Middleweight3 rounds scheduled
RESULT
Rafael Natal def. Kevin Casey (TKO)
TKO · Round 3 · 3:37
Sunday, January 31, 2016
Prudential Center, Newark, United States
Rafael Natal defeated Kevin Casey by TKO in round 3 (3:37) in the Middleweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Johnson vs Bader, held Sunday, January 31, 2016 at Prudential Center, Newark.
Fight stats
Rafael Natal
Kevin Casey
1
Knockdowns
0
54 of 87
Significant strikes
16 of 49
62%
Sig. strike accuracy
33%
123 of 168
Total strikes
30 of 64
4 of 7
Takedowns
0 of 2
57%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
5:31
Control time
2:09
Significant strikes by target
43 of 74
Head
10 of 41
5 of 7
Body
5 of 6
6 of 6
Leg
1 of 2
16 of 35
Distance
12 of 45
7 of 9
Clinch
4 of 4
31 of 43
Ground
0 of 0
By round
ROUND 1
1
KD
0
7 of 15
Sig. str.
10 of 30
22 of 31
Total str.
17 of 38
1 of 4
Takedowns
0 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
0:35
Ctrl
1:33
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
24 of 33
Sig. str.
2 of 7
59 of 74
Total str.
9 of 14
2 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
3:12
Ctrl
0:36
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
23 of 39
Sig. str.
4 of 12
42 of 63
Total str.
4 of 12
1 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
1:44
Ctrl
0:00
Frequently asked questions
Who won Rafael Natal vs Kevin Casey?
Rafael Natal defeated Kevin Casey by TKO in round 3 (3:37) in the Middleweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Johnson vs Bader, held Sunday, January 31, 2016 at Prudential Center, Newark.
Referee
Gary Copeland
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison▾
Win probability
Rafael Natal 58%42% Kevin Casey
What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCal Elo ratings. See all Elo ratings
Tale of the Tape
21-9-1
Record
9-5-2 (2 NC)
1564
Elo rating
1510
0
Win Streak
0
43
Age
45
6'0"
183 cm
Height
5'11"
180 cm
77"
196 cm
Reach
77"
196 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Middleweight
Weight Class
Middleweight
Brazil
Nationality
United States
Striking Profile
3.10
SLpM
2.27
47%
Str. Acc.
53%
2.48
SApM
3.76
57%
Str. Def.
46%
Grappling Profile
2.55
TD Avg.
0.79
34%
TD Acc.
22%
77%
TD Def.
27%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
0.40
Recent form (last 5 fights)
Rafael Natal · 2-3
Kevin Casey · 1-3-1
Head-to-Head History
Career Averages
Based on 17 fights · 5 fights
38.6
Avg sig. strikes
31.0
2.12
Avg takedowns
0.60
3:09
Avg control time
3:31
73
Career high strikes
59
8
Career high TDs
2
Strike Distribution
Rafael Natal
Strike target
Kevin Casey
58%
Head
57%
14%
Body
24%
28%
Leg
19%
Rafael Natal
Strike position
Kevin Casey
66%
Distance
56%
12%
Clinch
13%
22%
Ground
31%