Ultimate Fighting Calendar
LightweightFight of the Night3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Justin Gaethje
The Highlight
28-5-0
RESULT

Justin Gaethje def. Rafael Fiziev (Decision)

Majority Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
Rafael Fiziev
Ataman
14-5-0
Saturday, March 18, 2023
The O2, London, United Kingdom

Justin Gaethje defeated Rafael Fiziev by Majority Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Lightweight bout of UFC 286: Edwards vs Usman 3, held Saturday, March 18, 2023 at The O2, London. The judges scored it 29-28, 28-28, 29-28, Justin Gaethje won the decision.

Fight stats

Justin Gaethje
Rafael Fiziev
0
Knockdowns
0
103 of 171
Significant strikes
97 of 169
60%
Sig. strike accuracy
57%
106 of 174
Total strikes
97 of 169
1 of 3
Takedowns
0 of 0
33%
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:05
Control time
0:00
Significant strikes by target
81 of 142
Head
38 of 100
14 of 15
Body
52 of 61
8 of 14
Leg
7 of 8
84 of 147
Distance
81 of 151
19 of 24
Clinch
16 of 18
0 of 0
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
23 of 36
Sig. str.
27 of 50
23 of 36
Total str.
27 of 50
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
27 of 48
Sig. str.
32 of 49
29 of 50
Total str.
32 of 49
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
53 of 87
Sig. str.
38 of 70
54 of 88
Total str.
38 of 70
1 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:05
Ctrl
0:00

Judges' Scorecards

#GaethjeFiziev
1910
2109
3109
Total2928
#GaethjeFiziev
1910
2910
3108
Total2828
#GaethjeFiziev
1109
2910
3109
Total2928

Media Scores

17
Gaethje
-
10
Fiziev
29-28 Gaethje×1729-28 Fiziev×10
All 27 media scorecards

Fan Scorecards

60%
Gaethje
4%
Draw
36%
Fiziev
1,704 fan scorecards submitted
29-28 Gaethje54.2%29-28 Fiziev35.7%29-27 Gaethje2.8%30-27 Gaethje2%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
92%
Fiziev
R2
56%
Gaethje
R3
92%
Gaethje

Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com

Betting Odds

Justin Gaethje
+181
36% implied win probability
Open: +182Best: +222
Rafael Fiziev
-230
70% implied win probability
Open: -191Best: -140

Average moneyline across 13 sportsbooks.

SportsbookJustin GaethjeRafael Fiziev
BetAnything+190-260
BetOnline+222-262
BetUS+200-260
Betway+155-222
Bovada+210-255
Cloudbet+218-245
DraftKings+110-140
FanDuel+164-215
MyBookie+184-243
Pinnacle+153-190
sportsbetio+203-400
sports-interaction+155-210
unibet+190-245

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Justin Gaethje vs Rafael Fiziev?

Justin Gaethje defeated Rafael Fiziev by Majority Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Lightweight bout of UFC 286: Edwards vs Usman 3, held Saturday, March 18, 2023 at The O2, London. The judges scored it 29-28, 28-28, 29-28, Justin Gaethje won the decision.

What were the judges' scorecards for Justin Gaethje vs Rafael Fiziev?

The judges scored it 29-28, 28-28, 29-28, Justin Gaethje won the decision.

Was Justin Gaethje vs Rafael Fiziev a robbery?

Public scoring backed the judges: 60% of 1704 fan cards scored it for Justin Gaethje; 63% of 27 media scores picked Justin Gaethje.

Full robbery index
Referee
Marc Goddard
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Justin Gaethje 59%41% Rafael Fiziev

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Lightweight roster (24 fighters)

Justin Gaethje
Knockout Artist
6 edges
Rafael Fiziev
Striking Technician
4 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

97Power94
96Speed97
95Precision93
95Durability95
93Engine91
86Wrestling89
87Ground88

Biggest edge Rafael Fiziev, Submissions +4

Attribute by attribute

Justin Gaethje is on the left of every row, Rafael Fiziev on the right.
95Punch power93
98Kick power95
96Punch speed96
95Kick speed97
95Accuracy93
86Takedowns89
92Ground striking90
82Submissions86
94Chin95
95Body strength94
93Cardio91

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

28-5-0
Record
14-5-0
1923
Power Index rating
1858
3
Win Streak
1
37
Age
33
5'11"
180 cm
Height
5'8"
173 cm
70"
178 cm
Reach
71"
180 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Lightweight
Weight Class
Lightweight
United States
Nationality
Kyrgyzstan / Azerbaijan

Striking Profile

6.29
SLpM
4.71
57%
Str. Acc.
52%
6.83
SApM
4.81
50%
Str. Def.
50%

Grappling Profile

0.30
TD Avg.
1.00
26%
TD Acc.
71%
73%
TD Def.
90%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Justin Gaethje · 4-1
  • W
    UFC Freedom 250 · Jun 15, 2026
    TKO · R4 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 324: Gaethje vs Pimblett · Jan 24, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Interim Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 313: Pereira vs Ankalaev · Mar 8, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC 300: Pereira vs Hill · Apr 13, 2024
    TKO · R5 · 4:59 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 291: Poirier vs Gaethje 2 · Jul 29, 2023
    TKO · R2 · 1:00 · Lightweight
Rafael Fiziev · 2-3
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs Torres · Jun 27, 2026
    TKO · R2 · 0:15 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC 325: Volkanovski vs Lopes 2 · Jan 31, 2026
    TKO · R2 · 4:30 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Hill vs Rountree Jr. · Jun 21, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC 313: Pereira vs Ankalaev · Mar 8, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs Gamrot · Sep 23, 2023
    TKO · R2 · 2:03 · Lightweight

Career Averages

Based on 16 fights · 13 fights
79.4
Avg sig. strikes
54.3
0.25
Avg takedowns
0.77
0:50
Avg control time
0:50
144
Career high strikes
104
3
Career high TDs
4

Strike Distribution

Justin Gaethje
Strike target
Rafael Fiziev
66%
Head
43%
11%
Body
39%
23%
Leg
18%
Justin Gaethje
Strike position
Rafael Fiziev
84%
Distance
87%
13%
Clinch
10%
3%
Ground
3%