Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Lightweight3 rounds scheduled
Terrance McKinney
T. Wrecks
18-9-0
RESULT

Chris Duncan def. Terrance McKinney (Submission)

Submission · Round 1 · 2:30
WIN
Chris Duncan
The Problem
15-3-0
Saturday, December 6, 2025
T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States

Chris Duncan defeated Terrance McKinney by Submission in round 1 (2:30) in the Lightweight bout of UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs Yan 2, held Saturday, December 6, 2025 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas.

Fight stats

Terrance McKinney
Chris Duncan
0
Knockdowns
1
31 of 57
Significant strikes
38 of 55
54%
Sig. strike accuracy
69%
31 of 57
Total strikes
53 of 75
0 of 0
Takedowns
1 of 2
Takedown accuracy
50%
0
Submission attempts
1
0
Reversals
0
0:00
Control time
1:10
Significant strikes by target
26 of 50
Head
36 of 51
5 of 7
Body
2 of 3
0 of 0
Leg
0 of 1
24 of 45
Distance
10 of 20
6 of 11
Clinch
6 of 8
1 of 1
Ground
22 of 27

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
1
31 of 57
Sig. str.
38 of 55
31 of 57
Total str.
53 of 75
0 of 0
Takedowns
1 of 2
0
Sub. att
1
0:00
Ctrl
1:10

Frequently asked questions

Who won Terrance McKinney vs Chris Duncan?

Chris Duncan defeated Terrance McKinney by Submission in round 1 (2:30) in the Lightweight bout of UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs Yan 2, held Saturday, December 6, 2025 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas.

Referee
Marc Goddard
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Terrance McKinney 42%58% Chris Duncan

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCal Elo ratings. See all Elo ratings

Tale of the Tape

18-9-0
Record
15-3-0
1552
Elo rating
1607
0
Win Streak
0
31
Age
33
5'10"
178 cm
Height
5'10"
178 cm
73"
185 cm
Reach
71"
180 cm
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Lightweight
Weight Class
Lightweight
United States
Nationality
Scotland

Striking Profile

6.83
SLpM
4.83
55%
Str. Acc.
45%
4.07
SApM
4.57
42%
Str. Def.
50%

Grappling Profile

3.27
TD Avg.
2.92
42%
TD Acc.
40%
72%
TD Def.
55%
1.80
Sub. Avg.
0.60

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Terrance McKinney · 3-2
  • L
    UFC 329: McGregor vs Holloway 2Sat, Jul 11, 2026
    TKO · R1 · 4:59 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs PyferSat, Mar 28, 2026
    TKO · R1 · 0:24 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs Yan 2Sat, Dec 6, 2025
    Submission · R1 · 2:30 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 317: Topuria vs OliveiraSat, Jun 28, 2025
    Submission · R1 · 0:55 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Saudi Arabia: Adesanya vs ImavovSat, Feb 1, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 2:01 · Lightweight
Chris Duncan · 4-1
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs DuncanSat, Apr 4, 2026
    Submission · R2 · 3:14 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs Yan 2Sat, Dec 6, 2025
    Submission · R1 · 2:30 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Taira vs ParkSat, Aug 2, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs BradySat, Mar 22, 2025
    Submission · R2 · 3:42 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Paris: Moicano vs Saint DenisSat, Sep 28, 2024
    Submission · R1 · 3:34 · Lightweight

Career Averages

Based on 14 fights · 8 fights
19.6
Avg sig. strikes
40.1
0.50
Avg takedowns
1.63
1:07
Avg control time
1:54
54
Career high strikes
92
2
Career high TDs
5

Strike Distribution

Terrance McKinney
Strike target
Chris Duncan
87%
Head
60%
13%
Body
23%
0%
Leg
17%
Terrance McKinney
Strike position
Chris Duncan
47%
Distance
82%
12%
Clinch
7%
42%
Ground
11%