Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Lightweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Alexander Hernandez
El Gran Chango
18-9-0
RESULT

Alexander Hernandez def. Kurt Holobaugh (Unanimous Decision)

Unanimous Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
Kurt Holobaugh
The Hurt
22-10-0 (1 NC)
Saturday, March 15, 2025
Meta Apex, Las Vegas, United States

Alexander Hernandez defeated Kurt Holobaugh by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs Dolidze 2, held Saturday, March 15, 2025 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas. The judges scored it 29-28, 30-27, 29-28, Alexander Hernandez won the decision.

Fight stats

Alexander Hernandez
Kurt Holobaugh
0
Knockdowns
0
59 of 149
Significant strikes
71 of 171
40%
Sig. strike accuracy
42%
87 of 186
Total strikes
106 of 215
4 of 5
Takedowns
0 of 0
80%
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
1
0
Reversals
0
6:39
Control time
0:32
Significant strikes by target
36 of 117
Head
39 of 122
10 of 15
Body
21 of 35
13 of 17
Leg
11 of 14
45 of 129
Distance
63 of 160
2 of 3
Clinch
8 of 11
12 of 17
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
22 of 68
Sig. str.
26 of 75
24 of 70
Total str.
26 of 75
1 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
1
0:09
Ctrl
0:14
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
30 of 62
Sig. str.
38 of 78
37 of 75
Total str.
48 of 91
1 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
2:01
Ctrl
0:18
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
7 of 19
Sig. str.
7 of 18
26 of 41
Total str.
32 of 49
2 of 3
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
4:29
Ctrl
0:00

Judges' Scorecards

#HernandezHolobaugh
1109
2910
3109
Total2928
#HernandezHolobaugh
1109
2109
3109
Total3027
#HernandezHolobaugh
1109
2910
3109
Total2928

Media Scores

2
Hernandez
-
8
Holobaugh
29-28 Holobaugh×830-27 Hernandez29-28 Hernandez
All 10 media scorecards

Fan Scorecards

39%
Hernandez
1%
Draw
60%
Holobaugh
85 fan scorecards submitted
29-28 Holobaugh58.8%29-28 Hernandez30.6%30-27 Hernandez8.2%30-27 Holobaugh1.2%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
67%
Holobaugh
R2
81%
Holobaugh
R3
95%
Hernandez

Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com

Betting Odds

Alexander Hernandez
-174
64% implied win probability
Open: -189Best: +134
Kurt Holobaugh
+152
40% implied win probability
Open: +155Best: +175

Average moneyline across 18 sportsbooks.

SportsbookAlexander HernandezKurt Holobaugh
4casters-180+167
Bet105-191+166
BetAnything-185+155
BetMGM-190+155
BetOnline-181+156
BetRivers-195+155
BetUS-185+154
Betway-250+175
Bookmaker-186+150
Bovada-183+158
Caesars-185+155
Circa-195+170
Cloudbet-187+168
DraftKings-160+124
FanDuel+134-172
MyBookie-190+140
Pinnacle-191+166
SXBet-199+160

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Alexander Hernandez vs Kurt Holobaugh?

Alexander Hernandez defeated Kurt Holobaugh by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs Dolidze 2, held Saturday, March 15, 2025 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas. The judges scored it 29-28, 30-27, 29-28, Alexander Hernandez won the decision.

What were the judges' scorecards for Alexander Hernandez vs Kurt Holobaugh?

The judges scored it 29-28, 30-27, 29-28, Alexander Hernandez won the decision.

Was Alexander Hernandez vs Kurt Holobaugh a robbery?

Many scored it for Kurt Holobaugh: 60% of 85 fan cards scored it for Kurt Holobaugh; 80% of 10 media scores picked Kurt Holobaugh. The judges gave it to Alexander Hernandez.

Full robbery index
Referee
Kerry Hatley
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Alexander Hernandez 52%48% Kurt Holobaugh

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Lightweight roster (302 fighters)

Alexander Hernandez
Complete Fighter
8 edges
Kurt Holobaugh
Complete Fighter
2 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

94Power65
95Speed73
76Precision67
88Durability81
88Engine92
73Wrestling66
57Ground72

Biggest edge Kurt Holobaugh, Submissions +36

Attribute by attribute

Alexander Hernandez is on the left of every row, Kurt Holobaugh on the right.
94Punch power70
94Kick power59
95Punch speed78
94Kick speed67
76Accuracy67
73Takedowns66
55Ground striking49
59Submissions95
92Chin92
83Body strength70
88Cardio92

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

18-9-0
Record
22-10-0 (1 NC)
1719
Power Index rating
1708
0
Win Streak
0
33
Age
39
5'9"
175 cm
Height
5'11"
180 cm
72"
183 cm
Reach
70"
178 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lightweight
Weight Class
Lightweight
United States
Nationality
United States

Striking Profile

4.23
SLpM
4.58
40%
Str. Acc.
44%
4.45
SApM
4.24
59%
Str. Def.
49%

Grappling Profile

1.05
TD Avg.
0.65
35%
TD Acc.
33%
68%
TD Def.
38%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.80

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Alexander Hernandez · 4-1
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal · Apr 25, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    Noche UFC: Lopes vs Silva · Sep 13, 2025
    TKO · R2 · 3:46 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 319: Du Plessis vs Chimaev: Du Plessis vs Chimaev · Aug 16, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 4:58 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs Dolidze 2 · Mar 15, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC 307: Pereira vs Rountree Jr. · Oct 5, 2024
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
Kurt Holobaugh · 2-3
  • W
    Gamebred Bareknuckle MMA · May 1, 2026
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Klein · May 31, 2025
    Submission · R1 · 1:39 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs Dolidze 2 · Mar 15, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs Jandiroba · Jul 20, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs Namajunas · Mar 23, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight

Career Averages

Based on 18 fights · 9 fights
43.8
Avg sig. strikes
50.7
0.72
Avg takedowns
0.56
1:20
Avg control time
1:48
108
Career high strikes
102
4
Career high TDs
2

Strike Distribution

Alexander Hernandez
Strike target
Kurt Holobaugh
56%
Head
62%
31%
Body
25%
13%
Leg
13%
Alexander Hernandez
Strike position
Kurt Holobaugh
85%
Distance
78%
8%
Clinch
16%
7%
Ground
5%