Ultimate Fighting Calendar
UFCUFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry
WelterweightTITLE FIGHT5 rounds scheduled
Islam Makhachev
RussiaIslam Makhachev
28-1-0
STARTS IN··d ··h ··m

Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry

Ian Machado Garry
IrelandIan Machado Garry
“The Future”
17-1-0
Saturday, August 15, 2026
Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, United States

Win probability

Islam Makhachev 53%47% Ian Machado Garry

Based on both fighters' current UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Tale of the Tape

28-1-0
Record
17-1-0
1950
Power Index rating
1926
16
Win Streak
2
34
Age
28
5'10"
178 cm
Height
6'3"
191 cm
70"
178 cm
Reach
74"
188 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Welterweight
Weight Class
Welterweight
Russia
Nationality
Ireland

Striking Profile

2.45
SLpM
4.78
58%
Str. Acc.
54%
1.45
SApM
2.86
61%
Str. Def.
52%

Grappling Profile

3.10
TD Avg.
0.92
56%
TD Acc.
31%
91%
TD Def.
80%
1.00
Sub. Avg.
0.40

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Islam Makhachev · 5-0
  • W
    Jack Della Maddalena
    VeChain UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs MakhachevSat, Nov 15, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • W
    Renato Moicano
    UFC 311: Makhachev vs MoicanoSat, Jan 18, 2025
    Submission · R1 · 4:05 · Lightweight
  • W
    Dustin Poirier
    UFC 302: Makhachev vs PoirierSat, Jun 1, 2024
    Submission · R5 · 2:42 · Lightweight
  • W
    Alexander Volkanovski
    UFC 294: Makhachev vs Volkanovski 2Sat, Oct 21, 2023
    TKO · R1 · 3:06 · Lightweight
  • W
    Alexander Volkanovski
    UFC 284: Makhachev vs VolkanovskiSat, Feb 11, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Lightweight
Ian Machado Garry · 4-1
  • W
    Belal Muhammad
    UFC Qatar: Tsarukyan vs HookerSat, Nov 22, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • W
    Carlos Prates
    UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs PratesSat, Apr 26, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • L
    Shavkat Rakhmonov
    UFC 310: Pantoja vs AsakuraSat, Dec 7, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • W
    Michael Page
    UFC 303: Pereira vs Procházka 2Sat, Jun 29, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • W
    Geoff Neal
    UFC 298: Volkanovski vs TopuriaSat, Feb 17, 2024
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight

Career Averages

Based on 18 fights · 11 fights
26.9
Avg sig. strikes
70.5
2.28
Avg takedowns
0.91
5:38
Avg control time
1:43
88
Career high strikes
127
5
Career high TDs
4

Strike Distribution

Islam Makhachev
Strike target
Ian Machado Garry
71%
Head
56%
24%
Body
19%
6%
Leg
25%
Islam Makhachev
Strike position
Ian Machado Garry
57%
Distance
91%
18%
Clinch
5%
24%
Ground
4%

Betting Odds

Islam Makhachev
-367
79% implied win probability
Open: -391Best: -317
Ian Machado Garry
+286
26% implied win probability
Open: +247Best: +317

Average moneyline across 21 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Islam MakhachevIan Machado Garry
20%30%40%50%60%70%80%Feb 19Apr 17Jun 12Aug 7Feb 19, 3:14 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -370 (79%)Feb 25, 7:26 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -380 (79%)Mar 7, 3:49 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -400 (80%)Jun 17, 7:10 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -328 (77%)Jun 17, 7:50 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -321 (76%)Jun 17, 9:53 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -318 (76%)Jun 17, 11:00 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -312 (76%)Jun 17, 11:01 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -332 (77%)Jun 18, 12:52 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -343 (77%)Jun 18, 12:41 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -356 (78%)Jun 18, 1:11 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -343 (77%)Jun 18, 4:31 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -356 (78%)Jun 19, 2:09 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -348 (78%)Jun 19, 2:12 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -361 (78%)Jun 19, 6:27 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -354 (78%)Jun 20, 3:41 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -362 (78%)Jun 20, 6:09 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -366 (79%)Jun 21, 9:15 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -368 (79%)Jun 23, 7:19 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -370 (79%)Jun 23, 7:31 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -371 (79%)Jun 24, 2:22 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -372 (79%)Jun 29, 3:23 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -371 (79%)Jul 3, 1:21 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -367 (79%)Jul 3, 1:21 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -367 (79%)Jul 3, 1:37 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -363 (78%)Jul 3, 1:45 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -360 (78%)Jul 3, 7:19 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -360 (78%)Jul 6, 8:04 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -358 (78%)Jul 6, 9:42 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -364 (78%)Jul 6, 11:42 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -358 (78%)Jul 7, 12:41 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -358 (78%)Jul 7, 12:45 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -360 (78%)Jul 7, 12:46 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -362 (78%)Jul 7, 1:41 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -364 (78%)Jul 7, 3:13 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -363 (78%)Jul 8, 5:39 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -363 (78%)Jul 11, 7:27 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -363 (78%)Jul 11, 7:31 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -365 (78%)Jul 14, 11:58 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -363 (78%)Jul 14, 12:24 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -363 (78%)Jul 14, 4:46 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -359 (78%)Jul 14, 4:57 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -358 (78%)Jul 15, 12:32 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -356 (78%)Jul 15, 12:43 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -355 (78%)Jul 15, 2:55 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -356 (78%)Jul 16, 1:24 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -354 (78%)Jul 18, 8:50 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -345 (78%)Jul 18, 4:50 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -341 (77%)Jul 19, 6:50 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -337 (77%)Jul 20, 2:51 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -338 (77%)Jul 22, 4:50 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -336 (77%)Jul 23, 2:50 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -336 (77%)Jul 26, 6:50 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -344 (77%)Jul 27, 12:50 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -340 (77%)Jul 28, 2:50 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -332 (77%)Jul 28, 10:50 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -331 (77%)Jul 29, 12:50 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -337 (77%)Jul 30, 4:20 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -338 (77%)Jul 30, 10:50 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -342 (77%)Jul 31, 2:50 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -345 (78%)Aug 1, 10:50 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -346 (78%)Aug 1, 10:50 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -359 (78%)Aug 2, 2:50 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -347 (78%)Aug 2, 4:50 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -347 (78%)Aug 2, 10:50 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -348 (78%)Aug 2, 2:50 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -348 (78%)Aug 3, 6:50 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -342 (77%)Aug 4, 6:50 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -344 (77%)Aug 4, 2:50 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -345 (78%)Aug 4, 10:50 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -365 (78%)Aug 5, 8:50 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -366 (79%)Aug 5, 10:50 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -366 (79%)Aug 6, 4:20 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -363 (78%)Aug 6, 4:50 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -367 (79%)Aug 7, 12:24 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -364 (78%)Aug 7, 8:50 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -368 (79%)Aug 7, 2:50 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -368 (79%)Aug 7, 6:50 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -367 (79%)Feb 19, 3:14 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +285 (26%)Feb 25, 7:26 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +290 (26%)Mar 7, 3:49 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +300 (25%)Jun 17, 7:10 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +258 (28%)Jun 17, 7:50 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +258 (28%)Jun 17, 9:53 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +262 (28%)Jun 17, 11:00 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +257 (28%)Jun 17, 11:01 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +273 (27%)Jun 18, 12:52 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +280 (26%)Jun 18, 12:41 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +288 (26%)Jun 18, 1:11 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +280 (26%)Jun 18, 4:31 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +281 (26%)Jun 19, 2:09 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +275 (27%)Jun 19, 2:12 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +280 (26%)Jun 19, 6:27 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +278 (26%)Jun 20, 3:41 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +276 (27%)Jun 20, 6:09 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +277 (27%)Jun 21, 9:15 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +280 (26%)Jun 23, 7:19 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +281 (26%)Jun 23, 7:31 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +280 (26%)Jun 24, 2:22 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +280 (26%)Jun 29, 3:23 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +282 (26%)Jul 3, 1:21 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +282 (26%)Jul 3, 1:21 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +280 (26%)Jul 3, 1:37 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +280 (26%)Jul 3, 1:45 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +279 (26%)Jul 3, 7:19 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +276 (27%)Jul 6, 8:04 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +276 (27%)Jul 6, 9:42 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +273 (27%)Jul 6, 11:42 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +276 (27%)Jul 7, 12:41 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +276 (27%)Jul 7, 12:45 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +277 (27%)Jul 7, 12:46 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +278 (26%)Jul 7, 1:41 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +278 (26%)Jul 7, 3:13 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +279 (26%)Jul 8, 5:39 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +276 (27%)Jul 11, 7:27 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +276 (27%)Jul 11, 7:31 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +278 (26%)Jul 14, 11:58 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +279 (26%)Jul 14, 12:24 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +276 (27%)Jul 14, 4:46 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +276 (27%)Jul 14, 4:57 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +275 (27%)Jul 15, 12:32 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +274 (27%)Jul 15, 12:43 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +273 (27%)Jul 15, 2:55 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +274 (27%)Jul 16, 1:24 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +273 (27%)Jul 18, 8:50 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +266 (27%)Jul 18, 4:50 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +264 (27%)Jul 19, 6:50 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +260 (28%)Jul 20, 2:51 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +259 (28%)Jul 22, 4:50 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +257 (28%)Jul 23, 2:50 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +257 (28%)Jul 26, 6:50 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +263 (28%)Jul 27, 12:50 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +259 (28%)Jul 28, 2:50 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +255 (28%)Jul 28, 10:50 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +255 (28%)Jul 29, 12:50 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +260 (28%)Jul 30, 4:20 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +260 (28%)Jul 30, 10:50 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +263 (28%)Jul 31, 2:50 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +264 (27%)Aug 1, 10:50 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +266 (27%)Aug 1, 10:50 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +269 (27%)Aug 2, 2:50 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +267 (27%)Aug 2, 4:50 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +267 (27%)Aug 2, 10:50 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +269 (27%)Aug 2, 2:50 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +269 (27%)Aug 3, 6:50 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +264 (27%)Aug 4, 6:50 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +267 (27%)Aug 4, 2:50 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +267 (27%)Aug 4, 10:50 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +281 (26%)Aug 5, 8:50 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +281 (26%)Aug 5, 10:50 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +281 (26%)Aug 6, 4:20 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +280 (26%)Aug 6, 4:50 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +283 (26%)Aug 7, 12:24 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +284 (26%)Aug 7, 8:50 AM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +288 (26%)Aug 7, 2:50 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +289 (26%)Aug 7, 6:50 PM UTC · Ian Machado Garry +286 (26%)-367+286
SportsbookIslam MakhachevIan Machado Garry
Bet105-369+297
BetMGM-350+250
BetOnline-380+303
BetRivers-357+270
BetUS-360+285
Betway-400+300
Bookmaker-365+277
Bovada-360+290
Caesars-370+290
Circa-330+275
Cloudbet-417+285
DraftKings-360+285
FanDuel-390+280
HardRockBet-350+260
Kalshi-355+317
MyBookie-420+270
Pinnacle-369+297
Polymarket-317+300
ProphetX-355+275
Stake-385+290
YouWager-380+303

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io