Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Middleweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Bo Nickal
RESULT

Bo Nickal def. Paul Craig (Unanimous Decision)

Unanimous Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
Paul Craig
Bearjew
17-10-1 (1 NC)
Saturday, November 16, 2024
Madison Square Garden, New York, United States

Bo Nickal defeated Paul Craig by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Middleweight bout of UFC 309: Jones vs Miocic, held Saturday, November 16, 2024 at Madison Square Garden, New York. The judges scored it 30-27, 30-27, 30-27, Bo Nickal won the decision.

Fight stats

Bo Nickal
Paul Craig
0
Knockdowns
0
54 of 85
Significant strikes
47 of 129
64%
Sig. strike accuracy
36%
54 of 85
Total strikes
48 of 130
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
-
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:00
Control time
0:00
Significant strikes by target
24 of 50
Head
21 of 93
13 of 16
Body
14 of 23
17 of 19
Leg
12 of 13
54 of 85
Distance
47 of 129
0 of 0
Clinch
0 of 0
0 of 0
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
16 of 31
Sig. str.
13 of 35
16 of 31
Total str.
14 of 36
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
22 of 26
Sig. str.
21 of 48
22 of 26
Total str.
21 of 48
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
16 of 28
Sig. str.
13 of 46
16 of 28
Total str.
13 of 46
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:00

Judges' Scorecards

#NickalCraig
1109
2109
3109
Total3027
#NickalCraig
1109
2109
3109
Total3027
#NickalCraig
1109
2109
3109
Total3027

Media Scores

18
Nickal
-
0
Craig
29-28 Nickal×1130-27 Nickal×7
All 18 media scorecards

Fan Scorecards

70%
Nickal
3%
Draw
27%
Craig
193 fan scorecards submitted
29-28 Nickal43.5%30-27 Nickal26.4%29-28 Craig23.3%30-27 Craig3.1%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
65%
Craig
R2
72%
Nickal
R3
89%
Nickal

Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com

Betting Odds

Bo Nickal
-1137
92% implied win probability
Open: -1110Best: -500
Paul Craig
+716
12% implied win probability
Open: +646Best: +912

Average moneyline across 15 sportsbooks.

SportsbookBo NickalPaul Craig
4casters-1152+912
BetAnything-1400+610
BetMGM-2500+800
BetOnline-1400+800
BetRivers-1430+750
BetUS-1400+700
Betway-500+300
Bookmaker-1325+733
Bovada-1400+800
Caesars-1400+800
Cloudbet-1515+858
DraftKings-520+350
FanDuel-1100+700
Pinnacle-1466+838
SXBet-1381+789

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Bo Nickal vs Paul Craig?

Bo Nickal defeated Paul Craig by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Middleweight bout of UFC 309: Jones vs Miocic, held Saturday, November 16, 2024 at Madison Square Garden, New York. The judges scored it 30-27, 30-27, 30-27, Bo Nickal won the decision.

What were the judges' scorecards for Bo Nickal vs Paul Craig?

The judges scored it 30-27, 30-27, 30-27, Bo Nickal won the decision.

Was Bo Nickal vs Paul Craig a robbery?

Public scoring backed the judges: 70% of 193 fan cards scored it for Bo Nickal; 100% of 18 media scores picked Bo Nickal.

Full robbery index
Referee
Dan Miragliotta
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Bo Nickal 54%46% Paul Craig

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model. Each fighter is rated against their own division, so read the gaps as directional.

Bo Nickal
Grappling Specialist
8 edges
Paul Craig
Submission Ace
3 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

92Power75
91Speed69
88Precision53
90Durability73
91Engine64
98Wrestling92
93Ground96

Biggest edge Bo Nickal, Punch power +39

Attribute by attribute

Bo Nickal is on the left of every row, Paul Craig on the right.
94Punch power55
90Kick power94
92Punch speed53
89Kick speed85
88Accuracy53
98Takedowns92
93Ground striking94
92Submissions98
90Chin77
90Body strength69
91Cardio64

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

9-1-0
Record
17-10-1 (1 NC)
1800
Power Index rating
1775
2
Win Streak
0
30
Age
38
6'1"
185 cm
Height
6'3"
191 cm
76"
193 cm
Reach
76"
193 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Middleweight
Weight Class
Middleweight
United States
Nationality
Scotland

Striking Profile

3.36
SLpM
2.50
61%
Str. Acc.
45%
1.93
SApM
3.04
60%
Str. Def.
43%

Grappling Profile

3.12
TD Avg.
1.43
57%
TD Acc.
18%
100%
TD Def.
35%
2.30
Sub. Avg.
1.30

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Bo Nickal · 4-1
  • W
    UFC Freedom 250 · Jun 15, 2026
    TKO · R1 · 4:34 · Middleweight
  • W
    VeChain UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs Makhachev · Nov 15, 2025
    TKO · R3 · 2:24 · Middleweight
  • W
    RAF 1: Hendrickson vs. Gabr · Aug 30, 2025
    Decision
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs Figueiredo · May 3, 2025
    TKO · R2 · 1:53 · Middleweight
  • W
    UFC 309: Jones vs Miocic · Nov 16, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
Paul Craig · 0-4
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs Borralho · Sep 6, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
  • NC
    UFC Fight Night: Usman vs Buckley · Jun 14, 2025
    · R1 · 4:59 · Light Heavyweight
  • L
    UFC 309: Jones vs Miocic · Nov 16, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
  • L
    UFC 301: Pantoja vs Erceg · May 4, 2024
    TKO · R2 · 2:10 · Middleweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Craig · Nov 18, 2023
    Submission · R3 · 0:38 · Middleweight

Career Averages

Based on 7 fights · 20 fights
24.4
Avg sig. strikes
20.2
1.14
Avg takedowns
0.80
2:26
Avg control time
1:07
77
Career high strikes
51
3
Career high TDs
4

Strike Distribution

Bo Nickal
Strike target
Paul Craig
64%
Head
50%
19%
Body
30%
16%
Leg
19%
Bo Nickal
Strike position
Paul Craig
80%
Distance
67%
8%
Clinch
14%
12%
Ground
20%