Ultimate Fighting Calendar
LightweightTITLE FIGHTPerformance of the Night5 rounds scheduled
RESULT

Islam Makhachev def. Alexander Volkanovski (TKO)

TKO · Round 1 · 3:06
Alexander Volkanovski
The Great
28-4-0
Saturday, October 21, 2023
Etihad Arena, Yas Island/Yas West, United Arab Emirates

Islam Makhachev defeated Alexander Volkanovski by TKO in round 1 (3:06) in the Lightweight title main event of UFC 294: Makhachev vs Volkanovski 2, held Saturday, October 21, 2023 at Etihad Arena, Yas Island/Yas West.

Fight stats

Islam Makhachev
Alexander Volkanovski
1
Knockdowns
0
24 of 29
Significant strikes
4 of 6
83%
Sig. strike accuracy
67%
39 of 46
Total strikes
11 of 18
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0%
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:19
Control time
0:49
Significant strikes by target
13 of 16
Head
0 of 1
9 of 11
Body
1 of 1
2 of 2
Leg
3 of 4
7 of 11
Distance
3 of 5
8 of 9
Clinch
1 of 1
9 of 9
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
1
KD
0
24 of 29
Sig. str.
4 of 6
39 of 46
Total str.
11 of 18
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:19
Ctrl
0:49

Betting Odds

Islam Makhachev
-250
71% implied win probability
Open: -241Best: -195
Alexander Volkanovski
+198
34% implied win probability
Open: +194Best: +238

Average moneyline across 12 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Islam MakhachevAlexander Volkanovski
30%40%50%60%70%80%Oct 11Oct 14Oct 18Oct 21Oct 11, 2:46 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -200 (67%)Oct 11, 4:21 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -290 (74%)Oct 11, 8:16 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -242 (71%)Oct 11, 3:50 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -241 (71%)Oct 11, 5:05 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -232 (70%)Oct 12, 12:13 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -231 (70%)Oct 12, 2:12 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -236 (70%)Oct 12, 6:50 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -236 (70%)Oct 12, 9:20 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -236 (70%)Oct 12, 10:40 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -232 (70%)Oct 12, 12:01 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -229 (70%)Oct 12, 1:11 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -234 (70%)Oct 12, 2:57 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -231 (70%)Oct 12, 8:01 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -234 (70%)Oct 12, 10:31 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -231 (70%)Oct 13, 12:31 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -229 (70%)Oct 13, 1:51 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -231 (70%)Oct 13, 7:19 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -229 (70%)Oct 13, 11:34 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -231 (70%)Oct 13, 3:33 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -239 (71%)Oct 13, 6:01 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -240 (71%)Oct 14, 12:48 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -239 (71%)Oct 14, 7:17 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -242 (71%)Oct 14, 2:00 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -244 (71%)Oct 14, 5:10 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -240 (71%)Oct 14, 7:45 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -244 (71%)Oct 14, 9:00 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -244 (71%)Oct 14, 10:00 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -250 (71%)Oct 14, 10:37 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -246 (71%)Oct 15, 1:50 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -250 (71%)Oct 15, 2:40 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -253 (72%)Oct 15, 4:10 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -251 (72%)Oct 15, 8:51 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -250 (71%)Oct 15, 1:35 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -253 (72%)Oct 15, 8:15 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -253 (72%)Oct 15, 10:45 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -258 (72%)Oct 16, 5:11 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -251 (72%)Oct 16, 11:36 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -254 (72%)Oct 16, 7:51 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -257 (72%)Oct 17, 1:15 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -255 (72%)Oct 17, 12:10 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -257 (72%)Oct 17, 3:30 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -261 (72%)Oct 17, 4:25 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -261 (72%)Oct 17, 5:15 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -257 (72%)Oct 17, 5:40 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -260 (72%)Oct 17, 6:10 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -260 (72%)Oct 17, 6:35 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -257 (72%)Oct 17, 7:05 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -257 (72%)Oct 17, 7:30 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -260 (72%)Oct 17, 8:00 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -260 (72%)Oct 17, 8:25 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -257 (72%)Oct 17, 8:55 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -257 (72%)Oct 17, 9:20 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -260 (72%)Oct 17, 9:40 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -260 (72%)Oct 17, 10:05 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -257 (72%)Oct 18, 12:40 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -260 (72%)Oct 18, 9:30 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -266 (73%)Oct 18, 12:25 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -273 (73%)Oct 18, 3:57 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -269 (73%)Oct 18, 10:25 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -268 (73%)Oct 18, 10:50 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -261 (72%)Oct 19, 5:40 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -260 (72%)Oct 19, 11:06 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -253 (72%)Oct 20, 8:01 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -255 (72%)Oct 20, 3:16 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -253 (72%)Oct 21, 1:05 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -252 (72%)Oct 21, 8:00 AM UTC · Islam Makhachev -248 (71%)Oct 21, 12:54 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -248 (71%)Oct 21, 1:40 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -255 (72%)Oct 21, 3:25 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -254 (72%)Oct 21, 5:15 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -252 (72%)Oct 21, 6:40 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -255 (72%)Oct 21, 7:45 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -256 (72%)Oct 21, 7:55 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -256 (72%)Oct 21, 8:06 PM UTC · Islam Makhachev -250 (71%)Oct 11, 2:46 AM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +170 (37%)Oct 11, 4:21 AM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +220 (31%)Oct 11, 8:16 AM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +195 (34%)Oct 11, 3:50 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +194 (34%)Oct 11, 5:05 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +188 (35%)Oct 12, 12:13 AM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +189 (35%)Oct 12, 2:12 AM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +193 (34%)Oct 12, 6:50 AM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +193 (34%)Oct 12, 9:20 AM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +192 (34%)Oct 12, 10:40 AM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +190 (34%)Oct 12, 12:01 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +188 (35%)Oct 12, 1:11 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +193 (34%)Oct 12, 2:57 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +188 (35%)Oct 12, 8:01 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +192 (34%)Oct 12, 10:31 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +190 (34%)Oct 13, 12:31 AM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +189 (35%)Oct 13, 1:51 AM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +188 (35%)Oct 13, 7:19 AM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +187 (35%)Oct 13, 11:34 AM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +188 (35%)Oct 13, 3:33 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +193 (34%)Oct 13, 6:01 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +193 (34%)Oct 14, 12:48 AM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +194 (34%)Oct 14, 7:17 AM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +196 (34%)Oct 14, 2:00 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +198 (34%)Oct 14, 5:10 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +196 (34%)Oct 14, 7:45 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +198 (34%)Oct 14, 9:00 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +199 (33%)Oct 14, 10:00 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +203 (33%)Oct 14, 10:37 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +201 (33%)Oct 15, 1:50 AM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +203 (33%)Oct 15, 2:40 AM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +205 (33%)Oct 15, 4:10 AM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +203 (33%)Oct 15, 8:51 AM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +203 (33%)Oct 15, 1:35 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +202 (33%)Oct 15, 8:15 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +203 (33%)Oct 15, 10:45 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +208 (32%)Oct 16, 5:11 AM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +202 (33%)Oct 16, 11:36 AM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +206 (33%)Oct 16, 7:51 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +205 (33%)Oct 17, 1:15 AM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +204 (33%)Oct 17, 12:10 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +204 (33%)Oct 17, 3:30 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +207 (33%)Oct 17, 4:25 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +209 (32%)Oct 17, 5:15 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +207 (33%)Oct 17, 5:40 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +207 (33%)Oct 17, 6:10 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +206 (33%)Oct 17, 6:35 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +206 (33%)Oct 17, 7:05 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +207 (33%)Oct 17, 7:30 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +207 (33%)Oct 17, 8:00 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +206 (33%)Oct 17, 8:25 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +206 (33%)Oct 17, 8:55 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +207 (33%)Oct 17, 9:20 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +207 (33%)Oct 17, 9:40 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +205 (33%)Oct 17, 10:05 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +205 (33%)Oct 18, 12:40 AM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +208 (32%)Oct 18, 9:30 AM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +212 (32%)Oct 18, 12:25 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +219 (31%)Oct 18, 3:57 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +213 (32%)Oct 18, 10:25 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +212 (32%)Oct 18, 10:50 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +208 (32%)Oct 19, 5:40 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +207 (33%)Oct 19, 11:06 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +206 (33%)Oct 20, 8:01 AM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +209 (32%)Oct 20, 3:16 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +206 (33%)Oct 21, 1:05 AM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +206 (33%)Oct 21, 8:00 AM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +206 (33%)Oct 21, 12:54 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +205 (33%)Oct 21, 1:40 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +210 (32%)Oct 21, 3:25 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +209 (32%)Oct 21, 5:15 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +210 (32%)Oct 21, 6:40 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +212 (32%)Oct 21, 7:45 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +215 (32%)Oct 21, 7:55 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +213 (32%)Oct 21, 8:06 PM UTC · Alexander Volkanovski +198 (34%)-250+198
SportsbookIslam MakhachevAlexander Volkanovski
BetAnything-270+200
BetOnline-251+211
BetUS-250+200
Betway-222+155
Bovada-250+210
Cloudbet-270+238
DraftKings-195+150
FanDuel-235+180
MyBookie-256+202
Pinnacle-279+235
SXBet-220+188
unibet-250+205

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Islam Makhachev vs Alexander Volkanovski?

Islam Makhachev defeated Alexander Volkanovski by TKO in round 1 (3:06) in the Lightweight title main event of UFC 294: Makhachev vs Volkanovski 2, held Saturday, October 21, 2023 at Etihad Arena, Yas Island/Yas West.

Referee
Marc Goddard
Time format
5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Islam Makhachev 48%52% Alexander Volkanovski

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model. Each fighter is rated against their own division, so read the gaps as directional.

Islam Makhachev
Pressure Wrestler
6 edges
Alexander Volkanovski
Pressure Wrestler
4 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

94Power92
95Speed96
97Precision97
93Durability94
96Engine100
98Wrestling95
97Ground92

Biggest edge Islam Makhachev, Submissions +8

Attribute by attribute

Islam Makhachev is on the left of every row, Alexander Volkanovski on the right.
94Punch power92
94Kick power92
95Punch speed97
94Kick speed95
97Accuracy97
98Takedowns95
97Ground striking94
97Submissions89
93Chin92
93Body strength95
96Cardio100

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

28-1-0
Record
28-4-0
1911
Power Index rating
1924
16
Win Streak
2
34
Age
37
5'10"
178 cm
Height
5'6"
168 cm
70"
178 cm
Reach
71"
180 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lightweight
Weight Class
Lightweight
Russia
Nationality
Australia

Striking Profile

2.45
SLpM
5.99
58%
Str. Acc.
57%
1.45
SApM
3.31
61%
Str. Def.
58%

Grappling Profile

3.10
TD Avg.
1.63
56%
TD Acc.
34%
91%
TD Def.
68%
1.00
Sub. Avg.
0.20

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Islam Makhachev · 5-0
  • W
    VeChain UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs Makhachev · Nov 15, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • W
    UFC 311: Makhachev vs Moicano · Jan 18, 2025
    Submission · R1 · 4:05 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 302: Makhachev vs Poirier · Jun 1, 2024
    Submission · R5 · 2:42 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 294: Makhachev vs Volkanovski 2 · Oct 21, 2023
    TKO · R1 · 3:06 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 284: Makhachev vs Volkanovski · Feb 11, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Lightweight
Alexander Volkanovski · 3-2
  • W
    UFC 325: Volkanovski vs Lopes 2 · Jan 31, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Featherweight
  • W
    UFC 314: Volkanovski vs Lopes · Apr 12, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Featherweight
  • L
    UFC 298: Volkanovski vs Topuria · Feb 17, 2024
    TKO · R2 · 3:32 · Featherweight
  • L
    UFC 294: Makhachev vs Volkanovski 2 · Oct 21, 2023
    TKO · R1 · 3:06 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 290: Volkanovski vs Rodriguez · Jul 8, 2023
    TKO · R3 · 4:19 · Featherweight

Career Averages

Based on 18 fights · 18 fights
26.9
Avg sig. strikes
100.8
2.28
Avg takedowns
1.83
5:38
Avg control time
3:19
88
Career high strikes
214
5
Career high TDs
7

Strike Distribution

Islam Makhachev
Strike target
Alexander Volkanovski
71%
Head
65%
24%
Body
10%
6%
Leg
25%
Islam Makhachev
Strike position
Alexander Volkanovski
57%
Distance
76%
18%
Clinch
8%
24%
Ground
15%