Ultimate Fighting Calendar
LightweightPerformance of the Night5 rounds scheduled
Donald Cerrone
Cowboy
36-17-0 (2 NC)
RESULT

Justin Gaethje def. Donald Cerrone (TKO)

TKO · Round 1 · 4:18
WIN
Justin Gaethje
The Highlight
28-5-0
Sunday, September 15, 2019
Rogers Arena, Vancouver, Canada

Justin Gaethje defeated Donald Cerrone by TKO in round 1 (4:18) in the Lightweight main event of UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Gaethje, held Sunday, September 15, 2019 at Rogers Arena, Vancouver.

Fight stats

Donald Cerrone
Justin Gaethje
0
Knockdowns
1
17 of 52
Significant strikes
40 of 61
33%
Sig. strike accuracy
66%
17 of 52
Total strikes
40 of 61
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
-
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:00
Control time
0:04
Significant strikes by target
12 of 45
Head
27 of 44
4 of 6
Body
0 of 2
1 of 1
Leg
13 of 15
17 of 52
Distance
36 of 55
0 of 0
Clinch
2 of 3
0 of 0
Ground
2 of 3

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
1
17 of 52
Sig. str.
40 of 61
17 of 52
Total str.
40 of 61
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:04

Betting Odds

Donald Cerrone
+148
40% implied win probability
Open: +178Best: +155
Justin Gaethje
-182
65% implied win probability
Open: -224Best: -175

Average moneyline across 5 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Donald CerroneJustin Gaethje
30%40%50%60%70%Jul 23Aug 10Aug 28Sep 15Jul 23, 12:50 PM UTC · Donald Cerrone +175 (36%)Jul 23, 1:40 PM UTC · Donald Cerrone +200 (33%)Jul 24, 1:20 PM UTC · Donald Cerrone +202 (33%)Jul 25, 4:20 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +198 (34%)Jul 29, 1:30 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +196 (34%)Jul 30, 12:51 PM UTC · Donald Cerrone +194 (34%)Jul 30, 8:20 PM UTC · Donald Cerrone +191 (34%)Jul 31, 9:30 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +196 (34%)Aug 7, 10:00 PM UTC · Donald Cerrone +195 (34%)Aug 13, 8:45 PM UTC · Donald Cerrone +193 (34%)Aug 14, 6:20 PM UTC · Donald Cerrone +192 (34%)Aug 15, 8:50 PM UTC · Donald Cerrone +190 (34%)Aug 17, 6:12 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +185 (35%)Aug 17, 7:12 PM UTC · Donald Cerrone +183 (35%)Aug 19, 7:12 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +183 (35%)Aug 19, 2:15 PM UTC · Donald Cerrone +180 (36%)Aug 20, 2:20 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +180 (36%)Aug 24, 3:40 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +178 (36%)Aug 25, 10:45 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +176 (36%)Aug 25, 5:30 PM UTC · Donald Cerrone +172 (37%)Sep 2, 3:23 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +170 (37%)Sep 2, 3:40 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +169 (37%)Sep 5, 7:30 PM UTC · Donald Cerrone +167 (37%)Sep 5, 7:40 PM UTC · Donald Cerrone +164 (38%)Sep 6, 5:25 PM UTC · Donald Cerrone +161 (38%)Sep 9, 2:51 PM UTC · Donald Cerrone +156 (39%)Sep 9, 10:20 PM UTC · Donald Cerrone +156 (39%)Sep 10, 1:10 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +157 (39%)Sep 10, 1:50 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +158 (39%)Sep 10, 2:00 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +160 (38%)Sep 10, 3:30 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +162 (38%)Sep 10, 3:20 PM UTC · Donald Cerrone +161 (38%)Sep 10, 5:35 PM UTC · Donald Cerrone +161 (38%)Sep 11, 6:10 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +162 (38%)Sep 11, 6:20 PM UTC · Donald Cerrone +164 (38%)Sep 12, 2:35 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +166 (38%)Sep 12, 2:35 PM UTC · Donald Cerrone +168 (37%)Sep 12, 7:10 PM UTC · Donald Cerrone +166 (38%)Sep 12, 9:30 PM UTC · Donald Cerrone +163 (38%)Sep 12, 10:00 PM UTC · Donald Cerrone +161 (38%)Sep 13, 12:30 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +160 (38%)Sep 13, 2:00 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +158 (39%)Sep 13, 3:40 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +157 (39%)Sep 13, 5:20 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +156 (39%)Sep 13, 3:05 PM UTC · Donald Cerrone +151 (40%)Sep 13, 4:00 PM UTC · Donald Cerrone +150 (40%)Sep 14, 1:00 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +150 (40%)Sep 14, 2:25 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +149 (40%)Sep 14, 2:35 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +150 (40%)Sep 14, 4:35 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +150 (40%)Sep 14, 4:50 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +149 (40%)Sep 14, 6:45 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +150 (40%)Sep 14, 7:30 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +148 (40%)Sep 14, 7:55 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +144 (41%)Sep 14, 8:00 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +144 (41%)Sep 14, 8:20 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +141 (41%)Sep 14, 5:10 PM UTC · Donald Cerrone +142 (41%)Sep 14, 6:58 PM UTC · Donald Cerrone +143 (41%)Sep 14, 7:30 PM UTC · Donald Cerrone +144 (41%)Sep 14, 8:50 PM UTC · Donald Cerrone +146 (41%)Sep 14, 9:30 PM UTC · Donald Cerrone +146 (41%)Sep 14, 10:30 PM UTC · Donald Cerrone +148 (40%)Sep 15, 12:30 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +147 (40%)Sep 15, 12:35 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +148 (40%)Sep 15, 1:10 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +146 (41%)Sep 15, 1:50 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +145 (41%)Sep 15, 2:05 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +146 (41%)Sep 15, 2:10 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +144 (41%)Sep 15, 2:30 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +147 (40%)Sep 15, 2:30 AM UTC · Donald Cerrone +148 (40%)Jul 23, 12:50 PM UTC · Justin Gaethje -225 (69%)Jul 23, 1:40 PM UTC · Justin Gaethje -244 (71%)Jul 24, 1:20 PM UTC · Justin Gaethje -242 (71%)Jul 25, 4:20 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -240 (71%)Jul 29, 1:30 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -230 (70%)Jul 30, 12:51 PM UTC · Justin Gaethje -234 (70%)Jul 30, 8:20 PM UTC · Justin Gaethje -237 (70%)Jul 31, 9:30 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -235 (70%)Aug 7, 10:00 PM UTC · Justin Gaethje -236 (70%)Aug 13, 8:45 PM UTC · Justin Gaethje -241 (71%)Aug 14, 6:20 PM UTC · Justin Gaethje -241 (71%)Aug 15, 8:50 PM UTC · Justin Gaethje -236 (70%)Aug 17, 6:12 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -232 (70%)Aug 17, 7:12 PM UTC · Justin Gaethje -227 (69%)Aug 19, 7:12 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -229 (70%)Aug 19, 2:15 PM UTC · Justin Gaethje -224 (69%)Aug 20, 2:20 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -229 (70%)Aug 24, 3:40 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -225 (69%)Aug 25, 10:45 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -219 (69%)Aug 25, 5:30 PM UTC · Justin Gaethje -217 (68%)Sep 2, 3:23 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -215 (68%)Sep 2, 3:40 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -212 (68%)Sep 5, 7:30 PM UTC · Justin Gaethje -204 (67%)Sep 5, 7:40 PM UTC · Justin Gaethje -203 (67%)Sep 6, 5:25 PM UTC · Justin Gaethje -201 (67%)Sep 9, 2:51 PM UTC · Justin Gaethje -198 (66%)Sep 9, 10:20 PM UTC · Justin Gaethje -193 (66%)Sep 10, 1:10 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -193 (66%)Sep 10, 1:50 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -195 (66%)Sep 10, 2:00 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -199 (67%)Sep 10, 3:30 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -201 (67%)Sep 10, 3:20 PM UTC · Justin Gaethje -201 (67%)Sep 10, 5:35 PM UTC · Justin Gaethje -199 (67%)Sep 11, 6:10 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -202 (67%)Sep 11, 6:20 PM UTC · Justin Gaethje -205 (67%)Sep 12, 2:35 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -207 (67%)Sep 12, 2:35 PM UTC · Justin Gaethje -207 (67%)Sep 12, 7:10 PM UTC · Justin Gaethje -207 (67%)Sep 12, 9:30 PM UTC · Justin Gaethje -200 (67%)Sep 12, 10:00 PM UTC · Justin Gaethje -191 (66%)Sep 13, 12:30 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -191 (66%)Sep 13, 2:00 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -198 (66%)Sep 13, 3:40 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -194 (66%)Sep 13, 5:20 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -193 (66%)Sep 13, 3:05 PM UTC · Justin Gaethje -185 (65%)Sep 13, 4:00 PM UTC · Justin Gaethje -185 (65%)Sep 14, 1:00 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -184 (65%)Sep 14, 2:25 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -184 (65%)Sep 14, 2:35 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -184 (65%)Sep 14, 4:35 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -185 (65%)Sep 14, 4:50 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -185 (65%)Sep 14, 6:45 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -181 (64%)Sep 14, 7:30 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -181 (64%)Sep 14, 7:55 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -181 (64%)Sep 14, 8:00 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -175 (64%)Sep 14, 8:20 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -176 (64%)Sep 14, 5:10 PM UTC · Justin Gaethje -174 (64%)Sep 14, 6:58 PM UTC · Justin Gaethje -177 (64%)Sep 14, 7:30 PM UTC · Justin Gaethje -181 (64%)Sep 14, 8:50 PM UTC · Justin Gaethje -180 (64%)Sep 14, 9:30 PM UTC · Justin Gaethje -178 (64%)Sep 14, 10:30 PM UTC · Justin Gaethje -181 (64%)Sep 15, 12:30 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -181 (64%)Sep 15, 12:35 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -182 (65%)Sep 15, 1:10 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -181 (64%)Sep 15, 1:50 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -178 (64%)Sep 15, 2:05 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -177 (64%)Sep 15, 2:10 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -176 (64%)Sep 15, 2:30 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -178 (64%)Sep 15, 2:30 AM UTC · Justin Gaethje -182 (65%)+148-182
SportsbookDonald CerroneJustin Gaethje
Bookmaker+150-190
Bovada+150-185
Pinnacle+155-177
sports-interaction+135-175
unibet+150-186

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Donald Cerrone vs Justin Gaethje?

Justin Gaethje defeated Donald Cerrone by TKO in round 1 (4:18) in the Lightweight main event of UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Gaethje, held Sunday, September 15, 2019 at Rogers Arena, Vancouver.

Referee
Jerin Valel
Time format
5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Donald Cerrone 47%53% Justin Gaethje

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Lightweight roster (24 fighters)

Donald Cerrone
Submission Ace
2 edges
Justin Gaethje
Knockout Artist
6 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

94Power97
95Speed96
94Precision95
91Durability95
93Engine93
89Wrestling86
94Ground87

Biggest edge Donald Cerrone, Submissions +14

Attribute by attribute

Donald Cerrone is on the left of every row, Justin Gaethje on the right.
91Punch power95
96Kick power98
94Punch speed96
95Kick speed95
94Accuracy95
89Takedowns86
92Ground striking92
96Submissions82
92Chin94
89Body strength95
93Cardio93

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

36-17-0 (2 NC)
Record
28-5-0
1902
Power Index rating
1923
0
Win Streak
3
43
Age
37
6'1"
185 cm
Height
5'11"
180 cm
73"
185 cm
Reach
70"
178 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lightweight
Weight Class
Lightweight
United States
Nationality
United States

Striking Profile

4.41
SLpM
6.29
46%
Str. Acc.
57%
4.48
SApM
6.83
53%
Str. Def.
50%

Grappling Profile

1.16
TD Avg.
0.30
33%
TD Acc.
26%
73%
TD Def.
73%
1.20
Sub. Avg.
0.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Donald Cerrone · 1-4
  • L
    UFC 276: Adesanya vs Cannonier · Jul 2, 2022
    Submission · R2 · 1:32 · Welterweight
  • L
    Fury Pro Grappling 3 · Dec 30, 2021
    Submission · R1 · 3:17 · Welterweight
  • L
    Combat Jiu Jitsu Worlds 2021 · Dec 19, 2021
    Submission · R1 · 5:14
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs Waterson - Event · May 8, 2021
    TKO · R1 · 4:40 · Welterweight
  • W
    Submission Underground 19 · Dec 20, 2020
    Submission
Justin Gaethje · 4-1
  • W
    UFC Freedom 250 · Jun 15, 2026
    TKO · R4 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 324: Gaethje vs Pimblett · Jan 24, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Interim Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 313: Pereira vs Ankalaev · Mar 8, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC 300: Pereira vs Hill · Apr 13, 2024
    TKO · R5 · 4:59 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 291: Poirier vs Gaethje 2 · Jul 29, 2023
    TKO · R2 · 1:00 · Lightweight

Career Averages

Based on 37 fights · 16 fights
44.2
Avg sig. strikes
79.4
0.65
Avg takedowns
0.25
1:01
Avg control time
0:50
138
Career high strikes
144
4
Career high TDs
3

Strike Distribution

Donald Cerrone
Strike target
Justin Gaethje
50%
Head
66%
25%
Body
11%
25%
Leg
23%
Donald Cerrone
Strike position
Justin Gaethje
84%
Distance
84%
9%
Clinch
13%
7%
Ground
3%