Lightweight3 rounds scheduled

STARTS IN··d ··h ··m
Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast

18-6-0
Saturday, August 22, 2026
Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, United States
Win probability
Chris Padilla 39%61% Nasrat Haqparast
Based on both fighters' current UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index
Fight DNA
Head to headUFCalendar's style model · Lightweight roster (302 fighters)
Chris Padilla
Knockout Artist
5 edges
Nasrat Haqparast
Volume Striker
5 edges
Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap
Style shape
84Power86
88Speed88
95Precision95
90Durability94
91Engine95
94Wrestling59
75Ground48
Biggest edge Chris Padilla, Submissions +45
Attribute by attribute
Chris Padilla is on the left of every row, Nasrat Haqparast on the right.
70Punch power88
98Kick power83
77Punch speed97
98Kick speed78
95Accuracy95
94Takedowns59
57Ground striking48
92Submissions47
92Chin95
88Body strength92
91Cardio95
Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.
Tale of the Tape
17-6-1
Record
18-6-0
1689
Power Index rating
1769
0
Win Streak
0
30
Age
30
5'9"
175 cm
Height
5'10"
178 cm
74"
188 cm
Reach
72"
183 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lightweight
Weight Class
Lightweight
United States
Nationality
Afghanistan / Germany
Striking Profile
6.19
SLpM
6.36
54%
Str. Acc.
45%
4.88
SApM
6.00
49%
Str. Def.
63%
Grappling Profile
1.13
TD Avg.
0.34
28%
TD Acc.
20%
80%
TD Def.
86%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
0.00
Recent form (last 5 fights)
Chris Padilla · 4-0-1
Nasrat Haqparast · 4-1
Career Averages
Based on 5 fights · 15 fights
66.0
Avg sig. strikes
74.7
0.80
Avg takedowns
0.27
2:06
Avg control time
0:28
147
Career high strikes
171
3
Career high TDs
2
Strike Distribution
Chris Padilla
Strike target
Nasrat Haqparast
50%
Head
75%
17%
Body
22%
33%
Leg
4%
Chris Padilla
Strike position
Nasrat Haqparast
83%
Distance
90%
12%
Clinch
6%
5%
Ground
5%
Betting Odds
Chris Padilla
-104
51% implied win probability
Open: -111Best: +104
Nasrat Haqparast
-117
54% implied win probability
Open: -122Best: -108
Average moneyline across 23 sportsbooks.
Line Movement
| Sportsbook | Chris Padilla | Nasrat Haqparast |
|---|---|---|
| 4casters | -113 | -121 |
| 4Cx | -115 | -123 |
| Bet105 | +101 | -117 |
| BetAnything | -105 | -125 |
| BetMGM | -105 | -115 |
| BetOnline | -102 | -118 |
| BetRivers | -109 | -114 |
| BetUS | +100 | -120 |
| Betway | -105 | -120 |
| Bovada | -103 | -117 |
| Caesars | -105 | -115 |
| Circa | +100 | -120 |
| Cloudbet | -102 | -123 |
| DraftKings | +100 | -120 |
| FanDuel | -113 | -113 |
| HardRockBet | -110 | -115 |
| Kalshi | +104 | -113 |
| MyBookie | -106 | -120 |
| Pinnacle | +102 | -118 |
| Polymarket | +104 | -108 |
| ProphetX | -102 | -110 |
| Stake | -104 | -118 |
| YouWager | -102 | -118 |
Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io