Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Welterweight3 rounds scheduled
Geoff Neal
Handz of Steel
16-8-0
RESULT

Ian Machado Garry def. Geoff Neal (Split Decision)

Split Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
WIN
Ian Machado Garry
The Future
17-2-0
Saturday, February 17, 2024
Honda Center, Anaheim, United States

Ian Machado Garry defeated Geoff Neal by Split Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Welterweight bout of UFC 298: Volkanovski vs Topuria, held Saturday, February 17, 2024 at Honda Center, Anaheim.

Fight stats

Geoff Neal
Ian Machado Garry
0
Knockdowns
0
46 of 89
Significant strikes
67 of 135
52%
Sig. strike accuracy
50%
57 of 102
Total strikes
80 of 148
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
-
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
3:45
Control time
0:12
Significant strikes by target
25 of 64
Head
39 of 96
10 of 13
Body
18 of 27
11 of 12
Leg
10 of 12
38 of 79
Distance
65 of 133
8 of 10
Clinch
2 of 2
0 of 0
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
18 of 27
Sig. str.
20 of 38
19 of 28
Total str.
22 of 40
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
1:10
Ctrl
0:06
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
17 of 34
Sig. str.
23 of 43
23 of 41
Total str.
31 of 51
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
1:20
Ctrl
0:06
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
11 of 28
Sig. str.
24 of 54
15 of 33
Total str.
27 of 57
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
1:15
Ctrl
0:00

Betting Odds

Geoff Neal
+202
33% implied win probability
Open: +185Best: +300
Ian Machado Garry
-256
72% implied win probability
Open: -234Best: -200

Average moneyline across 12 sportsbooks.

SportsbookGeoff NealIan Machado Garry
BetAnything+190-260
BetOnline+220-260
BetUS+210-260
Betway+175-250
Bovada+210-250
Cloudbet+188-275
DraftKings+190-230
FanDuel+300-430
MyBookie+200-250
Pinnacle+145-200
SXBet+201-254
unibet+195-250

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Geoff Neal vs Ian Machado Garry?

Ian Machado Garry defeated Geoff Neal by Split Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Welterweight bout of UFC 298: Volkanovski vs Topuria, held Saturday, February 17, 2024 at Honda Center, Anaheim.

Referee
Frank Trigg
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Geoff Neal 36%64% Ian Machado Garry

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Welterweight roster (258 fighters)

Geoff Neal
Knockout Artist
5 edges
Ian Machado Garry
Striking Technician
6 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

85Power93
81Speed96
97Precision95
93Durability92
66Engine95
59Wrestling95
66Ground92

Biggest edge Ian Machado Garry, Takedowns +36

Attribute by attribute

Geoff Neal is on the left of every row, Ian Machado Garry on the right.
98Punch power92
72Kick power93
98Punch speed95
63Kick speed97
97Accuracy95
59Takedowns95
60Ground striking92
72Submissions92
95Chin94
91Body strength90
66Cardio95

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

16-8-0
Record
17-2-0
1801
Power Index rating
1901
0
Win Streak
0
35
Age
28
5'11"
180 cm
Height
6'3"
191 cm
75"
191 cm
Reach
74"
188 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Welterweight
Weight Class
Welterweight
United States
Nationality
Ireland

Striking Profile

5.02
SLpM
4.29
50%
Str. Acc.
53%
5.50
SApM
2.59
57%
Str. Def.
52%

Grappling Profile

0.54
TD Avg.
0.80
45%
TD Acc.
31%
87%
TD Def.
71%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.30

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Geoff Neal · 1-4
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs Hernandez · Feb 21, 2026
    TKO · R1 · 1:19 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC 319: Du Plessis vs Chimaev: Du Plessis vs Chimaev · Aug 16, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 4:59 · Welterweight
  • W
    UFC 308: Topuria vs Holloway · Oct 26, 2024
    TKO · R1 · 1:30 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC 298: Volkanovski vs Topuria · Feb 17, 2024
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC 285: Jones vs Gane · Mar 4, 2023
    Submission · R3 · 4:17 · Welterweight
Ian Machado Garry · 3-2
  • L
    UFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry · Aug 15, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • W
    UFC Qatar: Tsarukyan vs Hooker · Nov 22, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs Prates · Apr 26, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC 310: Pantoja vs Asakura · Dec 7, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • W
    UFC 303: Pereira vs Procházka 2 · Jun 29, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight

Career Averages

Based on 14 fights · 12 fights
49.1
Avg sig. strikes
67.0
0.36
Avg takedowns
0.83
1:25
Avg control time
1:37
121
Career high strikes
127
2
Career high TDs
4

Strike Distribution

Geoff Neal
Strike target
Ian Machado Garry
85%
Head
55%
8%
Body
20%
6%
Leg
24%
Geoff Neal
Strike position
Ian Machado Garry
82%
Distance
90%
10%
Clinch
6%
7%
Ground
4%