Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Lightweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Terrance McKinney
T. Wrecks
18-9-0
RESULT

Terrance McKinney def. Kyle Nelson (TKO)

TKO · Round 1 · 0:24
Kyle Nelson
The Monster
17-7-1
Saturday, March 28, 2026
Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, United States

Terrance McKinney defeated Kyle Nelson by TKO in round 1 (0:24) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs Pyfer, held Saturday, March 28, 2026 at Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle.

Fight stats

Terrance McKinney
Kyle Nelson
0
Knockdowns
0
13 of 27
Significant strikes
1 of 3
48%
Sig. strike accuracy
33%
15 of 29
Total strikes
1 of 3
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
-
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:13
Control time
0:00
Significant strikes by target
12 of 26
Head
0 of 2
1 of 1
Body
0 of 0
0 of 0
Leg
1 of 1
5 of 5
Distance
1 of 3
0 of 0
Clinch
0 of 0
8 of 22
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
13 of 27
Sig. str.
1 of 3
15 of 29
Total str.
1 of 3
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:13
Ctrl
0:00

Betting Odds

Terrance McKinney
-185
65% implied win probability
Open: -163Best: -172
Kyle Nelson
+158
39% implied win probability
Open: +121Best: +170

Average moneyline across 23 sportsbooks.

SportsbookTerrance McKinneyKyle Nelson
4casters-179+168
4Cx-177+160
Bet105-180+160
BetAnything-185+155
BetMGM-200+165
BetOnline-180+155
BetRivers-200+160
BetUS-185+154
Betway-175+140
Bookmaker-180+155
Bovada-183+158
Caesars-195+165
Circa-185+160
Cloudbet-178+157
DraftKings-185+154
FanDuel-184+154
HardRockBet-200+160
MyBookie-192+155
Pinnacle-178+157
Polymarket-178+170
ProphetX-172+170
Stake-189+160
SXBet-197+138

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Terrance McKinney vs Kyle Nelson?

Terrance McKinney defeated Kyle Nelson by TKO in round 1 (0:24) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs Pyfer, held Saturday, March 28, 2026 at Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle.

Referee
Herb Dean
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Terrance McKinney 62%38% Kyle Nelson

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model. Each fighter is rated against their own division, so read the gaps as directional.

Terrance McKinney
Grappling Specialist
5 edges
Kyle Nelson
Complete Fighter
6 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

70Power88
47Speed91
48Precision72
70Durability76
85Engine76
97Wrestling92
97Ground66

Biggest edge Kyle Nelson, Kick power +47

Attribute by attribute

Terrance McKinney is on the left of every row, Kyle Nelson on the right.
93Punch power82
47Kick power94
48Punch speed94
46Kick speed88
48Accuracy72
97Takedowns92
96Ground striking51
97Submissions80
68Chin77
72Body strength75
85Cardio76

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

18-9-0
Record
17-7-1
1722
Power Index rating
1638
0
Win Streak
0
31
Age
35
5'10"
178 cm
Height
5'11"
180 cm
73"
185 cm
Reach
71"
180 cm
Switch
Stance
Switch
Lightweight
Weight Class
Lightweight
United States
Nationality
Canada

Striking Profile

6.83
SLpM
3.60
55%
Str. Acc.
45%
4.07
SApM
4.58
42%
Str. Def.
53%

Grappling Profile

3.27
TD Avg.
1.18
42%
TD Acc.
23%
72%
TD Def.
66%
1.80
Sub. Avg.
0.50

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Terrance McKinney · 3-2
  • L
    UFC 329: McGregor vs Holloway 2 · Jul 11, 2026
    TKO · R1 · 4:59 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs Pyfer · Mar 28, 2026
    TKO · R1 · 0:24 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs Yan 2 · Dec 6, 2025
    Submission · R1 · 2:30 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 317: Topuria vs Oliveira · Jun 28, 2025
    Submission · R1 · 0:55 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Saudi Arabia: Adesanya vs Imavov · Feb 1, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 2:01 · Lightweight
Kyle Nelson · 3-2
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs Pyfer · Mar 28, 2026
    TKO · R1 · 0:24 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Vancouver: De Ridder vs Hernandez · Oct 18, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Brady · Sep 7, 2024
    TKO · R1 · 3:59 · Featherweight
  • W
    UFC Atlantic City · Mar 30, 2024
    TKO · R1 · 4:00 · Featherweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs Shevchenko 2 · Sep 17, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Featherweight

Career Averages

Based on 14 fights · 12 fights
19.6
Avg sig. strikes
34.4
0.50
Avg takedowns
0.75
1:07
Avg control time
1:58
54
Career high strikes
82
2
Career high TDs
5

Strike Distribution

Terrance McKinney
Strike target
Kyle Nelson
87%
Head
56%
13%
Body
26%
0%
Leg
18%
Terrance McKinney
Strike position
Kyle Nelson
47%
Distance
84%
12%
Clinch
13%
42%
Ground
3%