Ultimate Fighting Calendar
UFCUFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs Souza
Light Heavyweight3 rounds scheduled
Mauricio Rua
BrazilMauricio Rua
“Shogun”
27-14-1
DRAW

Mauricio Rua vs Paul Craig

Paul Craig
ScotlandPaul Craig
“Bearjew”
17-10-1 (1 NC)
Sunday, November 17, 2019
Ibirapuera Arena, São Paulo, Brazil

Fight stats

Mauricio Rua
Paul Craig
0
Knockdowns
0
25 of 66
Significant strikes
51 of 99
38%
Sig. strike accuracy
52%
51 of 108
Total strikes
106 of 160
1 of 3
Takedowns
1 of 4
33%
Takedown accuracy
25%
0
Submission attempts
1
0
Reversals
0
8:21
Control time
1:16
Significant strikes by target
19 of 57
Head
30 of 71
1 of 2
Body
14 of 20
5 of 7
Leg
7 of 8
16 of 48
Distance
39 of 82
1 of 1
Clinch
9 of 13
8 of 17
Ground
3 of 4

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
7 of 24
Sig. str.
31 of 58
14 of 32
Total str.
45 of 72
0 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 2
0
Sub. att
1
1:24
Ctrl
1:05
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
9 of 24
Sig. str.
10 of 16
22 of 47
Total str.
31 of 39
1 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
3:37
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
9 of 18
Sig. str.
10 of 25
15 of 29
Total str.
30 of 49
0 of 0
Takedowns
1 of 2
0
Sub. att
0
3:20
Ctrl
0:11

Judges' Scorecards

Guilherme Bravo
#RuaCraig
1810
2109
3109
Total2828
Sal D'Amato
#RuaCraig
1910
2109
3109
Total2928
Marcelo Vilhena
#RuaCraig
1910
2109
3910
Total2829

Media Scores

14
Rua
-
2
Craig
●29-28 Rua×14●29-28 Craig×2
All 16 media scorecards▾

Fan Scorecards

68%
Rua
10%
Draw
22%
Craig
174 fan scorecards submitted
●29-28 Rua66.7%●29-28 Craig17.8%●28-28 Draw7.5%●29-27 Craig2.9%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
86%
Craig
R2
96%
Rua
R3
76%
Rua

Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com

Betting Odds

Mauricio Rua
-238
70% implied win probability
Open: -247Best: -216
Paul Craig
+189
35% implied win probability
Open: +197Best: +205

Average moneyline across 6 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Mauricio RuaPaul Craig
30%40%50%60%70%80%Nov 5Nov 9Nov 13Nov 17Nov 5, 1:40 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -165 (62%)Nov 6, 1:30 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -190 (66%)Nov 6, 7:40 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -230 (70%)Nov 6, 10:10 PM UTC · Mauricio Rua -280 (74%)Nov 7, 9:40 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -300 (75%)Nov 9, 8:00 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -289 (74%)Nov 9, 8:53 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -297 (75%)Nov 9, 5:22 PM UTC · Mauricio Rua -302 (75%)Nov 9, 8:15 PM UTC · Mauricio Rua -299 (75%)Nov 9, 8:23 PM UTC · Mauricio Rua -289 (74%)Nov 10, 1:00 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -285 (74%)Nov 10, 1:30 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -282 (74%)Nov 10, 4:05 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -275 (73%)Nov 10, 11:02 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -275 (73%)Nov 10, 3:12 PM UTC · Mauricio Rua -282 (74%)Nov 10, 5:10 PM UTC · Mauricio Rua -284 (74%)Nov 10, 5:23 PM UTC · Mauricio Rua -279 (74%)Nov 10, 7:43 PM UTC · Mauricio Rua -273 (73%)Nov 10, 7:45 PM UTC · Mauricio Rua -279 (74%)Nov 10, 11:40 PM UTC · Mauricio Rua -280 (74%)Nov 10, 11:43 PM UTC · Mauricio Rua -278 (74%)Nov 11, 6:22 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -276 (73%)Nov 11, 7:25 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -273 (73%)Nov 11, 11:05 PM UTC · Mauricio Rua -274 (73%)Nov 12, 7:00 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -275 (73%)Nov 12, 8:00 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -277 (73%)Nov 12, 8:05 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -274 (73%)Nov 12, 8:33 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -272 (73%)Nov 12, 1:25 PM UTC · Mauricio Rua -270 (73%)Nov 12, 4:45 PM UTC · Mauricio Rua -271 (73%)Nov 13, 1:45 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -267 (73%)Nov 13, 2:45 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -262 (72%)Nov 13, 2:51 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -267 (73%)Nov 13, 10:25 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -266 (73%)Nov 13, 10:30 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -269 (73%)Nov 13, 6:25 PM UTC · Mauricio Rua -269 (73%)Nov 13, 7:10 PM UTC · Mauricio Rua -271 (73%)Nov 13, 10:10 PM UTC · Mauricio Rua -275 (73%)Nov 14, 2:20 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -276 (73%)Nov 14, 5:40 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -274 (73%)Nov 14, 6:12 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -276 (73%)Nov 15, 4:35 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -279 (74%)Nov 15, 4:40 PM UTC · Mauricio Rua -278 (74%)Nov 15, 6:50 PM UTC · Mauricio Rua -278 (74%)Nov 15, 8:20 PM UTC · Mauricio Rua -278 (74%)Nov 16, 12:55 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -279 (74%)Nov 16, 1:50 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -278 (74%)Nov 16, 9:25 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -277 (73%)Nov 16, 3:10 PM UTC · Mauricio Rua -280 (74%)Nov 16, 6:40 PM UTC · Mauricio Rua -279 (74%)Nov 16, 8:00 PM UTC · Mauricio Rua -273 (73%)Nov 16, 8:25 PM UTC · Mauricio Rua -269 (73%)Nov 16, 8:50 PM UTC · Mauricio Rua -264 (73%)Nov 16, 9:00 PM UTC · Mauricio Rua -260 (72%)Nov 16, 9:10 PM UTC · Mauricio Rua -255 (72%)Nov 16, 9:30 PM UTC · Mauricio Rua -256 (72%)Nov 16, 10:35 PM UTC · Mauricio Rua -251 (72%)Nov 17, 12:50 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -252 (72%)Nov 17, 2:00 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -253 (72%)Nov 17, 2:10 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -250 (71%)Nov 17, 2:15 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -248 (71%)Nov 17, 2:30 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -252 (72%)Nov 17, 2:35 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -249 (71%)Nov 17, 2:44 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -247 (71%)Nov 17, 3:00 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -238 (70%)Nov 17, 3:00 AM UTC · Mauricio Rua -238 (70%)Nov 5, 1:40 AM UTC · Paul Craig +135 (43%)Nov 6, 1:30 AM UTC · Paul Craig +150 (40%)Nov 6, 7:40 AM UTC · Paul Craig +180 (36%)Nov 6, 10:10 PM UTC · Paul Craig +210 (32%)Nov 7, 9:40 AM UTC · Paul Craig +230 (30%)Nov 9, 8:00 AM UTC · Paul Craig +221 (31%)Nov 9, 8:53 AM UTC · Paul Craig +233 (30%)Nov 9, 5:22 PM UTC · Paul Craig +230 (30%)Nov 9, 8:15 PM UTC · Paul Craig +224 (31%)Nov 9, 8:23 PM UTC · Paul Craig +221 (31%)Nov 10, 1:00 AM UTC · Paul Craig +219 (31%)Nov 10, 1:30 AM UTC · Paul Craig +216 (32%)Nov 10, 4:05 AM UTC · Paul Craig +212 (32%)Nov 10, 11:02 AM UTC · Paul Craig +213 (32%)Nov 10, 3:12 PM UTC · Paul Craig +217 (32%)Nov 10, 5:10 PM UTC · Paul Craig +223 (31%)Nov 10, 5:23 PM UTC · Paul Craig +217 (32%)Nov 10, 7:43 PM UTC · Paul Craig +215 (32%)Nov 10, 7:45 PM UTC · Paul Craig +217 (32%)Nov 10, 11:40 PM UTC · Paul Craig +218 (31%)Nov 10, 11:43 PM UTC · Paul Craig +217 (32%)Nov 11, 6:22 AM UTC · Paul Craig +215 (32%)Nov 11, 7:25 AM UTC · Paul Craig +213 (32%)Nov 11, 11:05 PM UTC · Paul Craig +213 (32%)Nov 12, 7:00 AM UTC · Paul Craig +215 (32%)Nov 12, 8:00 AM UTC · Paul Craig +214 (32%)Nov 12, 8:05 AM UTC · Paul Craig +213 (32%)Nov 12, 8:33 AM UTC · Paul Craig +211 (32%)Nov 12, 1:25 PM UTC · Paul Craig +210 (32%)Nov 12, 4:45 PM UTC · Paul Craig +212 (32%)Nov 13, 1:45 AM UTC · Paul Craig +208 (32%)Nov 13, 2:45 AM UTC · Paul Craig +206 (33%)Nov 13, 2:51 AM UTC · Paul Craig +208 (32%)Nov 13, 10:25 AM UTC · Paul Craig +209 (32%)Nov 13, 10:30 AM UTC · Paul Craig +212 (32%)Nov 13, 6:25 PM UTC · Paul Craig +209 (32%)Nov 13, 7:10 PM UTC · Paul Craig +212 (32%)Nov 13, 10:10 PM UTC · Paul Craig +214 (32%)Nov 14, 2:20 AM UTC · Paul Craig +213 (32%)Nov 14, 5:40 AM UTC · Paul Craig +212 (32%)Nov 14, 6:12 AM UTC · Paul Craig +213 (32%)Nov 15, 4:35 AM UTC · Paul Craig +216 (32%)Nov 15, 4:40 PM UTC · Paul Craig +216 (32%)Nov 15, 6:50 PM UTC · Paul Craig +215 (32%)Nov 15, 8:20 PM UTC · Paul Craig +216 (32%)Nov 16, 12:55 AM UTC · Paul Craig +218 (31%)Nov 16, 1:50 AM UTC · Paul Craig +218 (31%)Nov 16, 9:25 AM UTC · Paul Craig +218 (31%)Nov 16, 3:10 PM UTC · Paul Craig +218 (31%)Nov 16, 6:40 PM UTC · Paul Craig +218 (31%)Nov 16, 8:00 PM UTC · Paul Craig +213 (32%)Nov 16, 8:25 PM UTC · Paul Craig +213 (32%)Nov 16, 8:50 PM UTC · Paul Craig +208 (32%)Nov 16, 9:00 PM UTC · Paul Craig +204 (33%)Nov 16, 9:10 PM UTC · Paul Craig +200 (33%)Nov 16, 9:30 PM UTC · Paul Craig +200 (33%)Nov 16, 10:35 PM UTC · Paul Craig +197 (34%)Nov 17, 12:50 AM UTC · Paul Craig +199 (33%)Nov 17, 2:00 AM UTC · Paul Craig +198 (34%)Nov 17, 2:10 AM UTC · Paul Craig +196 (34%)Nov 17, 2:15 AM UTC · Paul Craig +194 (34%)Nov 17, 2:30 AM UTC · Paul Craig +197 (34%)Nov 17, 2:35 AM UTC · Paul Craig +196 (34%)Nov 17, 2:44 AM UTC · Paul Craig +195 (34%)Nov 17, 3:00 AM UTC · Paul Craig +192 (34%)Nov 17, 3:00 AM UTC · Paul Craig +189 (35%)-238+189
SportsbookMauricio RuaPaul Craig
Bookmaker-225+174
Bovada-250+195
Cloudbet-216+178
Pinnacle-227+195
sports-interaction-255+185
unibet-265+205

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Referee
Jerin Valel
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison▾

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Light Heavyweight roster (129 fighters)

Mauricio Rua
Knockout Artist
9 edges
Paul Craig
Submission Ace
1 edge
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

98Power75
96Speed69
97Precision53
96Durability73
67Engine64
92Wrestling92
79Ground96

Biggest edge Mauricio Rua, Punch power +44

Attribute by attribute

Mauricio Rua is on the left of every row, Paul Craig on the right.
99Punch power55
96Kick power94
97Punch speed53
95Kick speed85
97Accuracy53
92Takedowns92
95Ground striking94
63Submissions98
94Chin77
97Body strength69
67Cardio64

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

27-14-1
Record
17-10-1 (1 NC)
0
Win Streak
0
44
Age
38
6'1"
185 cm
Height
6'3"
191 cm
76"
193 cm
Reach
76"
193 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Light Heavyweight
Weight Class
Light Heavyweight
Brazil
Nationality
Scotland

Style Matchup

Muay ThaiBJJ
vs
BJJBoxingNo-Gi Grappling
Mauricio Rua
  • 2005Black belt · BJJ · Antonio 'Nino' Schembri
  • 2010UFC Light Heavyweight Championship · UFC
  • 2005Champion · Pride Middleweight Grand Prix · middleweight (93 kg)
  • Competitor · Brazilian Jiu Jitsu Tournaments · blue and purple belt

Camp Universidade da Luta (UDL) · Curitiba, Brazil

Paul Craig
  • 2021Black belt · BJJ · Brian Gallacher
  • BAMMA World Light Heavyweight Championship · BAMMA
  • British and European Light Heavyweight titles · BAMMA
  • British and Scottish amateur Light Heavyweight championships

Camp Higher Level Martial Arts · Whitburn / Coatbridge, Scotland

Striking Profile

3.57
SLpM
2.50
50%
Str. Acc.
45%
2.79
SApM
3.04
54%
Str. Def.
43%

Grappling Profile

2.01
TD Avg.
1.43
48%
TD Acc.
18%
49%
TD Def.
35%
0.70
Sub. Avg.
1.30

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Mauricio Rua · 1-3-1
  • L
    Ihor Potieria
    UFC 283: Teixeira vs Hill · Jan 21, 2023
    TKO · R1 · 4:05 · Light Heavyweight
  • L
    Ovince Saint Preux
    UFC 274: Oliveira vs Gaethje · May 7, 2022
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
  • L
    Paul Craig
    UFC 255: Figueiredo vs Perez · Nov 21, 2020
    TKO · R2 · 3:36 · Light Heavyweight
  • W
    Rogerio Nogueira
    UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs Till · Jul 26, 2020
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
  • D
    Paul Craig
    UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs Souza · Nov 17, 2019
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
Paul Craig · 0-4
  • L
    Modestas Bukauskas
    UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs Borralho · Sep 6, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
  • NC
    Rodolfo Bellato
    UFC Fight Night: Usman vs Buckley · Jun 14, 2025
    · R1 · 4:59 · Light Heavyweight
  • L
    Bo Nickal
    UFC 309: Jones vs Miocic · Nov 16, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
  • L
    Caio Borralho
    UFC 301: Pantoja vs Erceg · May 4, 2024
    TKO · R2 · 2:10 · Middleweight
  • L
    Brendan Allen
    UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Craig · Nov 18, 2023
    Submission · R3 · 0:38 · Middleweight

Career Averages

Based on 24 fights · 20 fights
37.0
Avg sig. strikes
20.2
1.13
Avg takedowns
0.80
2:34
Avg control time
1:07
96
Career high strikes
51
5
Career high TDs
4

Strike Distribution

Mauricio Rua
Strike target
Paul Craig
59%
Head
50%
16%
Body
30%
25%
Leg
19%
Mauricio Rua
Strike position
Paul Craig
70%
Distance
67%
15%
Clinch
14%
15%
Ground
20%