Ultimate Fighting Calendar
MiddleweightPerformance of the Night3 rounds scheduled
Paul Craig
Bearjew
17-10-1 (1 NC)
RESULT

Caio Borralho def. Paul Craig (TKO)

TKO · Round 2 · 2:10
WIN
Caio Borralho
The Natural
18-2-0 (1 NC)
Saturday, May 4, 2024
Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Caio Borralho defeated Paul Craig by TKO in round 2 (2:10) in the Middleweight bout of UFC 301: Pantoja vs Erceg, held Saturday, May 4, 2024 at Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro.

Fight stats

Paul Craig
Caio Borralho
0
Knockdowns
1
22 of 48
Significant strikes
36 of 50
46%
Sig. strike accuracy
72%
22 of 50
Total strikes
43 of 57
0 of 6
Takedowns
0 of 0
0%
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:30
Control time
0:19
Significant strikes by target
4 of 19
Head
29 of 41
12 of 23
Body
3 of 5
6 of 6
Leg
4 of 4
22 of 48
Distance
35 of 49
0 of 0
Clinch
1 of 1
0 of 0
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
15 of 29
Sig. str.
20 of 30
15 of 31
Total str.
27 of 37
0 of 5
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:30
Ctrl
0:10
ROUND 2
0
KD
1
7 of 19
Sig. str.
16 of 20
7 of 19
Total str.
16 of 20
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:09

Betting Odds

Paul Craig
+466
18% implied win probability
Open: +283Best: +700
Caio Borralho
-675
87% implied win probability
Open: -354Best: -498

Average moneyline across 11 sportsbooks.

SportsbookPaul CraigCaio Borralho
BetAnything+370-625
BetOnline+425-600
BetUS+400-600
Betway+550-1250
Bovada+375-500
Cloudbet+393-498
DraftKings+700-1300
FanDuel+660-1200
MyBookie+450-649
Pinnacle+465-660
SXBet+335-525

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Paul Craig vs Caio Borralho?

Caio Borralho defeated Paul Craig by TKO in round 2 (2:10) in the Middleweight bout of UFC 301: Pantoja vs Erceg, held Saturday, May 4, 2024 at Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro.

Referee
Marc Goddard
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Paul Craig 45%55% Caio Borralho

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model. Each fighter is rated against their own division, so read the gaps as directional.

Paul Craig
Submission Ace
3 edges
Caio Borralho
Complete Fighter
8 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

75Power93
69Speed94
53Precision94
73Durability94
64Engine94
92Wrestling94
96Ground92

Biggest edge Caio Borralho, Punch speed +41

Attribute by attribute

Paul Craig is on the left of every row, Caio Borralho on the right.
55Punch power93
94Kick power92
53Punch speed94
85Kick speed94
53Accuracy94
92Takedowns94
94Ground striking92
98Submissions92
77Chin96
69Body strength92
64Cardio94

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

17-10-1 (1 NC)
Record
18-2-0 (1 NC)
1789
Power Index rating
1825
0
Win Streak
1
38
Age
33
6'3"
191 cm
Height
6'1"
185 cm
76"
193 cm
Reach
75"
191 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Middleweight
Weight Class
Middleweight
Scotland
Nationality
Brazil

Striking Profile

2.50
SLpM
3.47
45%
Str. Acc.
56%
3.04
SApM
2.61
43%
Str. Def.
60%

Grappling Profile

1.43
TD Avg.
1.25
18%
TD Acc.
50%
35%
TD Def.
76%
1.30
Sub. Avg.
0.40

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Paul Craig · 0-4
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs Borralho · Sep 6, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
  • NC
    UFC Fight Night: Usman vs Buckley · Jun 14, 2025
    · R1 · 4:59 · Light Heavyweight
  • L
    UFC 309: Jones vs Miocic · Nov 16, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
  • L
    UFC 301: Pantoja vs Erceg · May 4, 2024
    TKO · R2 · 2:10 · Middleweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Craig · Nov 18, 2023
    Submission · R3 · 0:38 · Middleweight
Caio Borralho · 4-1
  • W
    UFC 326: Holloway vs Oliveira 2 · Mar 7, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs Borralho · Sep 6, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Middleweight
  • W
    Karate Combat 53 · Feb 28, 2025
    Unanimous Decision
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Borralho · Aug 24, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Middleweight
  • W
    UFC 301: Pantoja vs Erceg · May 4, 2024
    TKO · R2 · 2:10 · Middleweight

Career Averages

Based on 20 fights · 9 fights
20.2
Avg sig. strikes
51.0
0.80
Avg takedowns
1.11
1:07
Avg control time
4:09
51
Career high strikes
153
4
Career high TDs
4

Strike Distribution

Paul Craig
Strike target
Caio Borralho
50%
Head
65%
30%
Body
18%
19%
Leg
17%
Paul Craig
Strike position
Caio Borralho
67%
Distance
82%
14%
Clinch
4%
20%
Ground
14%