Saturday, May 9, 2020VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena, Jacksonville, United States
Justin Gaethje defeated Tony Ferguson by TKO in round 5 (3:39) in the Interim Lightweight title main event of UFC 249: Ferguson vs Gaethje, held Saturday, May 9, 2020 at VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena, Jacksonville.
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Tony Ferguson vs Justin Gaethje
Fight stats: totals
Same scale left and right on every row; the pale tail behind a bar is attempts
Tony FergusonJustin Gaethje
0
Knockdowns0
136 / 296
Significant strikes143 / 197
46%
Sig. strike accuracy73%
136 / 296
Total strikes143 / 197
0 / 0
Takedowns0 / 0
0:00
Control time0:00
Where it landed
Significant strikes landed by target in this fight
Tony FergusonJustin Gaethje
6447%10070%
Head
3626%139%
Body
3626%3021%
Leg
Where it happened
Where the landed significant strikes came from
Tony Ferguson
100%
Justin Gaethje
100%
■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground
Range × target
Significant strikes landed by range and target in this fight · landed / attempted in each cell
Tony Ferguson136 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
6464/212
3636/43
3636/41
Clinch
0
0
0
Ground
0
0
0
Justin Gaethje143 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
100100/153
1313/14
3030/30
Clinch
0
0
0
Ground
0
0
0
Round by round
Significant strikes landed per round
Tony FergusonJustin Gaethje
R1
29
26
R2
33
37
R3
24
20
R4
36
26
R5
14
34
Bars share one scale across rounds. The side that landed more is solid.
Round 1
0
Knockdowns0
29 / 54
Significant strikes26 / 37
54%
Sig. strike accuracy70%
29 / 54
Total strikes26 / 37
0 / 0
Takedowns0 / 0
0:00
Control time0:00
Round 2
0
Knockdowns0
33 / 64
Significant strikes37 / 50
52%
Sig. strike accuracy74%
33 / 64
Total strikes37 / 50
0 / 0
Takedowns0 / 0
0:00
Control time0:00
Round 3
0
Knockdowns0
24 / 69
Significant strikes20 / 35
35%
Sig. strike accuracy57%
24 / 69
Total strikes20 / 35
0 / 0
Takedowns0 / 0
0:00
Control time0:00
Round 4
0
Knockdowns0
36 / 73
Significant strikes26 / 36
49%
Sig. strike accuracy72%
36 / 73
Total strikes26 / 36
0 / 0
Takedowns0 / 0
0:00
Control time0:00
Round 5
0
Knockdowns0
14 / 36
Significant strikes34 / 39
39%
Sig. strike accuracy87%
14 / 36
Total strikes34 / 39
0 / 0
Takedowns0 / 0
0:00
Control time0:00
Betting Odds
Tony Ferguson
-221
69% implied win probability
Open: -180Best: -208
Justin Gaethje
+177
36% implied win probability
Open: +143Best: +181
Average moneyline across 7 sportsbooks.
Line Movement
| Sportsbook | Tony Ferguson | Justin Gaethje |
|---|---|---|
| BetOnline | -208 | +178 |
| Bookmaker | -225 | +176 |
| Bovada | -225 | +175 |
| Cloudbet | -209 | +181 |
| sportsbetio | -227 | +169 |
| sports-interaction | -245 | +180 |
| unibet | -210 | +178 |
Odds are for information only.
Build with this line: the same consensus odds, with opening and closing lines, are in the UFCalendar Fight API. Odds in the MMA Fight Data API
Insights
- Justin Gaethje absorbs 6.83 significant strikes a minute, more than 98% of UFC fighters.
- Tony Ferguson absorbs 4.37 significant strikes a minute, more than 78% of UFC fighters.
- Justin Gaethje lands 6.29 significant strikes a minute, more than 97% of UFC fighters.
- Tony Ferguson lands 4.91 significant strikes a minute, more than 86% of UFC fighters.
Style & credentials
Tony Ferguson
Folkstyle WrestlingNo-Gi Grappling
- 2017Black belt · BJJEddie Bravo
- 2007Bronze · Ncwa Nationals184 lb
- 2006Champion · Ncwa Nationals165 lb
- 2002Champion · State HS152 lb
Justin Gaethje
Folkstyle Wrestling
- —WSOF Lightweight ChampionshipWorld Series of Fighting
- 2011Qualifier · NCAA D1149 lb
- 2010All-American · NCAA D1157 lb
- 20104th Place · NCAA West Regional
Sig. strikes by zone
Where each fighter lands, as a share of significant strikes
60%66%
Head
19%11%
Body
20%23%
Leg
Time in position
Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground
Tony Fergusonlast 3 fights
60%23%17%
Justin Gaethjelast 6 fights
83%12%
■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground
How good, really
Each stat against every UFC fighter, in plain words
Tony Ferguson· from fights outside the UFC Justin Gaethje· from fights outside the UFC
Strikes landed / min
4.916.29
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Tony Ferguson · Elite · better than 86% of UFC fightersJustin Gaethje · Elite · better than 97% of UFC fighters
Strikes taken / minfewer is better
4.376.83
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Tony Ferguson · Below avg · better than 22% of UFC fightersJustin Gaethje · Poor · better than 2% of UFC fighters
Takedowns landed / 15 min
0.390.30
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Tony Ferguson · Poor · better than 17% of UFC fightersJustin Gaethje · Poor · better than 14% of UFC fighters
Takedown accuracy
35%27%
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Tony Ferguson · Average · better than 42% of UFC fightersJustin Gaethje · Below avg · better than 24% of UFC fighters
Takedown defence
66%73%
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Tony Ferguson · Average · better than 54% of UFC fightersJustin Gaethje · Good · better than 71% of UFC fighters
Submission attempts / 15 min
0.900.00
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Tony Ferguson · Good · better than 77% of UFC fightersJustin Gaethje · Poor · better than 0% of UFC fighters
Ranked against 1483 UFC fighters with five or more UFC fights.
Striking & grappling
Same scale left and right on every row
4.91
Strikes landed / min6.29
4.37
Strikes taken / minfewer is better6.83
0.39 / 1.1
Takedowns landed / 15 min0.30 / 1.1
35%
Takedown accuracy27%
66%
Takedown defence73%
0:20
Control time / fight0:50
0.90
Submission attempts / 15 min0.00
Bars in a row share one scale. The stronger side is solid; the pale tail behind takedowns is attempts.
Where the strikes land
Range × target
Tony Ferguson23 UFC fights · 1271 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
52%661/1948
19%241/372
21%263/319
Clinch
2%26/43
0%3/4
0%1/1
Ground
6%71/96
0%5/6
0%0/0
Justin Gaethje15 UFC fights · 1167 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
54%635/1376
9%104/144
21%249/281
Clinch
9%106/140
2%23/24
1%6/6
Ground
3%38/56
1%6/7
0%0/0
Share of significant strikes landed by range and target · landed / attempted in each cell.
When it ends
Every early finish of their careers, placed at the minute it ended
Tony Ferguson26 of 36 ended early · 72%10 went the distance
R1R2R3R4R5
10 early stoppages have no logged time
Justin Gaethje27 of 33 ended early · 82%6 went the distance
R1R2R3R4R5
3 early stoppages have no logged time
finished the opponent got finished· placed at the minute the fight ended
Recent form · last 5
Tony Ferguson0-5
- LUFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs Nurmagomedov · Aug 3, 2024Submission · R1 · 3:44 · Welterweight
- LUFC 296: Edwards vs Covington · Dec 16, 2023Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- L
- L
- L
Full record · 36 fightsShow less
- LUFC 262: Oliveira vs Chandler · May 15, 2021Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- LUFC 256: Figueiredo vs Moreno · Dec 12, 2020Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- L
- W
- W
- W
- WUFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs Ferguson · Nov 5, 2016Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- WUFC Fight Night: McDonald vs Lineker · Jul 13, 2016Submission · R2 · 2:22 · Lightweight
- WThe Ultimate Fighter Finale: Team McGregor vs Teab Faber · Dec 11, 2015Submission · R2 · 2:54 · Lightweight
- WUFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · Jul 15, 2015Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
- L
- WThe Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisping vs Team Miller Finale · Dec 3, 2011Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- W
- WThe Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale · Jun 4, 2011TKO · R1 · 3:54 · Ultimate Fighter 13 Welterweight
- WBrock JardinePureCombat · Sep 25, 2010TKO
- WDavid GardnerCalifornia Fight Syndicate · Mar 26, 2010TKO
- WChris KennedyNational Fight Alliance · Dec 18, 2009TKO
- LJamie ToneyNational Fight Alliance · Oct 15, 2009Submission
- WJames FanshierCalifornia Regional · Jul 17, 2009DEC
- WDevin BenjaminCalifornia Regional · May 28, 2009TKO
- WDaniel HernandezCalifornia Regional · Mar 5, 2009TKO
- L
- WFrank ParkLong Beach Fight Night · Jan 4, 2009Submission
- W
- WBrandon AdamsTotal Fighting Alliance · Jul 12, 2008TKO
- WSteve AvalosCalifornia Xtreme Fighting · Apr 12, 2008Submission
Justin Gaethje4-1
- W
- WUFC 324: Gaethje vs Pimblett · Jan 24, 2026Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Interim Lightweight
- W
- L
- W
Full record · 33 fightsShow less
- W
- L
- WUFC 268: Usman vs Covington 2 · Nov 6, 2021Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- L
- W
- W
- W
- W
- L
- L
- W
- W
- WBrian FosterWSOF 29: Gaethje vs. Foster · Mar 12, 2016TKO · R1 · 1:43 · Lightweight
- W
- W
- W
- W
- WRichard PatishnockWSOF 8: Gaethje vs. Patishnock · Jan 18, 2014TKO · R1 · 1:09 · Lightweight
- W
- WBrian CobbWSOF 3: Fitch vs. Burkman 2 · Jun 14, 2013Submission · R3 · 2:19 · Lightweight
- W
- WTBARage in the Cage · Nov 16, 2012TKO
- W
- WSam YoungRage in the Cage · Sep 29, 2012Submission
- W
- WDonnie BellROF 42: Who's Next · Dec 17, 2011TKO · R2 · 2:57 · Lightweight
- WJoe KelsoColorado Regional · Oct 1, 2011TKO
- W
Frequently asked questions
Who won Tony Ferguson vs Justin Gaethje?
Justin Gaethje defeated Tony Ferguson by TKO in round 5 (3:39) in the Interim Lightweight title main event of UFC 249: Ferguson vs Gaethje, held Saturday, May 9, 2020 at VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena, Jacksonville.