Ultimate Fighting Calendar
UFCUFC Fight Night: Grasso vs Shevchenko 2
Featherweight3 rounds scheduled
Fernando Padilla
MexicoFernando Padilla
“El Valiente”
16-6-0
RESULT

Kyle Nelson def. Fernando Padilla (Unanimous Decision)

Unanimous Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
WIN
Kyle Nelson
CanadaKyle Nelson
“The Monster”
17-7-1
Sunday, September 17, 2023
T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States

Kyle Nelson defeated Fernando Padilla by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Featherweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs Shevchenko 2, held Sunday, September 17, 2023 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas. The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 30-27, Kyle Nelson won the decision.

Fight stats

Fernando Padilla
Kyle Nelson
0
Knockdowns
0
72 of 208
Significant strikes
82 of 184
35%
Sig. strike accuracy
45%
73 of 209
Total strikes
83 of 185
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 3
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:07
Control time
0:00
Significant strikes by target
42 of 168
Head
43 of 143
17 of 22
Body
19 of 20
13 of 18
Leg
20 of 21
65 of 198
Distance
80 of 176
7 of 10
Clinch
2 of 8
0 of 0
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
26 of 82
Sig. str.
25 of 50
26 of 82
Total str.
25 of 50
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
22 of 59
Sig. str.
30 of 58
23 of 60
Total str.
31 of 59
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:07
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
24 of 67
Sig. str.
27 of 76
24 of 67
Total str.
27 of 76
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 2
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:00

Judges' Scorecards

Michael Bell
#PadillaNelson
1109
2910
3910
Total2829
Adalaide Byrd
#PadillaNelson
1109
2910
3910
Total2829
Sal D'Amato
#PadillaNelson
1910
2910
3910
Total2730

Media Scores

4
Padilla
-
7
Nelson
●29-28 Nelson×7●29-28 Padilla×4
All 11 media scorecards▾

Fan Scorecards

43%
Padilla
57%
Nelson
133 fan scorecards submitted
●29-28 Nelson54.1%●29-28 Padilla40.6%●30-27 Padilla2.3%●30-27 Nelson2.3%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
96%
Padilla
R2
93%
Nelson
R3
60%
Nelson

Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com

Betting Odds

Fernando Padilla
-240
71% implied win probability
Open: -271Best: -154
Kyle Nelson
+193
34% implied win probability
Open: +205Best: +223

Average moneyline across 13 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Fernando PadillaKyle Nelson
20%30%40%50%60%70%80%Aug 29Sep 4Sep 11Sep 17Aug 29, 3:46 PM UTC · Fernando Padilla -350 (78%)Aug 29, 4:12 PM UTC · Fernando Padilla -255 (72%)Sep 2, 8:59 PM UTC · Fernando Padilla -252 (72%)Sep 3, 7:37 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -258 (72%)Sep 3, 10:05 PM UTC · Fernando Padilla -267 (73%)Sep 4, 12:56 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -261 (72%)Sep 4, 6:46 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -256 (72%)Sep 4, 8:55 PM UTC · Fernando Padilla -260 (72%)Sep 5, 1:21 PM UTC · Fernando Padilla -267 (73%)Sep 5, 7:26 PM UTC · Fernando Padilla -267 (73%)Sep 6, 12:57 PM UTC · Fernando Padilla -263 (72%)Sep 6, 2:36 PM UTC · Fernando Padilla -261 (72%)Sep 6, 3:01 PM UTC · Fernando Padilla -261 (72%)Sep 7, 9:47 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -263 (72%)Sep 7, 11:23 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -261 (72%)Sep 7, 3:21 PM UTC · Fernando Padilla -261 (72%)Sep 7, 11:08 PM UTC · Fernando Padilla -259 (72%)Sep 8, 8:35 PM UTC · Fernando Padilla -260 (72%)Sep 10, 1:28 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -262 (72%)Sep 10, 4:20 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -263 (72%)Sep 12, 8:55 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -261 (72%)Sep 12, 5:45 PM UTC · Fernando Padilla -264 (73%)Sep 12, 6:01 PM UTC · Fernando Padilla -263 (72%)Sep 12, 6:18 PM UTC · Fernando Padilla -262 (72%)Sep 12, 6:37 PM UTC · Fernando Padilla -262 (72%)Sep 12, 8:25 PM UTC · Fernando Padilla -262 (72%)Sep 12, 9:56 PM UTC · Fernando Padilla -262 (72%)Sep 12, 10:52 PM UTC · Fernando Padilla -261 (72%)Sep 12, 11:41 PM UTC · Fernando Padilla -263 (72%)Sep 12, 11:58 PM UTC · Fernando Padilla -262 (72%)Sep 13, 12:46 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -260 (72%)Sep 13, 1:33 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -262 (72%)Sep 13, 2:17 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -262 (72%)Sep 13, 4:28 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -262 (72%)Sep 13, 5:17 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -262 (72%)Sep 13, 7:16 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -262 (72%)Sep 13, 7:36 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -262 (72%)Sep 13, 8:20 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -262 (72%)Sep 13, 8:56 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -262 (72%)Sep 13, 9:07 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -262 (72%)Sep 13, 10:06 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -261 (72%)Sep 13, 10:37 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -261 (72%)Sep 13, 11:01 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -261 (72%)Sep 13, 11:11 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -261 (72%)Sep 13, 11:45 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -261 (72%)Sep 13, 12:18 PM UTC · Fernando Padilla -261 (72%)Sep 13, 1:05 PM UTC · Fernando Padilla -261 (72%)Sep 13, 1:29 PM UTC · Fernando Padilla -258 (72%)Sep 13, 2:06 PM UTC · Fernando Padilla -260 (72%)Sep 13, 2:25 PM UTC · Fernando Padilla -260 (72%)Sep 13, 3:07 PM UTC · Fernando Padilla -260 (72%)Sep 14, 6:50 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -257 (72%)Sep 16, 2:31 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -256 (72%)Sep 16, 8:13 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -256 (72%)Sep 16, 3:57 PM UTC · Fernando Padilla -254 (72%)Sep 16, 9:09 PM UTC · Fernando Padilla -254 (72%)Sep 17, 12:10 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -255 (72%)Sep 17, 1:05 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -255 (72%)Sep 17, 1:35 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -254 (72%)Sep 17, 1:50 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -256 (72%)Sep 17, 1:51 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -258 (72%)Sep 17, 1:55 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -260 (72%)Sep 17, 2:00 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -262 (72%)Sep 17, 2:05 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -263 (72%)Sep 17, 2:07 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -264 (73%)Sep 17, 2:13 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -263 (72%)Sep 17, 2:15 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -264 (73%)Sep 17, 2:20 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -290 (74%)Sep 17, 2:25 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -306 (75%)Sep 17, 2:30 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -274 (73%)Sep 17, 2:31 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -254 (72%)Sep 17, 2:35 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -240 (71%)Sep 17, 5:40 AM UTC · Fernando Padilla -240 (71%)Aug 29, 3:46 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +285 (26%)Aug 29, 4:12 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +215 (32%)Sep 2, 8:59 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +203 (33%)Sep 3, 7:37 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +210 (32%)Sep 3, 10:05 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +212 (32%)Sep 4, 12:56 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +209 (32%)Sep 4, 6:46 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +207 (33%)Sep 4, 8:55 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +208 (32%)Sep 5, 1:21 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +204 (33%)Sep 5, 7:26 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +205 (33%)Sep 6, 12:57 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +202 (33%)Sep 6, 2:36 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +202 (33%)Sep 6, 3:01 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +202 (33%)Sep 7, 9:47 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +203 (33%)Sep 7, 11:23 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +203 (33%)Sep 7, 3:21 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +203 (33%)Sep 7, 11:08 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +198 (34%)Sep 8, 8:35 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +198 (34%)Sep 10, 1:28 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +202 (33%)Sep 10, 4:20 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +203 (33%)Sep 12, 8:55 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +203 (33%)Sep 12, 5:45 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +203 (33%)Sep 12, 6:01 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +207 (33%)Sep 12, 6:18 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +206 (33%)Sep 12, 6:37 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +206 (33%)Sep 12, 8:25 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +206 (33%)Sep 12, 9:56 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +206 (33%)Sep 12, 10:52 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +206 (33%)Sep 12, 11:41 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +206 (33%)Sep 12, 11:58 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +205 (33%)Sep 13, 12:46 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +204 (33%)Sep 13, 1:33 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +205 (33%)Sep 13, 2:17 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +205 (33%)Sep 13, 4:28 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +205 (33%)Sep 13, 5:17 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +205 (33%)Sep 13, 7:16 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +205 (33%)Sep 13, 7:36 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +205 (33%)Sep 13, 8:20 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +205 (33%)Sep 13, 8:56 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +205 (33%)Sep 13, 9:07 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +205 (33%)Sep 13, 10:06 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +204 (33%)Sep 13, 10:37 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +204 (33%)Sep 13, 11:01 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +204 (33%)Sep 13, 11:11 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +204 (33%)Sep 13, 11:45 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +204 (33%)Sep 13, 12:18 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +204 (33%)Sep 13, 1:05 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +204 (33%)Sep 13, 1:29 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +203 (33%)Sep 13, 2:06 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +204 (33%)Sep 13, 2:25 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +202 (33%)Sep 13, 3:07 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +202 (33%)Sep 14, 6:50 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +201 (33%)Sep 16, 2:31 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +201 (33%)Sep 16, 8:13 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +201 (33%)Sep 16, 3:57 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +201 (33%)Sep 16, 9:09 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +201 (33%)Sep 17, 12:10 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +202 (33%)Sep 17, 1:05 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +202 (33%)Sep 17, 1:35 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +203 (33%)Sep 17, 1:50 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +204 (33%)Sep 17, 1:51 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +201 (33%)Sep 17, 1:55 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +203 (33%)Sep 17, 2:00 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +207 (33%)Sep 17, 2:05 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +204 (33%)Sep 17, 2:07 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +205 (33%)Sep 17, 2:13 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +206 (33%)Sep 17, 2:15 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +208 (32%)Sep 17, 2:20 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +217 (32%)Sep 17, 2:25 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +238 (30%)Sep 17, 2:30 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +244 (29%)Sep 17, 2:31 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +192 (34%)Sep 17, 2:35 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +189 (35%)Sep 17, 5:40 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +193 (34%)-240+193
SportsbookFernando PadillaKyle Nelson
BetAnything-265+195
BetOnline-254+214
Betway-182+130
Bovada-260+215
Cloudbet-251+223
DraftKings-195+150
FanDuel-154+120
MyBookie-200+140
Pinnacle-288+194
sportsbetio-286+199
sports-interaction-300+215
SXBet-274+215
unibet-265+205

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Fernando Padilla vs Kyle Nelson?

Kyle Nelson defeated Fernando Padilla by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Featherweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs Shevchenko 2, held Sunday, September 17, 2023 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas. The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 30-27, Kyle Nelson won the decision.

What were the judges' scorecards for Fernando Padilla vs Kyle Nelson?

The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 30-27, Kyle Nelson won the decision.

Was Fernando Padilla vs Kyle Nelson a robbery?

Public scoring backed the judges: 57% of 133 fan cards scored it for Kyle Nelson; 64% of 11 media scores picked Kyle Nelson.

Full robbery index →
Referee
Chris Tognoni
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison▾

Win probability

Fernando Padilla 58%42% Kyle Nelson

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Featherweight roster (204 fighters)

Fernando Padilla
Complete Fighter
5 edges
Kyle Nelson
Complete Fighter
6 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

82Power88
64Speed91
59Precision72
76Durability76
81Engine76
52Wrestling92
87Ground66

Biggest edge Kyle Nelson, Takedowns +40

Attribute by attribute

Fernando Padilla is on the left of every row, Kyle Nelson on the right.
85Punch power82
78Kick power94
70Punch speed94
57Kick speed88
59Accuracy72
52Takedowns92
78Ground striking51
95Submissions80
78Chin77
74Body strength75
81Cardio76

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

16-6-0
Record
17-7-1
1662
Power Index rating
1607
0
Win Streak
0
29
Age
35
6'1"
185 cm
Height
5'11"
180 cm
76"
193 cm
Reach
71"
180 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Featherweight
Weight Class
Featherweight
Mexico
Nationality
Canada

Striking Profile

6.07
SLpM
3.60
40%
Str. Acc.
45%
5.74
SApM
4.58
52%
Str. Def.
53%

Grappling Profile

0.00
TD Avg.
1.18
0%
TD Acc.
23%
100%
TD Def.
66%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.50

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Fernando Padilla · 3-2
  • L
    Sean Woodson
    UFC Fight Night: Covington vs Buckley · Dec 15, 2024
    TKO · R1 · 4:58 · Featherweight
  • W
    Luis Pajuelo
    UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs Namajunas · Mar 23, 2024
    Submission · R1 · 2:45 · Featherweight
  • L
    Kyle Nelson
    UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs Shevchenko 2 · Sep 17, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Featherweight
  • W
    Julian Erosa
    UFC Fight Night: Song vs Simon · Apr 29, 2023
    TKO · R1 · 1:41 · Featherweight
  • W
    Cameron Graves
    Fury FC 46: Lookin' For a Fight · May 16, 2021
    TKO · R2 · 1:19 · Featherweight
Kyle Nelson · 3-2
  • L
    Terrance McKinney
    UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs Pyfer · Mar 28, 2026
    TKO · R1 · 0:24 · Lightweight
  • W
    Matt Frevola
    UFC Vancouver: De Ridder vs Hernandez · Oct 18, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    Steve Garcia
    UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Brady · Sep 7, 2024
    TKO · R1 · 3:59 · Featherweight
  • W
    Bill Algeo
    UFC Atlantic City · Mar 30, 2024
    TKO · R1 · 4:00 · Featherweight
  • W
    Fernando Padilla
    UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs Shevchenko 2 · Sep 17, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Featherweight

Career Averages

Based on 4 fights · 12 fights
37.0
Avg sig. strikes
34.4
0.00
Avg takedowns
0.75
0:16
Avg control time
1:58
72
Career high strikes
82
0
Career high TDs
5

Strike Distribution

Fernando Padilla
Strike target
Kyle Nelson
66%
Head
56%
20%
Body
26%
15%
Leg
18%
Fernando Padilla
Strike position
Kyle Nelson
80%
Distance
84%
8%
Clinch
13%
12%
Ground
3%