Ultimate Fighting Calendar
UFCUFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs Cowboy
Featherweight3 rounds scheduled
Kyle Nelson
CanadaKyle Nelson
“The Monster”
17-7-1
RESULT

Matt Sayles def. Kyle Nelson (Submission)

Submission · Round 3 · 3:16
WIN
Matt Sayles
United StatesMatt Sayles
“Robo”
8-4-0
Sunday, May 5, 2019
Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, Canada

Matt Sayles defeated Kyle Nelson by Submission in round 3 (3:16) in the Featherweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs Cowboy, held Sunday, May 5, 2019 at Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa.

Fight stats

Kyle Nelson
Matt Sayles
0
Knockdowns
0
26 of 93
Significant strikes
75 of 147
28%
Sig. strike accuracy
51%
32 of 103
Total strikes
106 of 181
2 of 10
Takedowns
0 of 0
20%
Takedown accuracy
-
4
Submission attempts
1
0
Reversals
1
3:47
Control time
2:47
Significant strikes by target
18 of 82
Head
45 of 113
8 of 11
Body
15 of 18
0 of 0
Leg
15 of 16
24 of 86
Distance
48 of 105
2 of 7
Clinch
3 of 5
0 of 0
Ground
24 of 37

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
14 of 48
Sig. str.
54 of 99
14 of 48
Total str.
79 of 127
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
2
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
2:08
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
5 of 17
Sig. str.
6 of 14
11 of 27
Total str.
7 of 15
2 of 4
Takedowns
0 of 0
2
Sub. att
0
3:26
Ctrl
0:13
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
7 of 28
Sig. str.
15 of 34
7 of 28
Total str.
20 of 39
0 of 6
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
1
0:21
Ctrl
0:26

Betting Odds

Kyle Nelson
+167
37% implied win probability
Open: +168Best: +185
Matt Sayles
-214
68% implied win probability
Open: -220Best: -200

Average moneyline across 4 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Kyle NelsonMatt Sayles
30%40%50%60%70%Apr 22Apr 26May 1May 5Apr 22, 4:48 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +170 (37%)Apr 22, 9:09 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +167 (37%)Apr 22, 9:39 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +167 (37%)Apr 24, 7:39 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +168 (37%)Apr 29, 6:15 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +169 (37%)May 1, 4:12 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +170 (37%)May 1, 8:00 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +172 (37%)May 2, 10:03 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +172 (37%)May 2, 1:39 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +174 (36%)May 2, 10:36 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +177 (36%)May 3, 5:48 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +179 (36%)May 3, 5:51 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +177 (36%)May 3, 5:54 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +179 (36%)May 3, 1:24 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +180 (36%)May 3, 7:15 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +182 (35%)May 3, 8:51 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +180 (36%)May 4, 7:03 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +177 (36%)May 4, 7:06 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +180 (36%)May 4, 7:09 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +177 (36%)May 4, 4:33 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +183 (35%)May 4, 4:36 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +177 (36%)May 4, 4:39 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +183 (35%)May 4, 6:18 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +180 (36%)May 4, 6:21 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +183 (35%)May 4, 6:24 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +180 (36%)May 4, 7:15 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +180 (36%)May 4, 7:21 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +180 (36%)May 4, 7:24 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +180 (36%)May 4, 9:54 PM UTC · Kyle Nelson +178 (36%)May 5, 12:18 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +180 (36%)May 5, 12:21 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +178 (36%)May 5, 12:24 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +180 (36%)May 5, 12:27 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +178 (36%)May 5, 12:30 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +180 (36%)May 5, 12:39 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +186 (35%)May 5, 12:54 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +184 (35%)May 5, 12:57 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +186 (35%)May 5, 12:57 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +185 (35%)May 5, 1:00 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +189 (35%)May 5, 1:03 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +185 (35%)May 5, 1:27 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +184 (35%)May 5, 2:09 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +181 (36%)May 5, 2:21 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +177 (36%)May 5, 2:21 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +175 (36%)May 5, 2:24 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +177 (36%)May 5, 2:27 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +175 (36%)May 5, 2:33 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +174 (36%)May 5, 3:06 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +170 (37%)May 5, 4:51 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +169 (37%)May 5, 5:15 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +167 (37%)May 5, 5:18 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +169 (37%)May 5, 5:21 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +167 (37%)May 5, 5:24 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +172 (37%)May 5, 5:30 AM UTC · Kyle Nelson +167 (37%)Apr 22, 4:48 PM UTC · Matt Sayles -210 (68%)Apr 22, 9:09 PM UTC · Matt Sayles -215 (68%)Apr 22, 9:39 PM UTC · Matt Sayles -220 (69%)Apr 24, 7:39 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -220 (69%)Apr 29, 6:15 PM UTC · Matt Sayles -224 (69%)May 1, 4:12 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -225 (69%)May 1, 8:00 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -226 (69%)May 2, 10:03 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -227 (69%)May 2, 1:39 PM UTC · Matt Sayles -229 (70%)May 2, 10:36 PM UTC · Matt Sayles -229 (70%)May 3, 5:48 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -231 (70%)May 3, 5:51 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -229 (70%)May 3, 5:54 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -231 (70%)May 3, 1:24 PM UTC · Matt Sayles -232 (70%)May 3, 7:15 PM UTC · Matt Sayles -235 (70%)May 3, 8:51 PM UTC · Matt Sayles -233 (70%)May 4, 7:03 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -229 (70%)May 4, 7:06 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -233 (70%)May 4, 7:09 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -229 (70%)May 4, 4:33 PM UTC · Matt Sayles -237 (70%)May 4, 4:36 PM UTC · Matt Sayles -229 (70%)May 4, 4:39 PM UTC · Matt Sayles -237 (70%)May 4, 6:18 PM UTC · Matt Sayles -235 (70%)May 4, 6:21 PM UTC · Matt Sayles -237 (70%)May 4, 6:24 PM UTC · Matt Sayles -235 (70%)May 4, 7:15 PM UTC · Matt Sayles -232 (70%)May 4, 7:21 PM UTC · Matt Sayles -235 (70%)May 4, 7:24 PM UTC · Matt Sayles -232 (70%)May 4, 9:54 PM UTC · Matt Sayles -230 (70%)May 5, 12:18 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -232 (70%)May 5, 12:21 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -230 (70%)May 5, 12:24 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -232 (70%)May 5, 12:27 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -230 (70%)May 5, 12:30 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -232 (70%)May 5, 12:39 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -237 (70%)May 5, 12:54 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -235 (70%)May 5, 12:57 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -238 (70%)May 5, 12:57 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -238 (70%)May 5, 1:00 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -240 (71%)May 5, 1:03 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -238 (70%)May 5, 1:27 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -237 (70%)May 5, 2:09 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -232 (70%)May 5, 2:21 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -226 (69%)May 5, 2:21 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -224 (69%)May 5, 2:24 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -226 (69%)May 5, 2:27 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -224 (69%)May 5, 2:33 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -223 (69%)May 5, 3:06 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -218 (69%)May 5, 4:51 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -217 (68%)May 5, 5:15 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -214 (68%)May 5, 5:18 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -217 (68%)May 5, 5:21 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -214 (68%)May 5, 5:24 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -221 (69%)May 5, 5:30 AM UTC · Matt Sayles -214 (68%)+167-214
SportsbookKyle NelsonMatt Sayles
Bookmaker+158-200
Bovada+160-200
sports-interaction+180-245
unibet+185-240

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Kyle Nelson vs Matt Sayles?

Matt Sayles defeated Kyle Nelson by Submission in round 3 (3:16) in the Featherweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs Cowboy, held Sunday, May 5, 2019 at Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa.

Referee
Todd Ronald Anderson
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison▾

Win probability

Kyle Nelson 49%51% Matt Sayles

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Featherweight roster (204 fighters)

Kyle Nelson
Complete Fighter
8 edges
Matt Sayles
Submission Ace
3 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

88Power55
91Speed73
72Precision68
76Durability70
76Engine92
92Wrestling50
66Ground82

Biggest edge Kyle Nelson, Takedowns +42

Attribute by attribute

Kyle Nelson is on the left of every row, Matt Sayles on the right.
82Punch power46
94Kick power63
94Punch speed67
88Kick speed78
72Accuracy68
92Takedowns50
51Ground striking66
80Submissions97
77Chin68
75Body strength72
76Cardio92

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

17-7-1
Record
8-4-0
1665
Power Index rating
1674
0
Win Streak
0
35
Age
32
5'11"
180 cm
Height
5'7"
170 cm
71"
180 cm
Reach
68"
173 cm
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Featherweight
Weight Class
Featherweight
Canada
Nationality
United States

Striking Profile

3.60
SLpM
4.83
45%
Str. Acc.
41%
4.58
SApM
2.81
53%
Str. Def.
61%

Grappling Profile

1.18
TD Avg.
0.36
23%
TD Acc.
16%
66%
TD Def.
81%
0.50
Sub. Avg.
0.70

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Kyle Nelson · 3-2
  • L
    Terrance McKinney
    UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs Pyfer · Mar 28, 2026
    TKO · R1 · 0:24 · Lightweight
  • W
    Matt Frevola
    UFC Vancouver: De Ridder vs Hernandez · Oct 18, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    Steve Garcia
    UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Brady · Sep 7, 2024
    TKO · R1 · 3:59 · Featherweight
  • W
    Bill Algeo
    UFC Atlantic City · Mar 30, 2024
    TKO · R1 · 4:00 · Featherweight
  • W
    Fernando Padilla
    UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs Shevchenko 2 · Sep 17, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Featherweight
Matt Sayles · 2-3
  • L
    Jordan Leavitt
    UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Daukaus · Dec 18, 2021
    Submission · R2 · 2:05 · Lightweight
  • L
    Bryce Mitchell
    UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Rozenstruik · Dec 8, 2019
    Submission · R1 · 4:20 · Featherweight
  • W
    Kyle Nelson
    UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs Cowboy · May 5, 2019
    Submission · R3 · 3:16 · Featherweight
  • L
    Sheymon Moraes
    UFC 227: Dillashaw vs Garbrandt 2 · Aug 4, 2018
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Featherweight
  • W
    Yazan Hajeh
    DWCS 2.2 · Jun 19, 2018
    TKO · R1 · 1:57 · Featherweight

Career Averages

Based on 12 fights · 5 fights
34.4
Avg sig. strikes
40.2
0.75
Avg takedowns
0.20
1:58
Avg control time
1:17
82
Career high strikes
77
5
Career high TDs
1

Strike Distribution

Kyle Nelson
Strike target
Matt Sayles
56%
Head
58%
26%
Body
25%
18%
Leg
17%
Kyle Nelson
Strike position
Matt Sayles
84%
Distance
67%
13%
Clinch
7%
3%
Ground
26%