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Investigations· Page 2

  1. Investigations

    UFC 331: Tsarukyan vs. Ruffy Decides Who Waits at 155

    Arman Tsarukyan meets Mauricio Ruffy at UFC 331 with the No. 2 lightweight spot on the line, deciding who stays in the picture behind Topuria and Gaethje.

    Sep 15, 2026 · 4 min read

  2. Alexandre Pantoja

    Investigations

    UFC 331: Van Defends the Belt He Took From Pantoja in 26 Seconds

    Joshua Van defends the UFC flyweight title against Alexandre Pantoja at UFC 331, the champion he knocked out in 26 seconds to take the belt in December.

    Sep 15, 2026 · 7 min read

  3. Investigations

    ONE Friday Fights 170 Went to Split Decision Four Times

    Four of the twelve decisions at ONE Friday Fights 170 went split, nearly double the show's own historical rate. Here is the fight by fight breakdown.

    Sep 12, 2026 · 5 min read

  4. Investigations

    Noche UFC odds: not one underdog on the card has been backed

    Noche UFC betting odds moved to the favorite in eleven of thirteen fights. Rafa Garcia drifted the furthest, and nobody will put a price on Brandon Moreno.

    Sep 9, 2026 · 6 min read

  5. Investigations

    What a Contender Series contract is actually worth

    Contender Series data: 104 winners across 27 shows, 69 percent reached the UFC, 30 percent got three wins, seven are ranked today and none has fought for a title.

    Sep 8, 2026 · 4 min read

  6. Investigations

    UFC rankings: Song Yadong to No. 3, Denise Gomes jumps seven spots

    The UFC's September 1 rankings update moved Song Yadong to bantamweight No. 3 and Denise Gomes from No. 14 to No. 7 at strawweight off two Shanghai finishes.

    Sep 2, 2026 · 4 min read

  7. Salahdine Parnasse

    Investigations

    Salahdine Parnasse vs Dan Hooker: the shortest debut price yet

    Hooker vs Parnasse: Salahdine Parnasse is a -595 favorite on his UFC debut. The five fighters imported straight into a UFC main event since 2013 all lost.

    Sep 1, 2026 · 9 min read

  8. Investigations

    Nine French fighters at UFC Paris, and a 23-5 home record

    UFC Paris has nine French fighters, tying the record. Across four Accor Arena cards French fighters are 23-5, and 18-1 when the books favored them.

    Sep 1, 2026 · 6 min read

  9. Investigations

    UFC Shanghai predictions scored: our model went 8 for 13

    We said our model faded the UFC Shanghai favorites. Scored against the results it went 8-for-13, level with the market, and badly wrong on Umar Nurmagomedov.

    Aug 31, 2026 · 5 min read

  10. Investigations

    BKFC 92: the punch numbers behind Ferea and Stewart

    BKFC 92 at Fenway Park by the numbers: Christine Ferea's 11 knockdowns lead every woman in BKFC history, and champion Kai Stewart hits 66.4 percent.

    Aug 28, 2026 · 8 min read

  11. Investigations

    UFC Shanghai predictions: our model fades the favorites

    Our AI model disagrees with the betting market on Yan Xiaonan vs Denise Gomes and fades the favorite in eight of the thirteen UFC Shanghai fights.

    Aug 27, 2026 · 5 min read

  12. Investigations

    Rei Tsuruya vs Kevin Borjas: two men Joshua Van already beat

    Rei Tsuruya vs Kevin Borjas at UFC Shanghai pairs two fighters who went the distance with champion Joshua Van and lost. What that tape is worth now.

    Aug 26, 2026 · 5 min read

  13. Investigations

    UFC Shanghai has four flyweight fights. That has happened once.

    The UFC Shanghai card stacks four flyweight bouts, something only UFC Mexico City 2024 has topped. Inside the division pipeline the booking reveals.

    Aug 26, 2026 · 6 min read

  14. Investigations

    Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong: the Figueiredo receipts

    Umar Nurmagomedov vs Song Yadong: both men beat Deiveson Figueiredo this year. One needed 4:50 of control and 15 minutes. The other needed a second-round choke.

    Aug 25, 2026 · 6 min read

  15. Investigations

    Xiong Jing Nan, Kai Asakura and the UFC's champion import problem

    Xiong Jing Nan won eight straight ONE title fights and Kai Asakura ruled RIZIN. Both fight at UFC Shanghai, and only one of them made the main card.

    Aug 24, 2026 · 6 min read

  16. Reinier de Ridder training

    Investigations

    UFC Sacramento predictions: the model went 8 for 13

    UFC Sacramento predictions scored: our model went 8 for 13, the closing market 9 for 13, and four underdogs won after their prices drifted all week.

    Aug 23, 2026 · 4 min read

  17. Investigations

    UFC Sacramento: what the last two cards in this building paid

    UFC Sacramento fighter pay: Urijah Faber took 25 percent of the 2019 purse from the undercard. What CSAC disclosed then, and what we estimate tonight.

    Aug 22, 2026 · 4 min read

  18. Investigations

    UFC vs PFL: what really happens when fighters switch cages

    We tracked 261 crossings between the UFC, PFL and Bellator. The win rates say the border tax is a myth: it is a coin flip in both directions, receipts included.

    Aug 20, 2026 · 6 min read

  19. Daniel Marcos

    Investigations

    PFL Tampa's ex-UFC six: the fighters who left on wins

    Six former UFC fighters share Saturday's PFL Tampa card, 45 UFC fights between them. Three won their last Octagon fight and left anyway. The receipts.

    Aug 20, 2026 · 5 min read

  20. Roman Dolidze

    Investigations

    Dolidze vs de Ridder: the takedown numbers behind the odds

    Reinier de Ridder has landed 12 of 48 UFC takedowns. Roman Dolidze's 32% takedown defense is one bad night. Inside Dolidze vs de Ridder in Sacramento.

    Aug 18, 2026 · 6 min read

  21. Investigations

    Hernandez vs Rodrigues: the control-time case, and its flaw

    Anthony Hernandez controls 52.3% of his UFC middleweight cage time, second only to Chimaev. Hernandez vs Rodrigues, and the knockout blueprint against him.

    Aug 18, 2026 · 6 min read

  22. Investigations

    Edson Barboza at 40: four straight losses, two KOs in eight months

    Edson Barboza after UFC 330: 33 UFC fights, four straight losses, 1,855 significant strikes absorbed and nine knockdowns endured before Esteban Ribovics.

    Aug 17, 2026 · 5 min read

  23. Islam Makhachev with the UFC belt

    Investigations

    Makhachev vs Machado Garry: the UFC 330 main event by the numbers

    Makhachev vs Machado Garry by the numbers: age, reach, one welterweight fight of sample, and why UFC 330's main event is closer than the odds say.

    Aug 14, 2026 · 5 min read

  24. Islam Makhachev with the UFC belt

    Investigations

    Can Ian Machado Garry decision his way to Makhachev's belt?

    Ian Machado Garry enters UFC 330 on six straight decisions. Our sweep of every UFC title fight shows challengers like him almost never win the belt.

    Aug 12, 2026 · 6 min read