R3R4R5
18 early stoppages have no logged time
Rafa Garcia12 of 24 ended early · 50%12 went the distance
R1R2R3R4R5
2 early stoppages have no logged time
finished the opponent got finished· placed at the minute the fight ended
Recent form · last 5
Clay Guida1-4
- L
- LUFC Fight Night: Dariush vs Tsarukyan · Dec 2, 2023Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- LUFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Allen · Apr 15, 2023Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- WUFC Fight Night: Thompson vs Holland · Dec 3, 2022Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- L
Full record · 63 fightsShow less
- W
- LUFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Gastelum · Aug 21, 2021Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- WUFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Volkov · Feb 6, 2021Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- LUFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs Volkov · Jun 20, 2020Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- L
- W
- L
- W
- W
- L
- LUFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson · Nov 7, 2015Submission · R1 · 0:39 · Featherweight
- WUFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · Apr 4, 2015Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Featherweight
- L
- WUFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Nelson · Apr 11, 2014Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Featherweight
- L
- W
- L
- LUFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos · Nov 12, 2011Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- WThe Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale · Jun 4, 2011Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- W
- W
- W
- L
- LThe Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale · Jun 20, 2009Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- W
- W
- W
- LThe Ultimate Fighter: Team Serra vs Team Hughes FINALE · Dec 9, 2007Submission · R3 · 0:51 · Lightweight
- W
- L
- LUFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · Jan 25, 2007Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- W
- W
- L
- L
- WStrikeforce: Shamrock vs. Gracie · Mar 9, 2006Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- L
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
- L
- W
- LXtreme Kage Kombat · Apr 3, 2004
- WXtreme Kage Kombat · Apr 3, 2004
- W
- L
Rafa Garcia3-2
- L
- WUFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal · Apr 25, 2026Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- W
- WUFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Erceg · Mar 29, 2025Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- L
Full record · 24 fightsShow less
- WUFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Allen · Apr 15, 2023Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- WUFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Strickland · Dec 17, 2022Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- L
- W
- WUFC Fight Night: Vieira vs Tate · Nov 20, 2021Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- LUFC Fight Night: Hall vs Strickland · Jul 31, 2021Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- LUFC Fight Night: Edwards vs Muhammad · Mar 13, 2021Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
- WFight for Glory 2 · Aug 1, 2015
- W
- WTBAMexico Regional · Oct 18, 2014Submission
Frequently asked questions
Who won Clay Guida vs Rafa Garcia?
Rafa Garcia defeated Clay Guida by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Allen, held Saturday, April 15, 2023 at T-Mobile Center, Kansas City. The judges scored it 30-27, 30-27, 30-27, Rafa Garcia won the decision.
What were the judges' scorecards for Clay Guida vs Rafa Garcia?
The judges scored it 30-27, 30-27, 30-27, Rafa Garcia won the decision.
Was Clay Guida vs Rafa Garcia a robbery?
Public scoring backed the judges: 97% of 39 fan cards scored it for Rafa Garcia; 100% of 17 media scores picked Rafa Garcia.