Saturday, April 11, 2026Kaseya Center, Miami, United States
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Chris Padilla vs MarQuel Mederos
Fight stats: totals
Same scale left and right on every row; the pale tail behind a bar is attempts
Chris PadillaMarQuel Mederos
0
Knockdowns0
147 / 271
Significant strikes112 / 180
54%
Sig. strike accuracy62%
164 / 291
Total strikes117 / 186
1 / 4
Takedowns1 / 6
25%
Takedown accuracy17%
2:09
Control time0:16
Where it landed
Significant strikes landed by target in this fight
Chris PadillaMarQuel Mederos
7148%8172%
Head
3020%1211%
Body
4631%1917%
Leg
Where it happened
Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground
86%14%
■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground
Range × target
Significant strikes landed by range and target in this fight · landed / attempted in each cell
Chris Padilla147 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
6060/148
1818/27
4646/67
Clinch
1010/15
1212/13
0
Ground
11/1
0
0
MarQuel Mederos112 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
6868/130
44/5
1919/20
Clinch
1313/17
88/8
0
Ground
0
0
0
Round by round
Significant strikes landed per round · the judges' scores under each
Chris PadillaMarQuel Mederos
R1
40
27
10-910-910-9
R2
63
44
10-910-910-9
R3
44
41
10-810-89-9
Bars share one scale across rounds. Each chip is one judge's score for the round, coloured by who they gave it to.
Round 1Judges: Chris Padilla
0
Knockdowns0
40 / 66
Significant strikes27 / 41
61%
Sig. strike accuracy66%
44 / 71
Total strikes28 / 43
0 / 1
Takedowns0 / 3
0%
Takedown accuracy0%
0:58
Control time0:15
Round 2Judges: MarQuel Mederos
0
Knockdowns0
63 / 119
Significant strikes44 / 75
53%
Sig. strike accuracy59%
71 / 129
Total strikes46 / 77
0 / 1
Takedowns1 / 2
0%
Takedown accuracy50%
0:14
Control time0:01
Round 3Judges: Chris Padilla
0
Knockdowns0
44 / 86
Significant strikes41 / 64
51%
Sig. strike accuracy64%
49 / 91
Total strikes43 / 66
1 / 2
Takedowns0 / 1
50%
Takedown accuracy0%
0:57
Control time0:00
Judges' Scorecards
- − Mederos was docked 1 point in round 3 · Eye poke
Media Scores
14
Chris Padilla
0
MarQuel Mederos
●30-26 Padilla×8●29-27 Padilla×6
All 14 media scorecards
- Jake Noecker · Home of Fight30-26Padilla
- Ryan Frederick · WrestlingObserver.com30-26Padilla
- Keith Shillan · Sherdog.com30-26Padilla
- CombatPress.com30-26Padilla
- Zane Simon · The MMA Vivisection30-26Padilla
- Steve Duncan · mma.uno30-26Padilla
- Jay Pettry · Sherdog.com30-26Padilla
- Scottie Smith · Sherdog.com30-26Padilla
- Paul Fontaine · WrestlingObserver.com29-27Padilla
- MMAMania.com29-27Padilla
- Matthew Wells · MMAJunkie.com29-27Padilla
- Alex Behunin · MMA Mania29-27Padilla
- Chris Connor · The Fight City29-27Padilla
- Dayne Fox · Sherdog.com29-27Padilla
Fan Scorecards
139 fan scorecards submitted
86%
Chris Padilla
13%
Draw
1%
MarQuel Mederos
●29-27 Padilla41.7%●30-26 Padilla38.1%●28-28 Draw12.2%●30-27 Padilla4.3%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
91%
Padilla
R2
50%
Padilla
R3
78%
Padilla
Betting Odds
Chris Padilla
-155
61% implied win probability
Open: -172Best: +146
MarQuel Mederos
+138
42% implied win probability
Open: +143Best: +270
Average moneyline across 23 sportsbooks.
| Sportsbook | Chris Padilla | MarQuel Mederos |
|---|---|---|
| 4casters | -147 | +141 |
| 4Cx | -162 | +138 |
| Bet105 | +146 | -165 |
| BetAnything | -160 | +130 |
| BetMGM | -150 | +125 |
| BetOnline | -160 | +140 |
| BetRivers | -455 | +270 |
| BetUS | -150 | +126 |
| Betway | -163 | +130 |
| Bookmaker | -158 | +138 |
| Bovada | -163 | +137 |
| Caesars | -160 | +135 |
| Circa | -160 | +140 |
| Cloudbet | -149 | +132 |
| DraftKings | -162 | +136 |
| FanDuel | -162 | +136 |
| HardRockBet | -170 | +160 |
| mybookie | -165 | +134 |
| Pinnacle | -156 | +138 |
| Polymarket | -144 | +138 |
| ProphetX | -164 | +144 |
| Stake | -149 | +122 |
| SXBet | -235 | +125 |
Odds are for information only.
Build with this line: the same consensus odds, with opening and closing lines, are in the UFCalendar Fight API. Odds in the MMA Fight Data API
Insights
- MarQuel Mederos absorbs 5.20 significant strikes a minute, more than 90% of UFC fighters.
- Chris Padilla absorbs 4.43 significant strikes a minute, more than 79% of UFC fighters.
- MarQuel Mederos lands 5.93 significant strikes a minute, more than 95% of UFC fighters.
- Chris Padilla lands 6.29 significant strikes a minute, more than 97% of UFC fighters.
Style & credentials
Chris Padilla
No background on record
Camp · Fight Science MMA · United StatesMarQuel Mederos
No background on record
Camp · FactoryX Muay Thai · United StatesSig. strikes by zone
Where each fighter lands, as a share of significant strikes
51%61%
Head
17%14%
Body
31%24%
Leg
Time in position
Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground
Chris Padillalast 7 fights
79%17%
MarQuel Mederoslast 6 fights
68%24%
■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground
How good, really
Each stat against every UFC fighter, in plain words
Chris Padilla· from fights outside the UFC MarQuel Mederos· from fights outside the UFC
Strikes landed / min
6.295.93
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Chris Padilla · Elite · better than 97% of UFC fightersMarQuel Mederos · Elite · better than 95% of UFC fighters
Strikes taken / minfewer is better
4.435.20
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Chris Padilla · Below avg · better than 21% of UFC fightersMarQuel Mederos · Poor · better than 10% of UFC fighters
Takedowns landed / 15 min
1.440.21
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Chris Padilla · Average · better than 57% of UFC fightersMarQuel Mederos · Poor · better than 11% of UFC fighters
Takedown accuracy
29%6%
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Chris Padilla · Below avg · better than 27% of UFC fightersMarQuel Mederos · Poor · better than 7% of UFC fighters
Takedown defence
86%81%
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Chris Padilla · Elite · better than 90% of UFC fightersMarQuel Mederos · Elite · better than 85% of UFC fighters
Submission attempts / 15 min
0.400.00
PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite
Chris Padilla · Average · better than 48% of UFC fightersMarQuel Mederos · Poor · better than 0% of UFC fighters
Ranked against 1483 UFC fighters with five or more UFC fights.
Striking & grappling
Same scale left and right on every row
6.29
Strikes landed / min5.93
4.43
Strikes taken / minfewer is better5.20
1.44 / 5.0
Takedowns landed / 15 min0.21 / 3.5
29%
Takedown accuracy6%
86%
Takedown defence81%
1:54
Control time / fight1:16
0.40
Submission attempts / 15 min0.00
Bars in a row share one scale. The stronger side is solid; the pale tail behind takedowns is attempts.
Where the strikes land
Range × target
Chris Padilla6 UFC fights · 455 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
39%177/439
12%53/84
33%150/219
Clinch
6%28/37
4%20/22
0%0/0
Ground
5%24/31
1%3/4
0%0/0
MarQuel Mederos6 UFC fights · 423 landed
Head
Body
Leg
Distance
51%217/453
10%42/54
24%100/118
Clinch
7%31/39
4%19/20
0%0/0
Ground
3%11/18
0%0/0
1%3/3
Share of significant strikes landed by range and target · landed / attempted in each cell.
When it ends
Every early finish of their careers, placed at the minute it ended
Chris Padilla18 of 26 ended early · 69%8 went the distance
R1R2R3R4R5
1 early stoppage has no logged time
MarQuel Mederos7 of 14 ended early · 50%7 went the distance
R1R2R3R4R5
finished the opponent got finished· placed at the minute the fight ended
Recent form · last 5
Chris Padilla4-0-1
- WUFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs Rodrigues · Aug 22, 2026Submission · R3 · 4:59 · Lightweight
- DUFC 327: Procházka vs Ulberg · Apr 11, 2026Majority Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- W
- W
- W
Full record · 26 fightsShow less
- W
- W
- WSerob MinasyanUNF 7 · May 13, 2023Submission · R3 · 3:02 · Lightweight
- WEL J PortéeUNF 4 · Jan 28, 2023TKO · R1 · 4:07 · Welterweight
- WIvan CastilloBRAVE CF 7: Untamed · Aug 1, 2022Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- L
- WEmilio WilliamsCeltic Gladiator 31 · Mar 19, 2022TKO · R1 · 0:50 · Welterweight
- LDevon BrockLXF 5 · Aug 7, 2021Unanimous Decision · Lightweight
- L
- L
- WQuinton McCottrellFight Club OC · Oct 12, 2017TKO · R1 · 3:13 · Lightweight
- WIVAN CASTILLOBrave CF 7: Untamed · Jul 29, 2017Split Decision · Lightweight
- L
- L
- W
- WGeorge HernandezXFS: Taco · Mar 21, 2015Submission · R1 · 3:52 · Lightweight
- WKris ArmbristerXFS: Wasteland · Nov 8, 2014Submission · R1 · 0:39 · Lightweight
- WAaron NeveuXFS: Cerebral · Jul 19, 2014Unanimous Decision · Lightweight
- WKenny WyckoffXFS: Twentynine Palms Fight Night · Jun 20, 2014TKO · R1 · 1:01
- WJulian HernandezXFS: Adrenaline · May 17, 2014TKO · R1 · 0:08
- WMarko DamianiXFS: Fire · Mar 22, 2014TKO · R1 · 0:44
MarQuel Mederos4-0-1
- W
- D
- WMark ChoinskiUFC 316: Dvalishvili vs O'Malley 2 · Jun 7, 2025Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- WUFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Erceg · Mar 29, 2025Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- WUFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs Imavov · Feb 3, 2024Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
Full record · 14 fightsShow less
- W
- WJustice LamparezFury FC 80: Martinez vs. Efrain · Jun 25, 2023TKO · R1 · 0:53 · Lightweight
- WMichael MurphyFury FC 77: Gamble vs. Cunningham · Apr 16, 2023Unanimous Decision · Lightweight
- W
- WDarren WhitneyFury FC 69: Jones vs. Cutts · Sep 23, 2022Unanimous Decision · Lightweight
- WBen LugoFury FC 62: Jones vs. Guyton · May 15, 2022TKO · R1 · 2:42 · Lightweight
- LSantiago GuzmanFury FC 57 · Feb 11, 2022Split Decision · Lightweight
- WChris Sherley-RiosFury FC 51 · Sep 12, 2021TKO · R2 · 3:31 · Lightweight
- WJonathon MoskowitzFury FC 47 · Jun 20, 2021TKO · R2 · 1:05 · Lightweight