Saturday, September 10, 2022T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States
Nate Diaz defeated Tony Ferguson by Submission in round 4 (2:52) in the Welterweight main event of UFC 279: Diaz vs Ferguson, held Saturday, September 10, 2022 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas.
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Nate Diaz vs Tony Ferguson
Fight stats: totals
Same scale left and right on every row; the pale tail behind a bar is attempts
Nate DiazTony Ferguson
0
Knockdowns0
101 / 217
Significant strikes80 / 172
47%
Sig. strike accuracy47%
101 / 217
Total strikes80 / 172
0 / 0
Takedowns1 / 3
1
Submission attempts0
0:00
Control time0:08
Where it landed
Significant strikes landed by target in this fight
Nate DiazTony Ferguson
7170%2329%
Head
2121%2329%
Body
99%3443%
Leg
Where it happened
Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground
63%36%
■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground
Range × target
Significant strikes landed by range and target in this fight · landed / attempted in each cell
Nate Diaz101 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
6969/175
2121/30
99/9
Clinch
22/3
0
0
Ground
0
0
0
Tony Ferguson80 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
2323/106
2323/27
3434/39
Clinch
0
0
0
Ground
0
0
0
Round by round
Significant strikes landed per round · the judges' scores under each
Nate DiazTony Ferguson
R1
22
19
10-910-910-9
R2
28
20
10-910-910-9
R3
26
30
10-910-910-9
R4
25
11
Bars share one scale across rounds. Each chip is one judge's score for the round, coloured by who they gave it to.
Round 1Judges: Nate Diaz
0
Knockdowns0
22 / 51
Significant strikes19 / 45
43%
Sig. strike accuracy42%
22 / 51
Total strikes19 / 45
0 / 0
Takedowns0 / 1
0:00
Control time0:00
Round 2Judges: Nate Diaz
0
Knockdowns0
28 / 59
Significant strikes20 / 51
47%
Sig. strike accuracy39%
28 / 59
Total strikes20 / 51
0 / 0
Takedowns0 / 0
0:00
Control time0:00
Round 3Judges: Nate Diaz
0
Knockdowns0
26 / 56
Significant strikes30 / 51
46%
Sig. strike accuracy59%
26 / 56
Total strikes30 / 51
0 / 0
Takedowns0 / 1
0:00
Control time0:00
Round 4
0
Knockdowns0
25 / 51
Significant strikes11 / 25
49%
Sig. strike accuracy44%
25 / 51
Total strikes11 / 25
0 / 0
Takedowns1 / 1
1
Submission attempts0
0:00
Control time0:08
Judges' Scorecards
| # | Diaz | Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9 |
| 2 | 9 | 10 |
| 3 | 9 | 10 |
| # | Diaz | Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9 |
| 2 | 10 | 9 |
| 3 | 10 | 9 |
| # | Diaz | Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9 |
| 2 | 10 | 9 |
| 3 | 10 | 9 |
Betting Odds
Nate Diaz
-104
51% implied win probability
Open: +109Best: +153
Tony Ferguson
-100
50% implied win probability
Open: -134Best: +255
Average moneyline across 13 sportsbooks.
| Sportsbook | Nate Diaz | Tony Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| BetAnything | +120 | -150 |
| BetOnline | +120 | -140 |
| BetUS | +120 | -150 |
| Betway | -125 | -111 |
| Bovada | +115 | -140 |
| Cloudbet | -357 | +196 |
| DraftKings | -370 | +255 |
| FanDuel | -160 | +126 |
| MyBookie | +110 | -135 |
| Pinnacle | +153 | -174 |
| sportsbetio | +112 | -167 |
| sports-interaction | -120 | -110 |
| unibet | +115 | -143 |
Odds are for information only.
Build with this line: the same consensus odds, with opening and closing lines, are in the UFCalendar Fight API. Odds in the MMA Fight Data API
Insights
- Tony Ferguson absorbs 4.37 significant strikes a minute, more than 78% of UFC fighters.
- Nate Diaz lands 4.58 significant strikes a minute, more than 82% of UFC fighters.
- Tony Ferguson lands 4.91 significant strikes a minute, more than 86% of UFC fighters.
- Nate Diaz spends 36% of fight time in the clinch.
Style & credentials
Nate Diaz
BJJBoxing
- 2012Black belt · BJJCesar Gracie
- —WEC Lightweight ChampionshipWEC
- 2007Champion · The Ultimate Fighterlightweight
Tony Ferguson
Folkstyle WrestlingNo-Gi Grappling
- 2017Black belt · BJJEddie Bravo
- 2007Bronze · Ncwa Nationals184 lb
- 2006Champion · Ncwa Nationals165 lb
- 2002Champion · State HS152 lb
Sig. strikes by zone
Where each fighter lands, as a share of significant strikes
74%60%
Head
17%19%
Body
9%20%
Leg
Time in position
Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground
Nate Diazlast 1 fight
63%36%
Tony Fergusonlast 3 fights
60%23%17%
■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground
How good, really
Each stat against every UFC fighter, in plain words
Nate Diaz· from fights outside the UFC Tony Ferguson· from fights outside the UFC
Strikes landed / min
4.584.91
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Nate Diaz · Good · better than 82% of UFC fightersTony Ferguson · Elite · better than 86% of UFC fighters
Strikes taken / minfewer is better
4.004.37
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Nate Diaz · Below avg · better than 31% of UFC fightersTony Ferguson · Below avg · better than 22% of UFC fighters
Takedowns landed / 15 min
0.800.39
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Nate Diaz · Below avg · better than 35% of UFC fightersTony Ferguson · Poor · better than 17% of UFC fighters
Takedown accuracy
26%35%
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Nate Diaz · Below avg · better than 23% of UFC fightersTony Ferguson · Average · better than 42% of UFC fighters
Takedown defence
44%66%
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Nate Diaz · Poor · better than 17% of UFC fightersTony Ferguson · Average · better than 54% of UFC fighters
Submission attempts / 15 min
1.200.90
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Nate Diaz · Elite · better than 86% of UFC fightersTony Ferguson · Good · better than 77% of UFC fighters
Ranked against 1483 UFC fighters with five or more UFC fights.
Striking & grappling
Same scale left and right on every row
4.58
Strikes landed / min4.91
4.00
Strikes taken / minfewer is better4.37
0.80 / 3.1
Takedowns landed / 15 min0.39 / 1.1
26%
Takedown accuracy35%
44%
Takedown defence66%
1:45
Control time / fight0:20
1.20
Submission attempts / 15 min0.90
Bars in a row share one scale. The stronger side is solid; the pale tail behind takedowns is attempts.
Where the strikes land
Range × target
Nate Diaz27 UFC fights · 1544 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
59%908/2518
10%152/259
5%72/106
Clinch
11%175/276
7%108/135
4%59/66
Ground
4%63/97
0%3/3
0%4/4
Tony Ferguson23 UFC fights · 1271 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
52%661/1948
19%241/372
21%263/319
Clinch
2%26/43
0%3/4
0%1/1
Ground
6%71/96
0%5/6
0%0/0
Share of significant strikes landed by range and target · landed / attempted in each cell.
When it ends
Every early finish of their careers, placed at the minute it ended
Nate Diaz21 of 35 ended early · 60%14 went the distance
R1R2R3R4R5
1 early stoppage has no logged time
Tony Ferguson26 of 36 ended early · 72%10 went the distance
R1R2R3R4R5
10 early stoppages have no logged time
finished the opponent got finished· placed at the minute the fight ended
Recent form · last 5
Nate Diaz2-3
- L
- W
- LUFC 263: Adesanya vs Vettori 2 · Jun 12, 2021Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Welterweight
- L
- WUFC 241: Cormier vs Miocic · Aug 17, 2019Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
Full record · 35 fightsShow less
- L
- W
- WUFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs Cowboy 2 · Dec 19, 2015Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- LUFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs Miocic · Dec 13, 2014Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- WThe Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale · Nov 30, 2013TKO · R1 · 2:38 · Lightweight
- L
- LUFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz · Dec 8, 2012Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- W
- W
- W
- LUFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · Apr 30, 2011Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
- L
- W
- W
- L
- W
- LThe Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale · Jun 20, 2009Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- L
- W
- W
- W
- WUFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · Sep 19, 2007Submission · R1 · 4:10 · Lightweight
- WThe Ultimate Fighter: Team Pulver vs. Team Penn Finale · Jun 23, 2007Submission · R2 · 0:20 · Ultimate Fighter 5 Lightweight
- L
- WDennis DavisCalifornia Regional · Aug 12, 2006Submission
- WJoe HurleyWEC 21: Tapout · Jun 15, 2006Submission · R2 · 2:03 · Lightweight
- WGilbert RaelWEC 20: Cinco de Mayhem · May 4, 2006TKO · R1 · 3:35 · Lightweight
- WTony JuarezStrikeforce: Shamrock vs. Gracie · Mar 9, 2006TKO · R1 · 3:23 · Lightweight
- L
- WAlejandro GarciaWEC 12: Halloween Fury 3 · Oct 20, 2004Submission · R3 · 2:17 · Lightweight
Tony Ferguson0-5
- LUFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs Nurmagomedov · Aug 3, 2024Submission · R1 · 3:44 · Welterweight
- LUFC 296: Edwards vs Covington · Dec 16, 2023Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- L
- L
- L
Full record · 36 fightsShow less
- LUFC 262: Oliveira vs Chandler · May 15, 2021Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- LUFC 256: Figueiredo vs Moreno · Dec 12, 2020Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- L
- W
- W
- W
- WUFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs Ferguson · Nov 5, 2016Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- WUFC Fight Night: McDonald vs Lineker · Jul 13, 2016Submission · R2 · 2:22 · Lightweight
- WThe Ultimate Fighter Finale: Team McGregor vs Teab Faber · Dec 11, 2015Submission · R2 · 2:54 · Lightweight
- WUFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · Jul 15, 2015Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- W
- W
- W
- W
- W
- L
- WThe Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisping vs Team Miller Finale · Dec 3, 2011Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- W
- WThe Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale · Jun 4, 2011TKO · R1 · 3:54 · Ultimate Fighter 13 Welterweight
- WBrock JardinePureCombat · Sep 25, 2010TKO
- WDavid GardnerCalifornia Fight Syndicate · Mar 26, 2010TKO
- WChris KennedyNational Fight Alliance · Dec 18, 2009TKO
- LJamie ToneyNational Fight Alliance · Oct 15, 2009Submission
- WJames FanshierCalifornia Regional · Jul 17, 2009DEC
- WDevin BenjaminCalifornia Regional · May 28, 2009TKO
- WDaniel HernandezCalifornia Regional · Mar 5, 2009TKO
- L
- WFrank ParkLong Beach Fight Night · Jan 4, 2009Submission
- W
- WBrandon AdamsTotal Fighting Alliance · Jul 12, 2008TKO
- WSteve AvalosCalifornia Xtreme Fighting · Apr 12, 2008Submission
Frequently asked questions
Who won Nate Diaz vs Tony Ferguson?
Nate Diaz defeated Tony Ferguson by Submission in round 4 (2:52) in the Welterweight main event of UFC 279: Diaz vs Ferguson, held Saturday, September 10, 2022 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas.