Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Lightweight3 rounds scheduled
RESULT

MarQuel Mederos def. Austin Hubbard (Split Decision)

Split Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
Austin Hubbard
Thud
17-10-0
Saturday, March 29, 2025
Arena CDMX, México D.F., Mexico

MarQuel Mederos defeated Austin Hubbard by Split Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Erceg, held Saturday, March 29, 2025 at Arena CDMX, México D.F.. The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 28-29, MarQuel Mederos won the decision.

Fight stats

MarQuel Mederos
Austin Hubbard
0
Knockdowns
0
44 of 68
Significant strikes
26 of 65
65%
Sig. strike accuracy
40%
57 of 81
Total strikes
62 of 121
0 of 1
Takedowns
2 of 9
0%
Takedown accuracy
22%
0
Submission attempts
1
1
Reversals
0
1:33
Control time
7:34
Significant strikes by target
21 of 41
Head
16 of 51
7 of 7
Body
6 of 9
16 of 20
Leg
4 of 5
32 of 55
Distance
22 of 60
4 of 4
Clinch
3 of 3
8 of 9
Ground
1 of 2

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
23 of 35
Sig. str.
17 of 39
23 of 35
Total str.
19 of 41
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 3
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:50
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
6 of 11
Sig. str.
3 of 9
6 of 11
Total str.
18 of 35
0 of 1
Takedowns
1 of 2
0
Sub. att
1
0:05
Ctrl
4:12
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
15 of 22
Sig. str.
6 of 17
28 of 35
Total str.
25 of 45
0 of 0
Takedowns
1 of 4
0
Sub. att
0
1:28
Ctrl
2:32

Judges' Scorecards

#MederosHubbard
1109
2910
3109
Total2928
#MederosHubbard
1109
2910
3109
Total2928
#MederosHubbard
1109
2910
3910
Total2829

Media Scores

10
Mederos
-
1
Hubbard
29-28 Mederos×1029-28 Hubbard
All 11 media scorecards

Fan Scorecards

50%
Mederos
3%
Draw
47%
Hubbard
68 fan scorecards submitted
29-28 Mederos50%29-28 Hubbard35.3%30-27 Hubbard8.8%28-28 Draw2.9%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
82%
Mederos
R2
91%
Hubbard
R3
54%
Mederos

Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com

Betting Odds

MarQuel Mederos
-132
57% implied win probability
Open: -188Best: +150
Austin Hubbard
+116
46% implied win probability
Open: +157Best: +135

Average moneyline across 18 sportsbooks.

SportsbookMarQuel MederosAustin Hubbard
4casters-141+129
Bet105-138+122
BetAnything-145+115
BetMGM-165+135
BetOnline-138+118
BetRivers-157+125
BetUS-155+130
Betway+140-200
Bookmaker-161+131
Bovada-147+127
Caesars-155+130
Circa-132+112
Cloudbet-137+125
DraftKings+150-195
FanDuel-158+134
MyBookie-160+120
Pinnacle-139+123
SXBet-165+116

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won MarQuel Mederos vs Austin Hubbard?

MarQuel Mederos defeated Austin Hubbard by Split Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Erceg, held Saturday, March 29, 2025 at Arena CDMX, México D.F.. The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 28-29, MarQuel Mederos won the decision.

What were the judges' scorecards for MarQuel Mederos vs Austin Hubbard?

The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 28-29, MarQuel Mederos won the decision.

Was MarQuel Mederos vs Austin Hubbard a robbery?

Public scoring backed the judges: 50% of 68 fan cards scored it for MarQuel Mederos; 91% of 11 media scores picked MarQuel Mederos.

Full robbery index
Referee
Horacio Lopez Villanueva
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

MarQuel Mederos 52%48% Austin Hubbard

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Lightweight roster (302 fighters)

MarQuel Mederos
Knockout Artist
6 edges
Austin Hubbard
Complete Fighter
4 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

95Power73
96Speed88
97Precision71
92Durability89
93Engine93
68Wrestling93
52Ground57

Biggest edge MarQuel Mederos, Punch power +40

Attribute by attribute

MarQuel Mederos is on the left of every row, Austin Hubbard on the right.
93Punch power53
97Kick power93
95Punch speed81
97Kick speed95
97Accuracy71
68Takedowns93
50Ground striking54
53Submissions59
92Chin93
92Body strength85
93Cardio93

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

11-1-1
Record
17-10-0
1742
Power Index rating
1726
0
Win Streak
0
29
Age
34
5'10"
178 cm
Height
5'10"
178 cm
69"
175 cm
Reach
71"
180 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lightweight
Weight Class
Lightweight
United States
Nationality
United States

Striking Profile

5.46
SLpM
3.97
58%
Str. Acc.
42%
4.58
SApM
4.10
52%
Str. Def.
55%

Grappling Profile

0.23
TD Avg.
1.63
8%
TD Acc.
28%
82%
TD Def.
68%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.10

Recent form (last 5 fights)

MarQuel Mederos · 4-0-1
  • D
    UFC 327: Procházka vs Ulberg · Apr 11, 2026
    Majority Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs O'Malley 2 · Jun 7, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Erceg · Mar 29, 2025
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs Imavov · Feb 3, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    Contender Series 2023 · Oct 10, 2023
    TKO · R1 · 4:09 · Lightweight
Austin Hubbard · 1-4
  • L
    Caged Aggression 41 · Mar 28, 2026
    Submission · R4 · 1:39 · Super Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Walker vs Zhang · Aug 23, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Erceg · Mar 29, 2025
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC 307: Pereira vs Rountree Jr. · Oct 5, 2024
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez · Apr 27, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight

Career Averages

Based on 4 fights · 12 fights
81.5
Avg sig. strikes
51.8
0.25
Avg takedowns
1.42
1:40
Avg control time
2:17
112
Career high strikes
88
1
Career high TDs
4

Strike Distribution

MarQuel Mederos
Strike target
Austin Hubbard
59%
Head
52%
16%
Body
28%
25%
Leg
19%
MarQuel Mederos
Strike position
Austin Hubbard
83%
Distance
88%
12%
Clinch
6%
4%
Ground
5%