Lightweight3 rounds scheduled
Saturday, April 11, 2026
Kaseya Center, Miami, United States
Fight stats
Chris Padilla
MarQuel Mederos
0
Knockdowns
0
147 of 271
Significant strikes
112 of 180
54%
Sig. strike accuracy
62%
164 of 291
Total strikes
117 of 186
1 of 4
Takedowns
1 of 6
25%
Takedown accuracy
17%
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
2:09
Control time
0:16
Significant strikes by target
71 of 164
Head
81 of 147
30 of 40
Body
12 of 13
46 of 67
Leg
19 of 20
124 of 242
Distance
91 of 155
22 of 28
Clinch
21 of 25
1 of 1
Ground
0 of 0
By round
ROUND 1
0
KD
0
40 of 66
Sig. str.
27 of 41
44 of 71
Total str.
28 of 43
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 3
0
Sub. att
0
0:58
Ctrl
0:15
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
63 of 119
Sig. str.
44 of 75
71 of 129
Total str.
46 of 77
0 of 1
Takedowns
1 of 2
0
Sub. att
0
0:14
Ctrl
0:01
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
44 of 86
Sig. str.
41 of 64
49 of 91
Total str.
43 of 66
1 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
0:57
Ctrl
0:00
Judges' Scorecards
- − Mederos was docked 1 point in round 3 · Eye poke
Media Scores
14
Padilla
-
0
Mederos
●30-26 Padilla×8●29-27 Padilla×6
All 14 media scorecards▾
- Jake Noecker · Home of Fight30-26Padilla
- Ryan Frederick · WrestlingObserver.com30-26Padilla
- Keith Shillan · Sherdog.com30-26Padilla
- CombatPress.com30-26Padilla
- Zane Simon · The MMA Vivisection30-26Padilla
- Steve Duncan · mma.uno30-26Padilla
- Jay Pettry · Sherdog.com30-26Padilla
- Scottie Smith · Sherdog.com30-26Padilla
- Paul Fontaine · WrestlingObserver.com29-27Padilla
- MMAMania.com29-27Padilla
- Matthew Wells · MMAJunkie.com29-27Padilla
- Alex Behunin · MMA Mania29-27Padilla
- Chris Connor · The Fight City29-27Padilla
- Dayne Fox · Sherdog.com29-27Padilla
Fan Scorecards
86%
Padilla
13%
Draw
1%
Mederos
139 fan scorecards submitted
●29-27 Padilla41.7%●30-26 Padilla38.1%●28-28 Draw12.2%●30-27 Padilla4.3%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
91%
Padilla
R2
50%
Padilla
R3
78%
Padilla
Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com
Betting Odds
Chris Padilla
-155
61% implied win probability
Open: -180Best: +146
MarQuel Mederos
+138
42% implied win probability
Open: +137Best: +270
Average moneyline across 23 sportsbooks.
| Sportsbook | Chris Padilla | MarQuel Mederos |
|---|---|---|
| 4casters | -147 | +141 |
| 4Cx | -162 | +138 |
| Bet105 | +146 | -165 |
| BetAnything | -160 | +130 |
| BetMGM | -150 | +125 |
| BetOnline | -160 | +140 |
| BetRivers | -455 | +270 |
| BetUS | -150 | +126 |
| Betway | -163 | +130 |
| Bookmaker | -158 | +138 |
| Bovada | -163 | +137 |
| Caesars | -160 | +135 |
| Circa | -160 | +140 |
| Cloudbet | -149 | +132 |
| DraftKings | -162 | +136 |
| FanDuel | -162 | +136 |
| HardRockBet | -170 | +160 |
| MyBookie | -165 | +134 |
| Pinnacle | -156 | +138 |
| Polymarket | -144 | +138 |
| ProphetX | -164 | +144 |
| Stake | -149 | +122 |
| SXBet | -235 | +125 |
Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io
Referee
Keith Peterson
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison▾
Fight DNA
Head to headUFCalendar's style model · Lightweight roster (302 fighters)
Chris Padilla
Knockout Artist
5 edges
MarQuel Mederos
Knockout Artist
5 edges
Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap
Style shape
84Power95
88Speed96
95Precision97
90Durability92
91Engine93
94Wrestling68
75Ground52
Biggest edge Chris Padilla, Submissions +39
Attribute by attribute
Chris Padilla is on the left of every row, MarQuel Mederos on the right.
70Punch power93
98Kick power97
77Punch speed95
98Kick speed97
95Accuracy97
94Takedowns68
57Ground striking50
92Submissions53
92Chin92
88Body strength92
91Cardio93
Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.
Tale of the Tape
17-6-1
Record
11-1-1
0
Win Streak
0
30
Age
29
5'9"
175 cm
Height
5'10"
178 cm
74"
188 cm
Reach
69"
175 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lightweight
Weight Class
Lightweight
United States
Nationality
United States
Striking Profile
6.19
SLpM
5.46
54%
Str. Acc.
58%
4.88
SApM
4.58
49%
Str. Def.
52%
Grappling Profile
1.13
TD Avg.
0.23
28%
TD Acc.
8%
80%
TD Def.
82%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
0.00
Recent form (last 5 fights)
Chris Padilla · 4-0-1
MarQuel Mederos · 4-0-1
Head-to-Head History
Career Averages
Based on 5 fights · 4 fights
66.0
Avg sig. strikes
81.5
0.80
Avg takedowns
0.25
2:06
Avg control time
1:40
147
Career high strikes
112
3
Career high TDs
1
Strike Distribution
Chris Padilla
Strike target
MarQuel Mederos
50%
Head
59%
17%
Body
16%
33%
Leg
25%
Chris Padilla
Strike position
MarQuel Mederos
83%
Distance
83%
12%
Clinch
12%
5%
Ground
4%