Ultimate Fighting Calendar
UFCUFC 302: Makhachev vs Poirier
LightweightTITLE FIGHT★ Fight of the Night + Performance of the Night5 rounds scheduled
WIN
Islam Makhachev
RussiaIslam Makhachev
29-1-0
RESULT

Islam Makhachev def. Dustin Poirier (Submission)

Submission · Round 5 · 2:42
Dustin Poirier
United StatesDustin Poirier
“The Diamond”
30-10-0 (1 NC)
Saturday, June 1, 2024
Prudential Center, Newark, United States

Islam Makhachev defeated Dustin Poirier by Submission in round 5 (2:42) in the Lightweight title main event of UFC 302: Makhachev vs Poirier, held Saturday, June 1, 2024 at Prudential Center, Newark.

Fight stats

Islam Makhachev
Dustin Poirier
0
Knockdowns
0
88 of 156
Significant strikes
74 of 183
56%
Sig. strike accuracy
40%
147 of 222
Total strikes
104 of 218
5 of 16
Takedowns
0 of 0
31%
Takedown accuracy
-
2
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
10:23
Control time
0:30
Significant strikes by target
81 of 148
Head
53 of 159
7 of 7
Body
18 of 20
0 of 1
Leg
3 of 4
71 of 136
Distance
51 of 157
11 of 14
Clinch
23 of 26
6 of 6
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
6 of 9
Sig. str.
1 of 5
46 of 53
Total str.
11 of 19
1 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
4:23
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
26 of 46
Sig. str.
24 of 58
30 of 50
Total str.
32 of 66
1 of 4
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:49
Ctrl
0:15
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
18 of 24
Sig. str.
15 of 36
24 of 33
Total str.
16 of 37
1 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
1
Sub. att
0
2:10
Ctrl
0:05
ROUND 4
0
KD
0
20 of 44
Sig. str.
23 of 61
29 of 53
Total str.
34 of 73
1 of 6
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
2:28
Ctrl
0:10
ROUND 5
0
KD
0
18 of 33
Sig. str.
11 of 23
18 of 33
Total str.
11 of 23
1 of 4
Takedowns
0 of 0
1
Sub. att
0
0:33
Ctrl
0:00

Betting Odds

Islam Makhachev
-480
83% implied win probability
Open: -494Best: -399
Dustin Poirier
+338
23% implied win probability
Open: +356Best: +400

Average moneyline across 11 sportsbooks.

SportsbookIslam MakhachevDustin Poirier
BetAnything-400+265
BetOnline-500+375
BetUS-450+325
Betway-556+325
Bovada-500+375
Cloudbet-429+271
DraftKings-425+300
FanDuel-650+400
MyBookie-600+370
Pinnacle-399+310
SXBet-497+400

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Islam Makhachev vs Dustin Poirier?

Islam Makhachev defeated Dustin Poirier by Submission in round 5 (2:42) in the Lightweight title main event of UFC 302: Makhachev vs Poirier, held Saturday, June 1, 2024 at Prudential Center, Newark.

Referee
Keith Peterson
Time format
5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison▾

Win probability

Islam Makhachev 51%49% Dustin Poirier

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model. Each fighter is rated against their own division, so read the gaps as directional.

Islam Makhachev
Pressure Wrestler
8 edges
Dustin Poirier
Striking Technician
1 edge
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

94Power93
95Speed94
97Precision96
93Durability92
96Engine91
98Wrestling88
97Ground92

Biggest edge Islam Makhachev, Takedowns +10

Attribute by attribute

Islam Makhachev is on the left of every row, Dustin Poirier on the right.
94Punch power95
94Kick power90
95Punch speed95
94Kick speed92
97Accuracy96
98Takedowns88
97Ground striking91
97Submissions92
93Chin93
93Body strength91
96Cardio91

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

29-1-0
Record
30-10-0 (1 NC)
1932
Power Index rating
1923
17
Win Streak
0
34
Age
37
5'10"
178 cm
Height
5'9"
175 cm
70"
178 cm
Reach
72"
183 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Lightweight
Weight Class
Lightweight
Russia
Nationality
United States

Striking Profile

2.27
SLpM
5.24
58%
Str. Acc.
50%
1.42
SApM
4.57
61%
Str. Def.
52%

Grappling Profile

3.22
TD Avg.
1.15
54%
TD Acc.
35%
91%
TD Def.
64%
0.90
Sub. Avg.
1.20

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Islam Makhachev · 5-0
  • W
    Ian Machado Garry
    UFC 330: Makhachev vs Machado Garry · Aug 15, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • W
    Jack Della Maddalena
    VeChain UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs Makhachev · Nov 15, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • W
    Renato Moicano
    UFC 311: Makhachev vs Moicano · Jan 18, 2025
    Submission · R1 · 4:05 · Lightweight
  • W
    Dustin Poirier
    UFC 302: Makhachev vs Poirier · Jun 1, 2024
    Submission · R5 · 2:42 · Lightweight
  • W
    Alexander Volkanovski
    UFC 294: Makhachev vs Volkanovski 2 · Oct 21, 2023
    TKO · R1 · 3:06 · Lightweight
Dustin Poirier · 2-3
  • L
    Max Holloway
    UFC 318: Holloway vs Poirier 3 · Jul 19, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    Islam Makhachev
    UFC 302: Makhachev vs Poirier · Jun 1, 2024
    Submission · R5 · 2:42 · Lightweight
  • W
    Benoit Saint Denis
    UFC 299: O'Malley vs Vera 2 · Mar 9, 2024
    TKO · R2 · 2:32 · Lightweight
  • L
    Justin Gaethje
    UFC 291: Poirier vs Gaethje 2 · Jul 29, 2023
    TKO · R2 · 1:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    Michael Chandler
    UFC 281: Adesanya vs Pereira · Nov 12, 2022
    Submission · R3 · 2:00 · Lightweight

Career Averages

Based on 19 fights · 31 fights
26.7
Avg sig. strikes
57.7
2.53
Avg takedowns
0.90
6:00
Avg control time
2:16
88
Career high strikes
178
7
Career high TDs
5

Strike Distribution

Islam Makhachev
Strike target
Dustin Poirier
70%
Head
80%
23%
Body
10%
7%
Leg
10%
Islam Makhachev
Strike position
Dustin Poirier
58%
Distance
76%
19%
Clinch
15%
23%
Ground
9%