Ultimate Fighting Calendar
MiddleweightPerformance of the Night5 rounds scheduled
WIN
Brendan Allen
All In
27-7-0
RESULT

Brendan Allen def. Paul Craig (Submission)

Submission · Round 3 · 0:38
Paul Craig
Bearjew
17-10-1 (1 NC)
Saturday, November 18, 2023
Meta Apex, Las Vegas, United States

Brendan Allen defeated Paul Craig by Submission in round 3 (0:38) in the Middleweight main event of UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Craig, held Saturday, November 18, 2023 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas.

Fight stats

Brendan Allen
Paul Craig
0
Knockdowns
0
32 of 43
Significant strikes
6 of 14
74%
Sig. strike accuracy
43%
52 of 64
Total strikes
13 of 21
2 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 2
100%
Takedown accuracy
0%
2
Submission attempts
1
0
Reversals
0
7:58
Control time
0:34
Significant strikes by target
26 of 37
Head
3 of 10
3 of 3
Body
1 of 1
3 of 3
Leg
2 of 3
12 of 17
Distance
6 of 13
1 of 2
Clinch
0 of 0
19 of 24
Ground
0 of 1

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
14 of 19
Sig. str.
3 of 8
20 of 26
Total str.
7 of 12
2 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 0
1
Sub. att
1
2:49
Ctrl
0:34
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
14 of 19
Sig. str.
1 of 3
28 of 33
Total str.
4 of 6
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
4:47
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
4 of 5
Sig. str.
2 of 3
4 of 5
Total str.
2 of 3
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 1
1
Sub. att
0
0:22
Ctrl
0:00

Betting Odds

Brendan Allen
-510
84% implied win probability
Open: -331Best: -400
Paul Craig
+370
21% implied win probability
Open: +259Best: +620

Average moneyline across 12 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Brendan AllenPaul Craig
20%30%40%50%60%70%80%Oct 18Oct 29Nov 8Nov 19Oct 18, 10:37 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -350 (78%)Oct 18, 11:07 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -360 (78%)Oct 25, 6:12 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -270 (73%)Nov 1, 10:10 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -266 (73%)Nov 1, 10:55 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -270 (73%)Nov 2, 3:50 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -269 (73%)Nov 2, 8:11 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -270 (73%)Nov 3, 1:06 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -267 (73%)Nov 3, 4:16 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -267 (73%)Nov 3, 10:06 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -268 (73%)Nov 4, 3:05 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -268 (73%)Nov 4, 4:20 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -268 (73%)Nov 4, 9:10 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -268 (73%)Nov 4, 8:55 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -268 (73%)Nov 4, 11:35 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -268 (73%)Nov 5, 2:40 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -269 (73%)Nov 5, 3:20 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -268 (73%)Nov 5, 4:25 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -270 (73%)Nov 5, 2:05 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -274 (73%)Nov 5, 11:40 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -275 (73%)Nov 6, 6:00 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -277 (73%)Nov 6, 6:01 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -281 (74%)Nov 7, 6:25 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -286 (74%)Nov 8, 2:06 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -283 (74%)Nov 8, 3:51 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -284 (74%)Nov 8, 8:41 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -284 (74%)Nov 8, 9:26 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -283 (74%)Nov 9, 12:56 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -283 (74%)Nov 9, 3:36 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -284 (74%)Nov 9, 6:56 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -284 (74%)Nov 9, 7:25 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -288 (74%)Nov 11, 4:30 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -289 (74%)Nov 12, 3:47 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -289 (74%)Nov 12, 5:05 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -291 (74%)Nov 12, 12:30 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -296 (75%)Nov 12, 2:40 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -295 (75%)Nov 12, 5:45 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -297 (75%)Nov 12, 6:40 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -303 (75%)Nov 12, 7:30 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -302 (75%)Nov 12, 9:16 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -306 (75%)Nov 12, 11:11 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -298 (75%)Nov 12, 11:36 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -295 (75%)Nov 12, 11:41 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -300 (75%)Nov 13, 3:05 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -314 (76%)Nov 13, 3:11 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -321 (76%)Nov 13, 6:15 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -324 (76%)Nov 13, 7:30 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -329 (77%)Nov 13, 2:18 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -339 (77%)Nov 13, 2:33 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -347 (78%)Nov 13, 3:46 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -353 (78%)Nov 13, 3:55 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -358 (78%)Nov 13, 4:51 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -367 (79%)Nov 13, 5:01 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -374 (79%)Nov 13, 5:16 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -380 (79%)Nov 13, 5:21 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -384 (79%)Nov 13, 9:11 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -387 (79%)Nov 13, 9:51 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -395 (80%)Nov 14, 12:46 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -406 (80%)Nov 14, 2:11 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -424 (81%)Nov 15, 4:37 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -430 (81%)Nov 15, 5:02 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -440 (81%)Nov 15, 10:10 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -444 (82%)Nov 15, 11:10 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -455 (82%)Nov 16, 2:51 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -454 (82%)Nov 16, 4:25 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -452 (82%)Nov 16, 4:40 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -443 (82%)Nov 16, 4:45 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -431 (81%)Nov 17, 10:40 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -437 (81%)Nov 18, 12:01 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -442 (82%)Nov 18, 8:20 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -442 (82%)Nov 18, 6:01 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -440 (81%)Nov 18, 10:48 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -436 (81%)Nov 18, 11:45 PM UTC · Brendan Allen -443 (82%)Nov 19, 12:11 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -448 (82%)Nov 19, 12:25 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -457 (82%)Nov 19, 12:33 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -461 (82%)Nov 19, 12:40 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -461 (82%)Nov 19, 12:55 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -492 (83%)Nov 19, 12:55 AM UTC · Brendan Allen -510 (84%)Oct 18, 10:37 PM UTC · Paul Craig +285 (26%)Oct 18, 11:07 PM UTC · Paul Craig +265 (27%)Oct 25, 6:12 AM UTC · Paul Craig +230 (30%)Nov 1, 10:10 PM UTC · Paul Craig +218 (31%)Nov 1, 10:55 PM UTC · Paul Craig +220 (31%)Nov 2, 3:50 AM UTC · Paul Craig +220 (31%)Nov 2, 8:11 PM UTC · Paul Craig +218 (31%)Nov 3, 1:06 AM UTC · Paul Craig +217 (32%)Nov 3, 4:16 AM UTC · Paul Craig +216 (32%)Nov 3, 10:06 PM UTC · Paul Craig +218 (31%)Nov 4, 3:05 AM UTC · Paul Craig +217 (32%)Nov 4, 4:20 AM UTC · Paul Craig +218 (31%)Nov 4, 9:10 AM UTC · Paul Craig +217 (32%)Nov 4, 8:55 PM UTC · Paul Craig +218 (31%)Nov 4, 11:35 PM UTC · Paul Craig +217 (32%)Nov 5, 2:40 AM UTC · Paul Craig +219 (31%)Nov 5, 3:20 AM UTC · Paul Craig +218 (31%)Nov 5, 4:25 AM UTC · Paul Craig +219 (31%)Nov 5, 2:05 PM UTC · Paul Craig +221 (31%)Nov 5, 11:40 PM UTC · Paul Craig +223 (31%)Nov 6, 6:00 AM UTC · Paul Craig +224 (31%)Nov 6, 6:01 PM UTC · Paul Craig +224 (31%)Nov 7, 6:25 PM UTC · Paul Craig +227 (31%)Nov 8, 2:06 PM UTC · Paul Craig +227 (31%)Nov 8, 3:51 PM UTC · Paul Craig +227 (31%)Nov 8, 8:41 PM UTC · Paul Craig +226 (31%)Nov 8, 9:26 PM UTC · Paul Craig +226 (31%)Nov 9, 12:56 AM UTC · Paul Craig +227 (31%)Nov 9, 3:36 AM UTC · Paul Craig +227 (31%)Nov 9, 6:56 AM UTC · Paul Craig +226 (31%)Nov 9, 7:25 PM UTC · Paul Craig +228 (30%)Nov 11, 4:30 PM UTC · Paul Craig +228 (30%)Nov 12, 3:47 AM UTC · Paul Craig +229 (30%)Nov 12, 5:05 AM UTC · Paul Craig +229 (30%)Nov 12, 12:30 PM UTC · Paul Craig +234 (30%)Nov 12, 2:40 PM UTC · Paul Craig +234 (30%)Nov 12, 5:45 PM UTC · Paul Craig +235 (30%)Nov 12, 6:40 PM UTC · Paul Craig +239 (29%)Nov 12, 7:30 PM UTC · Paul Craig +238 (30%)Nov 12, 9:16 PM UTC · Paul Craig +242 (29%)Nov 12, 11:11 PM UTC · Paul Craig +235 (30%)Nov 12, 11:36 PM UTC · Paul Craig +233 (30%)Nov 12, 11:41 PM UTC · Paul Craig +236 (30%)Nov 13, 3:05 AM UTC · Paul Craig +248 (29%)Nov 13, 3:11 AM UTC · Paul Craig +251 (28%)Nov 13, 6:15 AM UTC · Paul Craig +254 (28%)Nov 13, 7:30 AM UTC · Paul Craig +257 (28%)Nov 13, 2:18 PM UTC · Paul Craig +268 (27%)Nov 13, 2:33 PM UTC · Paul Craig +269 (27%)Nov 13, 3:46 PM UTC · Paul Craig +275 (27%)Nov 13, 3:55 PM UTC · Paul Craig +279 (26%)Nov 13, 4:51 PM UTC · Paul Craig +285 (26%)Nov 13, 5:01 PM UTC · Paul Craig +288 (26%)Nov 13, 5:16 PM UTC · Paul Craig +295 (25%)Nov 13, 5:21 PM UTC · Paul Craig +297 (25%)Nov 13, 9:11 PM UTC · Paul Craig +296 (25%)Nov 13, 9:51 PM UTC · Paul Craig +301 (25%)Nov 14, 12:46 AM UTC · Paul Craig +307 (25%)Nov 14, 2:11 PM UTC · Paul Craig +318 (24%)Nov 15, 4:37 AM UTC · Paul Craig +324 (24%)Nov 15, 5:02 PM UTC · Paul Craig +328 (23%)Nov 15, 10:10 PM UTC · Paul Craig +330 (23%)Nov 15, 11:10 PM UTC · Paul Craig +336 (23%)Nov 16, 2:51 AM UTC · Paul Craig +334 (23%)Nov 16, 4:25 AM UTC · Paul Craig +333 (23%)Nov 16, 4:40 AM UTC · Paul Craig +329 (23%)Nov 16, 4:45 PM UTC · Paul Craig +325 (24%)Nov 17, 10:40 PM UTC · Paul Craig +327 (23%)Nov 18, 12:01 AM UTC · Paul Craig +329 (23%)Nov 18, 8:20 AM UTC · Paul Craig +330 (23%)Nov 18, 6:01 PM UTC · Paul Craig +329 (23%)Nov 18, 10:48 PM UTC · Paul Craig +327 (23%)Nov 18, 11:45 PM UTC · Paul Craig +333 (23%)Nov 19, 12:11 AM UTC · Paul Craig +340 (23%)Nov 19, 12:25 AM UTC · Paul Craig +343 (23%)Nov 19, 12:33 AM UTC · Paul Craig +342 (23%)Nov 19, 12:40 AM UTC · Paul Craig +337 (23%)Nov 19, 12:55 AM UTC · Paul Craig +356 (22%)Nov 19, 12:55 AM UTC · Paul Craig +370 (21%)-510+370
SportsbookBrendan AllenPaul Craig
BetAnything-500+320
BetOnline-500+375
BetUS-450+325
Betway-400+300
Bovada-465+360
Cloudbet-424+355
DraftKings-810+500
FanDuel-1100+620
MyBookie-550+300
Pinnacle-444+351
SXBet-488+344
unibet-435+330

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Brendan Allen vs Paul Craig?

Brendan Allen defeated Paul Craig by Submission in round 3 (0:38) in the Middleweight main event of UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Craig, held Saturday, November 18, 2023 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas.

Referee
Mark Smith
Time format
5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Brendan Allen 63%37% Paul Craig

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model. Each fighter is rated against their own division, so read the gaps as directional.

Brendan Allen
Submission Ace
5 edges
Paul Craig
Submission Ace
4 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

84Power75
72Speed69
74Precision53
76Durability73
69Engine64
92Wrestling92
87Ground96

Biggest edge Brendan Allen, Punch power +21

Attribute by attribute

Brendan Allen is on the left of every row, Paul Craig on the right.
76Punch power55
92Kick power94
58Punch speed53
85Kick speed85
74Accuracy53
92Takedowns92
78Ground striking94
96Submissions98
89Chin77
62Body strength69
69Cardio64

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

27-7-0
Record
17-10-1 (1 NC)
1891
Power Index rating
1800
3
Win Streak
0
30
Age
38
6'2"
188 cm
Height
6'3"
191 cm
75"
191 cm
Reach
76"
193 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Middleweight
Weight Class
Middleweight
United States
Nationality
Scotland

Striking Profile

3.75
SLpM
2.50
52%
Str. Acc.
45%
3.78
SApM
3.04
47%
Str. Def.
43%

Grappling Profile

1.52
TD Avg.
1.43
41%
TD Acc.
18%
57%
TD Def.
35%
1.10
Sub. Avg.
1.30

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Brendan Allen · 3-2
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs Bonfim · Jun 6, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
  • W
    UFC Vancouver: De Ridder vs Hernandez · Oct 18, 2025
    TKO · R4 · 5:00 · Middleweight
  • W
    UFC 318: Holloway vs Poirier 3 · Jul 19, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
  • L
    Karate Combat 53 · Feb 28, 2025
    Unanimous Decision
  • L
    UFC Seattle: Cejudo vs Song · Feb 22, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
Paul Craig · 0-4
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs Borralho · Sep 6, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
  • NC
    UFC Fight Night: Usman vs Buckley · Jun 14, 2025
    · R1 · 4:59 · Light Heavyweight
  • L
    UFC 309: Jones vs Miocic · Nov 16, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
  • L
    UFC 301: Pantoja vs Erceg · May 4, 2024
    TKO · R2 · 2:10 · Middleweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Craig · Nov 18, 2023
    Submission · R3 · 0:38 · Middleweight

Career Averages

Based on 19 fights · 20 fights
43.9
Avg sig. strikes
20.2
1.16
Avg takedowns
0.80
3:29
Avg control time
1:07
112
Career high strikes
51
6
Career high TDs
4

Strike Distribution

Brendan Allen
Strike target
Paul Craig
66%
Head
50%
21%
Body
30%
14%
Leg
19%
Brendan Allen
Strike position
Paul Craig
78%
Distance
67%
7%
Clinch
14%
15%
Ground
20%