Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Lightweight3 rounds scheduled
Chris Padilla
Taco
17-6-1
STARTS IN··d ··h ··m

Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast

Saturday, August 22, 2026
Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, United States

Win probability

Chris Padilla 39%61% Nasrat Haqparast

Based on both fighters' current UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Lightweight roster (302 fighters)

Chris Padilla
Knockout Artist
5 edges
Nasrat Haqparast
Volume Striker
5 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

84Power86
88Speed88
95Precision95
90Durability94
91Engine95
94Wrestling59
75Ground48

Biggest edge Chris Padilla, Submissions +45

Attribute by attribute

Chris Padilla is on the left of every row, Nasrat Haqparast on the right.
70Punch power88
98Kick power83
77Punch speed97
98Kick speed78
95Accuracy95
94Takedowns59
57Ground striking48
92Submissions47
92Chin95
88Body strength92
91Cardio95

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

17-6-1
Record
18-6-0
1689
Power Index rating
1769
0
Win Streak
0
30
Age
30
5'9"
175 cm
Height
5'10"
178 cm
74"
188 cm
Reach
72"
183 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lightweight
Weight Class
Lightweight
United States
Nationality
Afghanistan / Germany

Striking Profile

6.19
SLpM
6.36
54%
Str. Acc.
45%
4.88
SApM
6.00
49%
Str. Def.
63%

Grappling Profile

1.13
TD Avg.
0.34
28%
TD Acc.
20%
80%
TD Def.
86%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
0.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Chris Padilla · 4-0-1
  • D
    UFC 327: Procházka vs Ulberg · Apr 11, 2026
    Majority Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs Brown · Nov 8, 2025
    TKO · R2 · 4:30 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs Brady · Mar 22, 2025
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Brady · Sep 7, 2024
    TKO · R2 · 4:14 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez · Apr 27, 2024
    Submission · R1 · 4:33 · Lightweight
Nasrat Haqparast · 4-1
  • L
    UFC 321: Aspinall vs Gane · Oct 25, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 2:30 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Almabayev · Mar 1, 2025
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Saudi Arabia · Jun 22, 2024
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Song vs Gutierrez · Dec 10, 2023
    TKO · R1 · 1:44 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 293: Adesanya vs Strickland · Sep 9, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight

Career Averages

Based on 5 fights · 15 fights
66.0
Avg sig. strikes
74.7
0.80
Avg takedowns
0.27
2:06
Avg control time
0:28
147
Career high strikes
171
3
Career high TDs
2

Strike Distribution

Chris Padilla
Strike target
Nasrat Haqparast
50%
Head
75%
17%
Body
22%
33%
Leg
4%
Chris Padilla
Strike position
Nasrat Haqparast
83%
Distance
90%
12%
Clinch
6%
5%
Ground
5%

Betting Odds

Chris Padilla
-104
51% implied win probability
Open: -111Best: +104
Nasrat Haqparast
-117
54% implied win probability
Open: -122Best: -108

Average moneyline across 23 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Chris PadillaNasrat Haqparast
50%60%Aug 15Aug 16Aug 17Aug 18Aug 15, 10:50 PM UTC · Chris Padilla -106 (51%)Aug 16, 6:50 AM UTC · Chris Padilla -106 (51%)Aug 16, 12:50 PM UTC · Chris Padilla -107 (52%)Aug 16, 2:50 PM UTC · Chris Padilla -108 (52%)Aug 16, 4:50 PM UTC · Chris Padilla -108 (52%)Aug 16, 6:50 PM UTC · Chris Padilla -107 (52%)Aug 17, 12:50 AM UTC · Chris Padilla -107 (52%)Aug 17, 2:50 PM UTC · Chris Padilla -108 (52%)Aug 17, 4:50 PM UTC · Chris Padilla -106 (51%)Aug 17, 6:50 PM UTC · Chris Padilla -104 (51%)Aug 17, 8:50 PM UTC · Chris Padilla -104 (51%)Aug 17, 10:50 PM UTC · Chris Padilla -103 (51%)Aug 18, 12:50 AM UTC · Chris Padilla -103 (51%)Aug 18, 4:20 AM UTC · Chris Padilla -104 (51%)Aug 15, 10:50 PM UTC · Nasrat Haqparast -115 (53%)Aug 16, 6:50 AM UTC · Nasrat Haqparast -114 (53%)Aug 16, 12:50 PM UTC · Nasrat Haqparast -113 (53%)Aug 16, 2:50 PM UTC · Nasrat Haqparast -112 (53%)Aug 16, 4:50 PM UTC · Nasrat Haqparast -113 (53%)Aug 16, 6:50 PM UTC · Nasrat Haqparast -113 (53%)Aug 17, 12:50 AM UTC · Nasrat Haqparast -112 (53%)Aug 17, 2:50 PM UTC · Nasrat Haqparast -112 (53%)Aug 17, 4:50 PM UTC · Nasrat Haqparast -115 (53%)Aug 17, 6:50 PM UTC · Nasrat Haqparast -117 (54%)Aug 17, 8:50 PM UTC · Nasrat Haqparast -118 (54%)Aug 17, 10:50 PM UTC · Nasrat Haqparast -118 (54%)Aug 18, 12:50 AM UTC · Nasrat Haqparast -117 (54%)Aug 18, 4:20 AM UTC · Nasrat Haqparast -117 (54%)-104-117
SportsbookChris PadillaNasrat Haqparast
4casters-113-121
4Cx-115-123
Bet105+101-117
BetAnything-105-125
BetMGM-105-115
BetOnline-102-118
BetRivers-109-114
BetUS+100-120
Betway-105-120
Bovada-103-117
Caesars-105-115
Circa+100-120
Cloudbet-102-123
DraftKings+100-120
FanDuel-113-113
HardRockBet-110-115
Kalshi+104-113
MyBookie-106-120
Pinnacle+102-118
Polymarket+104-108
ProphetX-102-110
Stake-104-118
YouWager-102-118

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io