Ultimate Fighting Calendar
LightweightFight of the Night + Performance of the Night5 rounds scheduled
Ilia Topuria
El Matador
17-1-0
RESULT

Justin Gaethje def. Ilia Topuria (TKO)

TKO · Round 4 · 5:00
WIN
Justin Gaethje
The Highlight
28-5-0
Monday, June 15, 2026
The White House, Washington, United States

Justin Gaethje defeated Ilia Topuria by TKO in round 4 (5:00) in the Lightweight main event of UFC Freedom 250, held Monday, June 15, 2026 at The White House, Washington.

Fight stats

Ilia Topuria
Justin Gaethje
1
Knockdowns
0
97 of 162
Significant strikes
91 of 192
60%
Sig. strike accuracy
47%
111 of 177
Total strikes
119 of 228
1 of 3
Takedowns
0 of 5
33%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
2:32
Control time
1:32
Significant strikes by target
55 of 112
Head
79 of 175
37 of 45
Body
8 of 12
5 of 5
Leg
4 of 5
68 of 125
Distance
73 of 167
22 of 29
Clinch
15 of 21
7 of 8
Ground
3 of 4

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
29 of 58
Sig. str.
32 of 68
29 of 58
Total str.
35 of 71
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 3
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 2
1
KD
0
44 of 60
Sig. str.
12 of 35
52 of 69
Total str.
13 of 37
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
2:02
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
7 of 15
Sig. str.
22 of 36
10 of 18
Total str.
31 of 46
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:05
Ctrl
0:47
ROUND 4
0
KD
0
17 of 29
Sig. str.
25 of 53
20 of 32
Total str.
40 of 74
1 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
0:25
Ctrl
0:45

Betting Odds

Ilia Topuria
-282
74% implied win probability
Open: -604Best: +335
Justin Gaethje
+338
23% implied win probability
Open: +395Best: +400

Average moneyline across 25 sportsbooks.

SportsbookIlia TopuriaJustin Gaethje
4casters-407+389
4Cx-438+380
Bet105-458+380
BetAnything-500+320
BetMGM-500+360
BetOnline-515+400
BetRivers-294+195
BetUS-475+354
Betway-500+350
Bookmaker-450+372
Bovada-480+380
Caesars-500+380
Circa-475+380
Cloudbet-476+365
DraftKings-470+360
FanDuel-450+350
HardRockBet-475+350
Kalshi+335-355
MyBookie-454+336
Pinnacle-446+371
Polymarket-400+376
ProphetX-265+200
Stake-435+380
SXBet-391+332
YouWager-470+370

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Ilia Topuria vs Justin Gaethje?

Justin Gaethje defeated Ilia Topuria by TKO in round 4 (5:00) in the Lightweight main event of UFC Freedom 250, held Monday, June 15, 2026 at The White House, Washington.

Referee
Marc Goddard
Time format
5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Ilia Topuria 61%39% Justin Gaethje

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Lightweight roster (24 fighters)

Ilia Topuria
Knockout Artist
7 edges
Justin Gaethje
Knockout Artist
3 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

96Power97
95Speed96
96Precision95
94Durability95
93Engine93
93Wrestling86
94Ground87

Biggest edge Ilia Topuria, Submissions +11

Attribute by attribute

Ilia Topuria is on the left of every row, Justin Gaethje on the right.
99Punch power95
92Kick power98
97Punch speed96
93Kick speed95
96Accuracy95
93Takedowns86
95Ground striking92
93Submissions82
96Chin94
92Body strength95
93Cardio93

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

17-1-0
Record
28-5-0
2029
Power Index rating
1948
0
Win Streak
3
29
Age
37
5'7"
170 cm
Height
5'11"
180 cm
69"
175 cm
Reach
70"
178 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lightweight
Weight Class
Lightweight
Georgia / Spain
Nationality
United States

Striking Profile

4.82
SLpM
6.29
50%
Str. Acc.
57%
3.97
SApM
6.83
62%
Str. Def.
50%

Grappling Profile

1.73
TD Avg.
0.30
57%
TD Acc.
26%
95%
TD Def.
73%
0.90
Sub. Avg.
0.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Ilia Topuria · 4-1
  • L
    UFC Freedom 250 · Jun 15, 2026
    TKO · R4 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 317: Topuria vs Oliveira · Jun 28, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 2:27 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 308: Topuria vs Holloway · Oct 26, 2024
    TKO · R3 · 1:34 · Featherweight
  • W
    UFC 298: Volkanovski vs Topuria · Feb 17, 2024
    TKO · R2 · 3:32 · Featherweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs Topuria · Jun 24, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Featherweight
Justin Gaethje · 4-1
  • W
    UFC Freedom 250 · Jun 15, 2026
    TKO · R4 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 324: Gaethje vs Pimblett · Jan 24, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Interim Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 313: Pereira vs Ankalaev · Mar 8, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC 300: Pereira vs Hill · Apr 13, 2024
    TKO · R5 · 4:59 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 291: Poirier vs Gaethje 2 · Jul 29, 2023
    TKO · R2 · 1:00 · Lightweight

Head-to-Head History

Career Averages

Based on 10 fights · 16 fights
50.2
Avg sig. strikes
79.4
1.20
Avg takedowns
0.25
2:08
Avg control time
0:50
152
Career high strikes
144
5
Career high TDs
3

Strike Distribution

Ilia Topuria
Strike target
Justin Gaethje
68%
Head
66%
21%
Body
11%
11%
Leg
23%
Ilia Topuria
Strike position
Justin Gaethje
77%
Distance
84%
7%
Clinch
13%
16%
Ground
3%