Ultimate Fighting Calendar
LightweightFight of the Night3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Justin Gaethje
The Highlight
28-5-0
RESULT

Justin Gaethje def. Rafael Fiziev (Unanimous Decision)

Unanimous Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
Rafael Fiziev
Ataman
14-5-0
Saturday, March 8, 2025
T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States

Justin Gaethje defeated Rafael Fiziev by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Lightweight bout of UFC 313: Pereira vs Ankalaev, held Saturday, March 8, 2025 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas. The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 29-28, Justin Gaethje won the decision.

Fight stats

Justin Gaethje
Rafael Fiziev
1
Knockdowns
0
72 of 134
Significant strikes
68 of 119
54%
Sig. strike accuracy
57%
98 of 163
Total strikes
81 of 134
0 of 3
Takedowns
2 of 2
0%
Takedown accuracy
100%
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
1:32
Control time
0:40
Significant strikes by target
56 of 117
Head
20 of 61
9 of 9
Body
43 of 52
7 of 8
Leg
5 of 6
41 of 92
Distance
49 of 100
26 of 34
Clinch
14 of 14
5 of 8
Ground
5 of 5

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
12 of 21
Sig. str.
21 of 32
17 of 27
Total str.
22 of 33
0 of 1
Takedowns
2 of 2
0
Sub. att
0
0:14
Ctrl
0:40
ROUND 2
1
KD
0
21 of 52
Sig. str.
17 of 40
34 of 65
Total str.
17 of 40
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:43
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
39 of 61
Sig. str.
30 of 47
47 of 71
Total str.
42 of 61
0 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:35
Ctrl
0:00

Judges' Scorecards

#GaethjeFiziev
1910
2109
3109
Total2928
#GaethjeFiziev
1910
2109
3109
Total2928
#GaethjeFiziev
1910
2109
3109
Total2928

Media Scores

17
Gaethje
-
0
Fiziev
29-28 Gaethje×17
All 17 media scorecards

Fan Scorecards

74%
Gaethje
3%
Draw
23%
Fiziev
321 fan scorecards submitted
29-28 Gaethje65.1%29-28 Fiziev21.5%29-27 Gaethje5.6%30-27 Gaethje2.5%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
96%
Fiziev
R2
90%
Gaethje
R3
75%
Gaethje

Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com

Betting Odds

Justin Gaethje
+109
48% implied win probability
Open: +114Best: +144
Rafael Fiziev
+134
43% implied win probability
Open: -136Best: +440

Average moneyline across 18 sportsbooks.

SportsbookJustin GaethjeRafael Fiziev
4casters+141-150
Bet105+144-164
BetAnything+130-160
BetMGM-650+400
BetOnline+135-155
BetRivers+128-159
BetUS+130-155
Betway-500+300
Bookmaker+143-177
Bovada+125-145
Caesars+130-155
Circa+135-155
Cloudbet+142-156
DraftKings-620+400
FanDuel-700+440
MyBookie+140-190
Pinnacle+140-159
SXBet+138-165

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Justin Gaethje vs Rafael Fiziev?

Justin Gaethje defeated Rafael Fiziev by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Lightweight bout of UFC 313: Pereira vs Ankalaev, held Saturday, March 8, 2025 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas. The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 29-28, Justin Gaethje won the decision.

What were the judges' scorecards for Justin Gaethje vs Rafael Fiziev?

The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 29-28, Justin Gaethje won the decision.

Was Justin Gaethje vs Rafael Fiziev a robbery?

Public scoring backed the judges: 74% of 321 fan cards scored it for Justin Gaethje; 100% of 17 media scores picked Justin Gaethje.

Full robbery index
Referee
Jason Herzog
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Justin Gaethje 72%28% Rafael Fiziev

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Lightweight roster (24 fighters)

Justin Gaethje
Knockout Artist
6 edges
Rafael Fiziev
Striking Technician
4 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

97Power94
96Speed97
95Precision93
95Durability95
93Engine91
86Wrestling89
87Ground88

Biggest edge Rafael Fiziev, Submissions +4

Attribute by attribute

Justin Gaethje is on the left of every row, Rafael Fiziev on the right.
95Punch power93
98Kick power95
96Punch speed96
95Kick speed97
95Accuracy93
86Takedowns89
92Ground striking90
82Submissions86
94Chin95
95Body strength94
93Cardio91

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

28-5-0
Record
14-5-0
1932
Power Index rating
1767
3
Win Streak
1
37
Age
33
5'11"
180 cm
Height
5'8"
173 cm
70"
178 cm
Reach
71"
180 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Lightweight
Weight Class
Lightweight
United States
Nationality
Kyrgyzstan / Azerbaijan

Striking Profile

6.29
SLpM
4.71
57%
Str. Acc.
52%
6.83
SApM
4.81
50%
Str. Def.
50%

Grappling Profile

0.30
TD Avg.
1.00
26%
TD Acc.
71%
73%
TD Def.
90%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Justin Gaethje · 4-1
  • W
    UFC Freedom 250 · Jun 15, 2026
    TKO · R4 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 324: Gaethje vs Pimblett · Jan 24, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Interim Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 313: Pereira vs Ankalaev · Mar 8, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC 300: Pereira vs Hill · Apr 13, 2024
    TKO · R5 · 4:59 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 291: Poirier vs Gaethje 2 · Jul 29, 2023
    TKO · R2 · 1:00 · Lightweight
Rafael Fiziev · 2-3
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs Torres · Jun 27, 2026
    TKO · R2 · 0:15 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC 325: Volkanovski vs Lopes 2 · Jan 31, 2026
    TKO · R2 · 4:30 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Hill vs Rountree Jr. · Jun 21, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC 313: Pereira vs Ankalaev · Mar 8, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs Gamrot · Sep 23, 2023
    TKO · R2 · 2:03 · Lightweight

Career Averages

Based on 16 fights · 13 fights
79.4
Avg sig. strikes
54.3
0.25
Avg takedowns
0.77
0:50
Avg control time
0:50
144
Career high strikes
104
3
Career high TDs
4

Strike Distribution

Justin Gaethje
Strike target
Rafael Fiziev
66%
Head
43%
11%
Body
39%
23%
Leg
18%
Justin Gaethje
Strike position
Rafael Fiziev
84%
Distance
87%
13%
Clinch
10%
3%
Ground
3%