Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Lightweight3 rounds scheduled
Austin Hubbard
Thud
17-10-0
RESULT

Alexander Hernandez def. Austin Hubbard (Split Decision)

Split Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
WIN
Alexander Hernandez
El Gran Chango
18-9-0
Saturday, October 5, 2024
Delta Center, Salt Lake City, United States

Alexander Hernandez defeated Austin Hubbard by Split Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Lightweight bout of UFC 307: Pereira vs Rountree Jr., held Saturday, October 5, 2024 at Delta Center, Salt Lake City. The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 27-30, Alexander Hernandez won the decision.

Fight stats

Austin Hubbard
Alexander Hernandez
0
Knockdowns
0
63 of 191
Significant strikes
79 of 204
33%
Sig. strike accuracy
39%
65 of 193
Total strikes
91 of 217
0 of 12
Takedowns
0 of 2
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:05
Control time
0:40
Significant strikes by target
32 of 142
Head
41 of 144
25 of 42
Body
22 of 38
6 of 7
Leg
16 of 22
60 of 177
Distance
78 of 203
3 of 14
Clinch
1 of 1
0 of 0
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
10 of 44
Sig. str.
23 of 60
11 of 45
Total str.
23 of 60
0 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
22 of 66
Sig. str.
26 of 71
22 of 66
Total str.
32 of 77
0 of 7
Takedowns
0 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
0:05
Ctrl
0:09
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
31 of 81
Sig. str.
30 of 73
32 of 82
Total str.
36 of 80
0 of 3
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:31

Judges' Scorecards

#HubbardHernandez
1910
2910
3109
Total2829
#HubbardHernandez
1910
2910
3109
Total2829
#HubbardHernandez
1109
2109
3109
Total3027

Media Scores

2
Hubbard
-
12
Hernandez
29-28 Hernandez×1129-28 Hubbard×230-27 Hernandez
All 14 media scorecards

Fan Scorecards

29%
Hubbard
2%
Draw
69%
Hernandez
97 fan scorecards submitted
29-28 Hernandez67%29-28 Hubbard23.7%30-27 Hubbard5.2%30-27 Hernandez2.1%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
80%
Hernandez
R2
81%
Hernandez
R3
96%
Hubbard

Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com

Betting Odds

Austin Hubbard
+167
37% implied win probability
Open: +150Best: +600
Alexander Hernandez
-134
57% implied win probability
Open: -177Best: -103

Average moneyline across 14 sportsbooks.

SportsbookAustin HubbardAlexander Hernandez
BetAnything-115-115
BetMGM-110-110
BetOnline-115-105
BetRivers-105-118
BetUS-120-110
Betway+475-1000
Bovada-115-103
Caesars-105-115
Cloudbet-113-113
DraftKings+600-1050
FanDuel+270-380
MyBookie-107-115
Pinnacle-109-103
SXBet-114-107

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Austin Hubbard vs Alexander Hernandez?

Alexander Hernandez defeated Austin Hubbard by Split Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Lightweight bout of UFC 307: Pereira vs Rountree Jr., held Saturday, October 5, 2024 at Delta Center, Salt Lake City. The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 27-30, Alexander Hernandez won the decision.

What were the judges' scorecards for Austin Hubbard vs Alexander Hernandez?

The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 27-30, Alexander Hernandez won the decision.

Was Austin Hubbard vs Alexander Hernandez a robbery?

Public scoring backed the judges: 69% of 97 fan cards scored it for Alexander Hernandez; 86% of 14 media scores picked Alexander Hernandez.

Full robbery index
Referee
Tyler Tomlinson
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Austin Hubbard 53%47% Alexander Hernandez

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Lightweight roster (302 fighters)

Austin Hubbard
Complete Fighter
5 edges
Alexander Hernandez
Complete Fighter
5 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

73Power94
88Speed95
71Precision76
89Durability88
93Engine88
93Wrestling73
57Ground57

Biggest edge Alexander Hernandez, Punch power +41

Attribute by attribute

Austin Hubbard is on the left of every row, Alexander Hernandez on the right.
53Punch power94
93Kick power94
81Punch speed95
95Kick speed94
71Accuracy76
93Takedowns73
54Ground striking55
59Submissions59
93Chin92
85Body strength83
93Cardio88

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

17-10-0
Record
18-9-0
1732
Power Index rating
1713
0
Win Streak
0
34
Age
33
5'10"
178 cm
Height
5'9"
175 cm
71"
180 cm
Reach
72"
183 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lightweight
Weight Class
Lightweight
United States
Nationality
United States

Striking Profile

3.97
SLpM
4.23
42%
Str. Acc.
40%
4.10
SApM
4.45
55%
Str. Def.
59%

Grappling Profile

1.63
TD Avg.
1.05
28%
TD Acc.
35%
68%
TD Def.
68%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.10

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Austin Hubbard · 1-4
  • L
    Caged Aggression 41 · Mar 28, 2026
    Submission · R4 · 1:39 · Super Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Walker vs Zhang · Aug 23, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Erceg · Mar 29, 2025
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC 307: Pereira vs Rountree Jr. · Oct 5, 2024
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez · Apr 27, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
Alexander Hernandez · 4-1
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal · Apr 25, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    Noche UFC: Lopes vs Silva · Sep 13, 2025
    TKO · R2 · 3:46 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 319: Du Plessis vs Chimaev: Du Plessis vs Chimaev · Aug 16, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 4:58 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs Dolidze 2 · Mar 15, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 307: Pereira vs Rountree Jr. · Oct 5, 2024
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight

Career Averages

Based on 12 fights · 18 fights
51.8
Avg sig. strikes
43.8
1.42
Avg takedowns
0.72
2:17
Avg control time
1:20
88
Career high strikes
108
4
Career high TDs
4

Strike Distribution

Austin Hubbard
Strike target
Alexander Hernandez
52%
Head
56%
28%
Body
31%
19%
Leg
13%
Austin Hubbard
Strike position
Alexander Hernandez
88%
Distance
85%
6%
Clinch
8%
5%
Ground
7%