Saturday, October 24, 2020UFC Fight Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
Khabib Nurmagomedov defeated Justin Gaethje by Submission in round 2 (1:34) in the Lightweight title main event of UFC 254: Khabib vs Gaethje, held Saturday, October 24, 2020 at UFC Fight Island, Abu Dhabi.
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Khabib Nurmagomedov vs Justin Gaethje
Fight stats: totals
Same scale left and right on every row; the pale tail behind a bar is attempts
Khabib NurmagomedovJustin Gaethje
0
Knockdowns0
26 / 80
Significant strikes29 / 45
33%
Sig. strike accuracy64%
26 / 80
Total strikes29 / 46
2 / 3
Takedowns0 / 0
1
Submission attempts0
0:55
Control time0:14
Where it landed
Significant strikes landed by target in this fight
Khabib NurmagomedovJustin Gaethje
1869%1241%
Head
727%27%
Body
14%1552%
Leg
Where it happened
Where the landed significant strikes came from
Khabib Nurmagomedov
96%
Justin Gaethje
100%
■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground
Range × target
Significant strikes landed by range and target in this fight · landed / attempted in each cell
Khabib Nurmagomedov26 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
1818/72
66/6
11/1
Clinch
0
0
0
Ground
0
11/1
0
Justin Gaethje29 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
1212/26
22/4
1515/15
Clinch
0
0
0
Ground
0
0
0
Round by round
Significant strikes landed per round
Khabib NurmagomedovJustin Gaethje
R1
23
23
R2
3
6
Bars share one scale across rounds. The side that landed more is solid.
Round 1
0
Knockdowns0
23 / 60
Significant strikes23 / 36
38%
Sig. strike accuracy64%
23 / 60
Total strikes23 / 37
1 / 2
Takedowns0 / 0
0:41
Control time0:00
Round 2
0
Knockdowns0
3 / 20
Significant strikes6 / 9
15%
Sig. strike accuracy67%
3 / 20
Total strikes6 / 9
1 / 1
Takedowns0 / 0
1
Submission attempts0
0:14
Control time0:14
Betting Odds
Khabib Nurmagomedov
-323
76% implied win probability
Open: -248Best: -275
Justin Gaethje
+246
29% implied win probability
Open: +191Best: +278
Average moneyline across 9 sportsbooks.
Line Movement
| Sportsbook | Khabib Nurmagomedov | Justin Gaethje |
|---|---|---|
| BetOnline | -300 | +250 |
| Bookmaker | -300 | +233 |
| Bovada | -325 | +250 |
| Cloudbet | -356 | +275 |
| mybookie | -310 | +250 |
| Pinnacle | -350 | +278 |
| sportsbetio | -417 | +251 |
| sports-interaction | -275 | +180 |
| unibet | -315 | +250 |
Odds are for information only.
Build with this line: the same consensus odds, with opening and closing lines, are in the UFCalendar Fight API. Odds in the MMA Fight Data API
Insights
- Justin Gaethje absorbs 6.83 significant strikes a minute, more than 98% of UFC fighters.
- Khabib Nurmagomedov stops 85% of takedowns, better than 90% of UFC fighters.
- Justin Gaethje lands 6.29 significant strikes a minute, more than 97% of UFC fighters.
- Khabib Nurmagomedov lands 5.32 takedowns per 15 minutes, more than 99% of UFC fighters.
Style & credentials
Khabib Nurmagomedov
No background on record
Camp · AKA (American Kickboxing Academy) · RussiaJustin Gaethje
Folkstyle Wrestling
- —WSOF Lightweight ChampionshipWorld Series of Fighting
- 2011Qualifier · NCAA D1149 lb
- 2010All-American · NCAA D1157 lb
- 20104th Place · NCAA West Regional
Sig. strikes by zone
Where each fighter lands, as a share of significant strikes
86%66%
Head
9%11%
Body
5%23%
Leg
Time in position
Where their significant strikes are thrown
Khabib Nurmagomedovlast 13 fights
42%54%
Justin Gaethjelast 16 fights
84%13%
■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground
How good, really
Each stat against every UFC fighter, in plain words
Khabib Nurmagomedov· from fights outside the UFC Justin Gaethje· from fights outside the UFC
Strikes landed / min
4.106.29
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Khabib Nurmagomedov · Good · better than 70% of UFC fightersJustin Gaethje · Elite · better than 97% of UFC fighters
Strikes taken / minfewer is better
1.756.83
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Khabib Nurmagomedov · Elite · better than 94% of UFC fightersJustin Gaethje · Poor · better than 2% of UFC fighters
Takedowns landed / 15 min
5.320.30
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Khabib Nurmagomedov · Elite · better than 99% of UFC fightersJustin Gaethje · Poor · better than 14% of UFC fighters
Takedown accuracy
48%27%
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Khabib Nurmagomedov · Good · better than 72% of UFC fightersJustin Gaethje · Below avg · better than 24% of UFC fighters
Takedown defence
85%73%
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Khabib Nurmagomedov · Elite · better than 90% of UFC fightersJustin Gaethje · Good · better than 71% of UFC fighters
Submission attempts / 15 min
0.800.00
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Khabib Nurmagomedov · Good · better than 72% of UFC fightersJustin Gaethje · Poor · better than 0% of UFC fighters
Ranked against 1483 UFC fighters with five or more UFC fights.
Striking & grappling
Same scale left and right on every row
4.10
Strikes landed / min6.29
1.75
Strikes taken / minfewer is better6.83
5.32 / 11.1
Takedowns landed / 15 min0.30 / 1.1
48%
Takedown accuracy27%
85%
Takedown defence73%
7:17
Control time / fight0:50
0.80
Submission attempts / 15 min0.00
Bars in a row share one scale. The stronger side is solid; the pale tail behind takedowns is attempts.
Where the strikes land
Range × target
Khabib Nurmagomedov13 UFC fights · 616 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
35%218/719
5%30/48
3%18/20
Clinch
2%10/20
1%7/8
1%8/9
Ground
49%299/417
3%20/20
1%6/6
Justin Gaethje15 UFC fights · 1167 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
54%635/1376
9%104/144
21%249/281
Clinch
9%106/140
2%23/24
1%6/6
Ground
3%38/56
1%6/7
0%0/0
Share of significant strikes landed by range and target · landed / attempted in each cell.
When it ends
Every early finish of their careers, placed at the minute it ended
Khabib Nurmagomedov19 of 29 ended early · 66%10 went the distance
R1R2R3R4R5
1 early stoppage has no logged time
Justin Gaethje27 of 33 ended early · 82%6 went the distance
R1R2R3R4R5
3 early stoppages have no logged time
finished the opponent got finished· placed at the minute the fight ended
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Khabib Nurmagomedov vs Justin Gaethje?
Khabib Nurmagomedov defeated Justin Gaethje by Submission in round 2 (1:34) in the Lightweight title main event of UFC 254: Khabib vs Gaethje, held Saturday, October 24, 2020 at UFC Fight Island, Abu Dhabi.